ramntr Posted June 18, 2018 Share Posted June 18, 2018 5 minutes ago, RKumar said: Youth kaps ayithe PK bramallone vunnaru, CBN ni elagaina dimpali ee saari ani kankanam kattukunnaru as PK going strongly against CBN. చిరు ki kuda vunnaru intha కంటే.. No use Annai, but election అయితే ఇంక clouds veegi pothayyi.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaitra Posted June 18, 2018 Share Posted June 18, 2018 Ya,Kaps one side ga Pk ki vesay scene laadhu anukuntunna Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nfan from 1982 Posted June 18, 2018 Share Posted June 18, 2018 6 minutes ago, Jaitra said: Ya,Kaps one side ga Pk ki vesay scene laadhu anukuntunna I agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nandamuri Rulz Posted June 18, 2018 Share Posted June 18, 2018 1 hour ago, Godavari said: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravindras Posted June 18, 2018 Share Posted June 18, 2018 7 hours ago, nvkrishna said: If this survey is correct... anti-bjp or special status issue is not creating the wave which we are expecting (as on today) TDP is struggling to create that emotional wave or there may be more serious issues for andhra people than that issue. then, next big thing..caste will come into play..if that is the case, we may be in tight contests in 90% of seats 1+1 may be 1 or 3 in politics...too early to comment ap people are not emotional fools unlike telangana counterpart. they won't act like herd of sheep. they will take wise decision. in 1995-2004 cbn has full grip over administration and corruption also less. people expected same kind of rule in 2014. now he is fully lenient towards bureaucrats and mlas/ministers/party men . he gave freehand to them. they are misusing it. in ysr rule, his son got benefited mostly. corruption is at high at top level. in cbn rule except cbn family everybody taking advantage of their position. corruption spreads to low level through janmabhoomi committees, which directly affect the common people. common people don't worry about corruption at top level. if some guy(janmabhoomi committee member) taking money from common people, they definitely reacts to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saichandra Posted June 18, 2018 Author Share Posted June 18, 2018 5 minutes ago, ravindras said: ap people are not emotional fools unlike telangana counterpart. they won't act like herd of sheep. they will take wise decision. in 1995-2004 cbn has full grip over administration and corruption also less. people expected same kind of rule in 2014. now he is fully lenient towards bureaucrats and mlas/ministers/party men . he gave freehand to them. they are misusing it. in ysr rule, his son got benefited mostly. corruption is at high at top level. in cbn rule except cbn family everybody taking advantage of their position. corruption spreads to low level through janmabhoomi committees, which directly affect the common people. common people don't worry about corruption at top level. if some guy(janmabhoomi committee member) taking money from common people, they definitely reacts to it. Ysr rule lo corruption top level kadu bro,top level to bottom level full corruption undedi,govt employees lanchal tisukovadam peaks ki vellindi ysr rule lo,pani cheyyinchukovalante lancham ivvali ane concept modalayyindi 2004 tarwata still i have the paper cuttings of eenadu,roju ki enno articles padevi govt employees lancham gurinchi, best example acb rides jarugutunte valla astulu chuste telisipoddi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smartdesi99 Posted June 18, 2018 Share Posted June 18, 2018 final ga caste card and money plays Role in tight seats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usandeep Posted June 19, 2018 Share Posted June 19, 2018 22 hours ago, Saichandra said: Bc voting tdp ki one side ga padiddi appudu E sari veyyaru emo solid ga kapulu reservation annaru ga Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saichandra Posted June 19, 2018 Author Share Posted June 19, 2018 4 minutes ago, usandeep said: E sari veyyaru emo solid ga kapulu reservation annaru ga 14 lone annaru ga reservation ani,ayina it’s not political reservation bro l8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nvkrishna Posted June 20, 2018 Share Posted June 20, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Godavari Posted June 20, 2018 Share Posted June 20, 2018 14 minutes ago, nvkrishna said: Survey e 19seatse chesara? okavela vatike chesthee 175 seats ki prediction ela cheparu Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RKumar Posted June 20, 2018 Share Posted June 20, 2018 2 minutes ago, Godavari said: Survey e 19seatse chesara? okavela vatike chesthee 175 seats ki prediction ela cheparu ABN Studio lo 19 seats trend batti 175 results predict chesi chepparu. