mahesh1987 Posted December 3, 2016 Author Share Posted December 3, 2016 A low pressure area is likely to develop over southeast Bay on 4th Dec. 2016. It would move initially west-northwestwards and then northwestwards and concentrate into a depression during 5th Dec as per majority of models and by 6th Dec. as suggested by all the models. Furtherit will intensify into a cyclonic storm by 6 th as per majority of models and by 7th Dec. by most of the models. There is large divergence regarding the movement and landfall. While IMD GFS suggests landfall north Odisha-West Bengal coast on 9th morning, NCEP GFS and IITM GEFS suggests near Odisha (near 20 N) on 9th morning, GFS91534) suggests near Odisha (near 20N) on 8th evening, ECMWF suggests near north AP and adjoining south Odisha coast on 11th evening, NCUM suggests near Myanmar coast on 9th morning Courtesy : imd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Urban Legend Posted December 5, 2016 Share Posted December 5, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted December 5, 2016 Author Share Posted December 5, 2016 Repu evening ki clear track telisipotadi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted December 5, 2016 Author Share Posted December 5, 2016 Current trend Ecmwf -- bapatla-machali Gfs. -- nap-s.odissa Ukmet.-- nap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted December 5, 2016 Author Share Posted December 5, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kedism Posted December 5, 2016 Share Posted December 5, 2016 Maaku varsham padaali devudaa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted December 5, 2016 Author Share Posted December 5, 2016 Maaku varsham padaali devudaa repu evening ki oka idea vastadi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted December 5, 2016 Author Share Posted December 5, 2016 system present location 400km notrh west of singapore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted December 6, 2016 Author Share Posted December 6, 2016 Current trend Ecmwf -- bapatla-machali Gfs. -- nap-s.odissa Ukmet.-- nap Latest Ecmwf --. ongole-bapatala Gfs -- kakinada Ukmet --- no change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted December 6, 2016 Author Share Posted December 6, 2016 Now ukmet chenges to machilipatnam-kakinada Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kedism Posted December 6, 2016 Share Posted December 6, 2016 Latest Ecmwf --. ongole-bapatala Gfs -- kakinada Ukmet --- no change antey yente anany..varsham paduthundhaa ledhaaa ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted December 6, 2016 Author Share Posted December 6, 2016 antey yente anany..varsham paduthundhaa ledhaaa ? cyclone landfall expecting places ivi more or less mee ongole ki rains conform,but machilipatnam-kakinada cyclone effect vundachu Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted December 6, 2016 Author Share Posted December 6, 2016 Intensifying rapidly and moving west Nellore-ongole target? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kedism Posted December 6, 2016 Share Posted December 6, 2016 Kummi avathala veyyali Anna varsham.. floods vachinattu no prob Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted December 6, 2016 Author Share Posted December 6, 2016 Only rain aite parledu Cyclone winds lekunda vunte chalu Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anne Posted December 6, 2016 Share Posted December 6, 2016 Only rain aite parledu Cyclone winds lekunda vunte chalu winds are more dangerous.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted December 7, 2016 Author Share Posted December 7, 2016 The Navy has sent four ships to help evacuate 800 tourists stranded at Havelock Islands in the Andamans because of heavy rain.After the rain left hundreds of tourists stranded, the administration called the Navy early Wednesday morning. The sudden evacuation mission was initiated at the request of the Andaman and Nicobar disaster management, which speculates that a "cyclonic storm" might struck Havelock, an island about 40 km from the state capital Port Blair. "There is a deep depression (in the sea) about 310 kms from Port Blair. That is why the Navy was contacted as we don't want to take any chances," an official from Directorate of Disaster Management, told IANS.The official said that because of heavy rain and winds, the difficulty tourists are facing is to reach the jetty to board the ships. The tourists are to be ferried from the Havelock Islands to Port Blair. "We can't say as of now that the depression will turn into a cyclone," he said. They expect the evacuation to be completed by the evening, he said.Navy ships NS Bitra, Bangaram, Kumbhir and LCU 38 have left for Havelock, say officials. A popular tourist destination known for its beaches, Havelock is the largest in the chain of islands that form the Ritchie's Archipelago and belongs to the Andamans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Urban Legend Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 NDMA India @ndmaindia 15m15 minutes ago #CycloneAlert:4 Navy ships reached #Havelock.Unable 2 dock due 2 high seawaves.Approx.800 tourists stranded.To b evacuated once sea calms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted December 7, 2016 Author Share Posted December 7, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted December 7, 2016 Author Share Posted December 7, 2016 Seema,Ongole and Nellore europian model rainfall expectations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted December 7, 2016 Author Share Posted December 7, 2016 Forecast Tracck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NTR ANNA Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 Forecast Tracck annai Semma nellore Ongole ki rainfall padithe manchidena ippudu Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted December 7, 2016 Author Share Posted December 7, 2016 annai Semma nellore Ongole ki rainfall padithe manchidena ippudupina kedism uncle kottukupoina parledu rains padali antunnadu gaaa Valla season start ai ippatiki 2 months Just one small spell padindi anthe severe drought lo vunnaru Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NTR ANNA Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 pina kedism uncle kottukupoina parledu rains padali antunnadu gaaa Valla season start ai ippatiki 2 months Just one small spell padindi anthe severe drought lo vunnaru good...Coastal vaipu rakapothe bagunnu... Paddy crops chella cheduru aipotai...itu vaipu vasthe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted December 7, 2016 Author Share Posted December 7, 2016 good...Coastal vaipu rakapothe bagunnu... Paddy crops chella cheduru aipotai...itu vaipu vasthe Cyclone track oko model okoti predict chetunnay Final gaa etu potado Max bapatla above vundakapovachu Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NTR ANNA Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 Cyclone track oko model okoti predict chetunnay Final gaa etu potado Max bapatla above vundakapovachu Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yaswanth526 Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 Slow intensification of a TC expected over the coming days in the Bay of Bengal. #ECMWF suggests high chance of landfall in Andhra Pradesh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yaswanth526 Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 Cyclone #Vardah may landfall at Central coastal Region (EastGodavari,WestGodavari,Krishna,Guntur districts)on 11th December Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahesh1987 Posted December 7, 2016 Author Share Posted December 7, 2016 Almost ecmwf ki fix avvachu Mana September rains ni exact gaa predict chesindi ecmwf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Urban Legend Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now