naresh_m Posted May 10, 2016 Share Posted May 10, 2016 Thanks for update Mahesh annai... Summer lo ye rainy season yendo... Nfdbno1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted May 11, 2016 Author Share Posted May 11, 2016 low pressure area may form around maldeives by may 13----IMDmomentum shifted from arebian sea to bay of Bengal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted May 12, 2016 Author Share Posted May 12, 2016 A Low Pressure Area is expected to form over South West Bay of Bengal and adjoining Equatorial North Indian Ocean around 14th. Its movement and any signs of its intensification must be closely watched in the coming days. Stay tuned for daily updates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted May 12, 2016 Author Share Posted May 12, 2016 UKMET forcast Descent convective activity seen over SL/SW bay as of 00z satellite image.. NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 96 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 9.7N 80.0E VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 15.05.2016 9.7N 80.0E MODERATE 00UTC 16.05.2016 9.9N 79.3E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.05.2016 9.7N 79.5E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.05.2016 11.7N 79.2E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.05.2016 12.0N 75.0E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted May 12, 2016 Author Share Posted May 12, 2016 May 17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted May 12, 2016 Author Share Posted May 12, 2016 May 18 Gfs tracking system miving North East Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted May 12, 2016 Author Share Posted May 12, 2016 Geps showing tamilnadu landfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted May 12, 2016 Author Share Posted May 12, 2016 Models are clearly struggling with pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted May 12, 2016 Author Share Posted May 12, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted May 12, 2016 Author Share Posted May 12, 2016 Low pressure area by may 14 at srilanka coast and will concentrate into depression by 16th in same area ---IMD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted May 12, 2016 Author Share Posted May 12, 2016 Most accurate ECMWF forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Praveen NTR Posted May 12, 2016 Share Posted May 12, 2016 Visakha dist aftrn chesi koni areas lo rain padindi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted May 13, 2016 Author Share Posted May 13, 2016 Imd latest * The upper air cyclonic circulation over southwest Bay of Bengal off Sri Lanka coast now lies over southwest Bay of Bengal off Srilanka coast & adjoining equatorial Indian ocean and extends upto 3.1 km above mean sea level. Under its influence, a low pressure area very likely to form over the same region by tomorrow. It is likely to become well marked and further concentrate into a depression during subsequent next 48 hours. *Conditions are becoming favourable for onset of southwest monsoon over Nicobar Islands, south Andaman sea and parts of south Bay of Bengal during next 3 - 4 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted May 13, 2016 Author Share Posted May 13, 2016 Monsoon forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted May 13, 2016 Author Share Posted May 13, 2016 Elnino rapidly decreasing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted May 14, 2016 Author Share Posted May 14, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted May 14, 2016 Author Share Posted May 14, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted May 14, 2016 Author Share Posted May 14, 2016 Summer cyclone will hit NTN/SAP-CAPuncertainty over the movement of system Need to wait some time for exact movement Intial Northwest after coming closely to coast neady pondicheri, then recorve possible to north-northeast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted May 14, 2016 Author Share Posted May 14, 2016 Latest update on summer cyclone At this moment May 3rd week cyclone moving towards NAP-Orissa/WB landfall point... but expecting the drastic change towards NTN/SAP-CAP landfall point in later updates.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted May 14, 2016 Author Share Posted May 14, 2016 Parts of Sri Lanka could see more than 300mm of rain from a tropical depression which may also hit S #India. Nick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted May 14, 2016 Author Share Posted May 14, 2016 SW BAY on fire Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted May 14, 2016 Author Share Posted May 14, 2016 Moved slightly northwards Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted May 14, 2016 Author Share Posted May 14, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nfan from 1982 Posted May 14, 2016 Share Posted May 14, 2016 Old work mahesh bro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted May 14, 2016 Author Share Posted May 14, 2016 out of nowhere thunderstrom formed west of hyderabad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted May 15, 2016 Author Share Posted May 15, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted May 15, 2016 Author Share Posted May 15, 2016 will travel parallel to east coast coastal area will get good rains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted May 15, 2016 Author Share Posted May 15, 2016 Met Office @metoffice 10h10 hours ago Some uncertainties regarding track of possible #tropicalcyclone, but heavy rain is expected in #SriLanka & S #India Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted May 15, 2016 Author Share Posted May 15, 2016 http://amp.twimg.com/prod/multibr_v_1/video/2016/05/14/21/731592551573159941-libx264-main-2028k.mp4?zYRNzzcj8GP0xLy7Ycc3%2FV%2Bo9iFga2RP35F3Ca7igaQ%3D Hope this comes true taking northeast curve near Bangalore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted May 15, 2016 Author Share Posted May 15, 2016 south tamilnadu receiving heavyrains from morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now