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nvkrishna Posted June 20, 2018 Share Posted June 20, 2018 53 minutes ago, Godavari said: Survey e 19seatse chesara? okavela vatike chesthee 175 seats ki prediction ela cheparu no one rarely does survey in all seats. in 2016, they did in 18 seats. now in 19 seats. even though they (survey agencies) regularly take opinion from random people (& local experienced people) to understand mood, serious surveys are done in seats selected basing on castes, swing, other parameters. it comes basing on experience. some people think big sample size is crucial. lagadapati clearly said after nandyal by-poll, sample size is not crucial but selection of sample is crucial. in his words - we are 100% confident on our predictions in telugu states (as we got enough experience in selecting right sample size) & reasonably confident on rest of india Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
3mar Posted June 20, 2018 Share Posted June 20, 2018 25 minutes ago, nvkrishna said: This kind of survey is not reliable. Need to be done covering all 175 seats with sample size of at least 1000 per constituency. And how come they ask a question "How many seats each party will get?" to voter. And that prediction is just guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Godavari Posted June 20, 2018 Share Posted June 20, 2018 6 minutes ago, nvkrishna said: no one rarely does survey in all seats. in 2016, they did in 18 seats. now in 21 seats. even though they (survey agencies) regularly take opinion from random people (& local experienced people) to understand mood, serious surveys are done in seats selected basing on castes, swing, other parameters. it comes basing on experience. ok ipudu Vallu east lo Tdp antha strong ledu annadu okavela Anaparthi Rjy badulu ah prakanee anukuni unna Ramachandrapuram Mandapeta lo opinions adigithe tdp ki fav ga untadi apdu district Tdp very strong antada Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saichandra Posted June 20, 2018 Author Share Posted June 20, 2018 4 minutes ago, Godavari said: ok ipudu Vallu east lo Tdp antha strong ledu annadu okavela Anaparthi Rjy badulu ah prakanee anukuni unna Ramachandrapuram Mandapeta lo opinions adigithe tdp ki fav ga untadi apdu district Tdp very strong antada Vallu constituencies ey party ki tilt lenivi tisukunnaru bro,for example vij central,and anatapur also,they can take penukonda and raptadu but tdp strong seats kani guntakal and Dharmavaram tisukunnaru Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nvkrishna Posted June 20, 2018 Share Posted June 20, 2018 9 minutes ago, Godavari said: ok ipudu Vallu east lo Tdp antha strong ledu annadu okavela Anaparthi Rjy badulu Ramachandrapuram Mandapeta lo opinions adigithe tdp ki fav ga untadi apdu district Tdp very strong antada they are several modalities. they pick some strong, some swing, some weak. ex. undi in west godavari & kondepi in prakasam - strong tdp kamalapur in kadapa - strong ycp that does not mean they did not take opinion in other seats. But, that is not extensive. ex. CSDS did survey in just 8 seats - still said -TDP is gaining from January on wards. Swing, margin of difference, what different segments said during conversations..lot of scientific things are involved They are in this business - i know some other people also in this business. they regularly take opinion using sources. Ex. during bus journey in 2004, I met a warden from yerragondapalem in prakasam district. During conersatiovs, i understood, he is the man for survey agencies in that area. extensive surveys are done in select seats but regular surveys are continuous process. