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1 hour ago, nvkrishna said:

Highest ever polling percentage in the history of Karnataka - 72.1%

 

Highest: Ramanagara in Bengaluru Rural - 90%

 

Lowest: Dasarahalli in bengaluru city - 48%

 

I will be surprised if one party will not get clear majority with this kind of voting - serious anti-incumbency or massive silent support.

 

Very high polling in Mysuru region - pro JDS or pro congress?????

Very high polling in Coastal and central Karnataka - clear BJP

 

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Everyone is agreeing that there is no serious anti-incumbency against congress, we have to go with Congress.

 

Final verdict: Congress retains Karnataka.

:cheers: bangalore city (28)  congress will get  more support than bjp from voters.... 

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బెంగళూరు: కర్ణాటక అసెంబ్లీ ఎన్నికలు ముగిసి ఒక రోజు కాకుండానే సీఎం సిద్ధరామయ్య సంచలన ప్రకటన చేశారు. ముఖ్యమంత్రి పదవిని వదులుకునేందుకు సిద్ధమని ప్రకటించారు. ఎగ్జిట్ పోల్స్‌లో హంగ్ ఏర్పడే అవకాశం ఉందన్న నేపథ్యంలో సిద్ధూ ఈ నిర్ణయం తీసుకున్నారు. జేడీఎస్‌తో పొత్తు కుదుర్చుకోక తప్పదనే సంకేతాలు వెలువడుతుండటంతో ఆయన ఈ ఫార్ములా బయటకు తెచ్చారు. దళితుడిని సీఎం చేసేందుకు తాను పదవీ త్యాగం చేయడానికి సిద్ధమన్నారు. మరోవైపు జేడీఎస్ అధినేత దేవెగౌడ మాట్లాడుతూ ఈ నెల 15న పూర్తి ఫలితాలు వచ్చేవరకూ తాను దీనిపై ఏమీ మాట్లాడబోనని చెప్పారు. తానే మళ్లీ సిఎం అవుతానని నిన్న ధీమాగా చెప్పిన సిద్ధూ నేడు ఇవే తన చివరి ఎన్నికలని చెప్పడం, 24 గంటల్లోపే సీఎం పదవి త్యాగం చేస్తాననడంపై కమలనాథులు సెటైర్లు వేస్తున్నారు. సిద్ధూ ఓటమిని అంగీకరించినట్లేనని చెబుతున్నారు.

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38 minutes ago, srohith said:

బెంగళూరు: కర్ణాటక అసెంబ్లీ ఎన్నికలు ముగిసి ఒక రోజు కాకుండానే సీఎం సిద్ధరామయ్య సంచలన ప్రకటన చేశారు. ముఖ్యమంత్రి పదవిని వదులుకునేందుకు సిద్ధమని ప్రకటించారు. ఎగ్జిట్ పోల్స్‌లో హంగ్ ఏర్పడే అవకాశం ఉందన్న నేపథ్యంలో సిద్ధూ ఈ నిర్ణయం తీసుకున్నారు. జేడీఎస్‌తో పొత్తు కుదుర్చుకోక తప్పదనే సంకేతాలు వెలువడుతుండటంతో ఆయన ఈ ఫార్ములా బయటకు తెచ్చారు. దళితుడిని సీఎం చేసేందుకు తాను పదవీ త్యాగం చేయడానికి సిద్ధమన్నారు. మరోవైపు జేడీఎస్ అధినేత దేవెగౌడ మాట్లాడుతూ ఈ నెల 15న పూర్తి ఫలితాలు వచ్చేవరకూ తాను దీనిపై ఏమీ మాట్లాడబోనని చెప్పారు. తానే మళ్లీ సిఎం అవుతానని నిన్న ధీమాగా చెప్పిన సిద్ధూ నేడు ఇవే తన చివరి ఎన్నికలని చెప్పడం, 24 గంటల్లోపే సీఎం పదవి త్యాగం చేస్తాననడంపై కమలనాథులు సెటైర్లు వేస్తున్నారు. సిద్ధూ ఓటమిని అంగీకరించినట్లేనని చెబుతున్నారు.

Hands up annamata...

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India today-axis poll:

 

According to the India Today-Axis My India exit poll, the BJP and the Congress face a straight fight in 170 seats. In the other 52 seats, the fight is between the Congress and the JD(S). This means that for the BJP to attain a majority mark in the Karnataka assembly, the party must win 70 per cent of its battles against Congress in the 170 seats. This is an uphill task.

 

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REGION-WISE_VOTE_SHARE_NEW_JPEG-647x1414.jpg?lpS.pNUchPdft9OoVUShLfp7odpg.GfE

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No one is winning majority ..it’s ruled out ..JD’s is winning 40 seats for sure ..gowda belt they have done very very well ..bangalore rural,Kolar,Chikkaballapur Ramanagar,Mandya ,Hasan,tumkur they will get good numbers ....

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Hyderabad Karnataka bjp expected to do well but below par performance ..congress was able to hold on..except bellary not great performance in Hyderabad-karnataka by bjp..wrong selection of candidates have cost two three seats to congress in bellary ..chethulara donbettesukunnaru 

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Just now, Saichandra said:

cong ki enni ravochu bro total ga?

90 pakka na individual lekka prakaram..but labour and economically lower classes voting click aithe(like it clicked for ysr in 2009 bcz of free schemes ) they may cross 110 also

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Bjp own ga power loki ravatam anedi 100% ruled out in Karnataka ..ye survey cheppina namamkandi...y I am saying is ....in 2008 when Yeddyurappa was cheated by JD’s ,they had highest sympathy and 100% support of their caste lingayath..appude raledu bjp ki majority ..they got only 110..ippudu inka chance ye ledu 

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WRITING ON THE WALL        2018-05-13 10:52:42
 
Does BJP still have an advantage in Karnataka?

 

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As we went into elections yesterday, BJP had enjoyed a clear and distinct lead in terms of seats on MAPi – Micro Analytics Projections (INTELLIGENCE) – our indigenously developed data-tech platform to analyze elections bottom-up from the polling booths. But as the voting progressed, BJP’s advantage began to wean away, bit by bit. We believe there are five primary reasons for this trend reversal:

 

  • The rural-to-urban voter turnout was not in favour of BJP. Especially Bangalore City saw extremely low voter turnout indicating urban Hindu voters’ apathy for BJP candidates. This could have a negative impact on many marginal seats in urban areas. What this also meant was that the silent poor, rural voter came out in larger number showing some sort of a gratitude to Siddaramaiah’s welfare schemes.
  • JDS underperformance in at least a dozen seats of their stronghold areas due to counter-consolidation of non-Vokkaliga voters meant that Congress kept surging. Possibly, the BJP strategy of having a virtual alliance with JDS was not so productive after all.
  • Extremely high turnout in minority areas (possibly due to a massive campaign by PM Modi and Yogi) created a skew unfavourable for the BJP. Take for example the case of Basavakalyan in Bidar district; BJP was ahead going into elections yesterday, but the Muslim turnout yesterday was above 86% against an overall turnout of 64.56% which put BJP behind INC. Similarly, in Gulbarga North, the overall turnout was merely 53.6% but Muslim areas saw a turnout of over 74%. Comparable patterns were reported from the coastal belt too. Our predictive models had not accounted for such a large difference.
  • BJP’s famed booth outreach program of Panna Pramukhs was not as effective as in UP and Gujarat. Take for example, K.R. Pura and Hebbal seats in Bangalore where Congress workers were more active at the polling booth level in distribution of money and goodies whereas BJP Karyakartas were mostly dependent on middle-class voters turning out on their own due to the Modi factor.
  • The BSY faction and the “original BJP” faction did come out to play despite all efforts by Modi-Shah to paper over the differences. For instance, in Gadag and Haveri districts, those leaders and workers who were in KJP earlier formed a separate grouping known as “the Brigade” and were working against the official candidates in many seats on polling day.

 

Despite all these negatives, MAPi –Election tracker is still giving a slight overall edge to the BJP. Let me make it absolutely clear that we have not conducted any pre-poll or exit poll in the state, but have simply tracked all the 224 assembly segments to arrive at these projections. Therefore, we are not giving out any vote-share percentages to any political party. This is a new way of tracking elections which we are planning to deploy across India in all the 543 parliamentary seats in the run-up to the next Lok Sabha elections of 2019.

img/blogs/2017/20180513095317.jpg 

If you see these numbers, you will notice that after the elections yesterday, Congress has gained leads in some 21 seats while BJP has lost leads in some 9 seats as compared to the trends before the election. JDS too has lost its lead positions in 4 seats. The other 8 leads for Congress have come from the swing seats. Based on these trends the following scenarios can unfold on the counting day.

 

  1. BJP’s optimal performance would be in the 90’s, so a simple majority can be virtually ruled out now (although elections can surprise even the best placed mathematical models by stretching the means)
  2. Congress  party’s weakness is that it has too many (57) low-margin leads and if BJP can snatch even a few of those, the party can cross the 100-seat mark and easily form the government.
  3. BJP’s big worry continues to be Bangalore where neither the party put up strong desirable faces nor were the voting populace willing to forget this and vote in the name of Modi. MAPi shows that BJP is ahead only in 11 seats out of 28 and 2 of those are vulnerable too.
  4. The most likely scenario as per MAPi Election Tracker is that both the national parties could end up with around 90 seats, thereby needing the regional party, JDS support to form a government.
  5. 94.2% of all elections since 2000 have produced nearly clear mandates for one or the other party. Therefore, Congress party’s chance of crossing the 100-seat mark is much higher because of the election day trends.

You can track all the 224 assembly seats of Karnataka here

 
© 2018 5Forty3 Datalabs Pvt. Ltd.
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2 minutes ago, Saichandra said:

lemons meeda:wacko:

Boddu nundi maa cadre ki came sai... Open letter plus messages... naaku mesaage vasthe kanukkunna oorlo... endi katha ani...Ninna meeting kuda ayyindi maa oori batch tho boddu di...

Yanamala + Boddu + VS Lemons... Jyothula cat on wall

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8 minutes ago, Nandamuri Rulz said:

Boddu nundi maa cadre ki came sai... Open letter plus messages... naaku mesaage vasthe kanukkunna oorlo... endi katha ani...Ninna meeting kuda ayyindi maa oori batch tho boddu di...

Yanamala + Boddu + VS Lemons... Jyothula cat on wall

oh monna thota trimurtulu fans full ga msgs and status pettaru lemons meeda anti ga,ma metla ni takkuva chesi matladatava ani :dream:

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