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rama123 Posted June 20, 2018 Share Posted June 20, 2018 Castes ,areas cover ayyettu teesuku vuntaru.guntur lo kuda okatile ITU okatile palbadu teesukunnaru Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rama123 Posted June 20, 2018 Share Posted June 20, 2018 Kontha mandi ki ekkauva idea vuntadi tea stalls vaallaki , travel chese vaallaki ekkuva opinions telustayi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saichandra Posted June 20, 2018 Author Share Posted June 20, 2018 I talked with abn reporter ramarao garu,ayana chepparu lagadapati team eppudu kuda anni seats lo cheyyaru ani,Even in 14 elections vallu 28 seats lo chesi lagadapati ki report icharu anta Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Godavari Posted June 20, 2018 Share Posted June 20, 2018 6 minutes ago, nvkrishna said: they are several modalities. they pick some strong, some swing, some weak. ex. undi in west godavari & kondepi in prakasam - strong tdp kamalapur in kadapa - strong ycp that does not mean they did not take opinion in other seats. But, that is not extensive. ex. CSDS did survey in just 8 seats - still said -TDP is gaining from January on wards. Swing, margin of difference, what different segments said during conversations..lot of scientific things are involved They are in this business - i know some other people also in this business. they regularly take opinion using sources. Ex. during bus journey in 2004, I met a warden from yerragondapalem in prakasam district. During conersatiovs, i understood, he is the man for survey agencies in that area. extensive surveys are done in select seats but regular surveys are continuous process. ok . masthan ani okadu untaduga 2012 lo tv ki ochevadu athanu ipudu surveys cheyatleda.. eppudu tdp ki antiga untadu Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nvkrishna Posted June 20, 2018 Share Posted June 20, 2018 This is what Lagadapati said after 2014 elections Our team told me about TDP wave from srikakulam to guntur. to confirm their predictions, I travelled from srikakulam to vijayawada by car & randomly talked to people. came to same conclusion. it needs lot of experience to reach lagadapati & his team level. that's why they are getting it so right. after nandyal by-poll, even though lagadapati team told him about 30,000 majority - lagadapati told to press about 15,000-20,000. He did not feel that confident like his team. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nvkrishna Posted June 20, 2018 Share Posted June 20, 2018 3 minutes ago, Godavari said: ok . masthan ani okadu untaduga 2012 lo tv ki ochevadu athanu ipudu surveys cheyatleda.. eppudu tdp ki antiga untadu masthan, kishore from guntur..some others are there.. they did not reach lagadapati level - mostly used by MLAs & MPs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saichandra Posted June 20, 2018 Author Share Posted June 20, 2018 3 minutes ago, Godavari said: ok . masthan ani okadu untaduga 2012 lo tv ki ochevadu athanu ipudu surveys cheyatleda.. eppudu tdp ki antiga untadu Ya,and cbn has sv university team(old batch)valla survey kuda correct predictions vastayi antaru,though they missed 2004 elections,need to talk with that team!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
niceguy Posted June 20, 2018 Share Posted June 20, 2018 Aaa bokkale..175 places pathi intloki doori vallatho okaroju gadipi bojanam chesi battalu petti opinion thelsukuni appudu calculations chesthe adhi survey.. ee survey enduku paniki raadu Janalu CBN ni thiduthunnaru..YCP clean sweep or edge ani cheppandi appudu nammutham.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nvkrishna Posted June 20, 2018 Share Posted June 20, 2018 Highlight of survey: BJP is getting 0.42% votes in its sitting seat of Rajahmundry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RKumar Posted June 20, 2018 Share Posted June 20, 2018 10 minutes ago, nvkrishna said: Highlight of survey: BJP is getting 0.42% votes in its sitting seat of Rajahmundry. Candidate ni maarchi Somu Veerraju tho contest cheyistaamu. YSRCP & JS will not contest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Godavari Posted June 20, 2018 Share Posted June 20, 2018 24 minutes ago, RKumar said: Candidate ni maarchi Somu Veerraju tho contest cheyistaamu. YSRCP & JS will not contest. adi urban kabatti weak somu veeraju rjy rural kadha survey akkada chesthe one side ochedi somu and bjp ki :child: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravindras Posted June 20, 2018 Share Posted June 20, 2018 7 minutes ago, Godavari said: adi urban kabatti weak somu veeraju rjy rural kadha survey akkada chesthe one side ochedi somu and bjp ki rjy urban tdp ticket ganni krishna ki isthe geliche chance vuntundaa ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Godavari Posted June 20, 2018 Share Posted June 20, 2018 1 minute ago, ravindras said: rjy urban tdp ticket ganni krishna ki isthe geliche chance vuntundaa ? ADIREDDY group buccaiah support chesthe gelavagaladu but buccaiah ke istaru or adireddy :dream: koppula velama 25k voting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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