3mar Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 3 Main Reasons for TDP/BJP/Cong Debacle in GHMC Polls: ----------------------------------------------------------- 1) Nearly 16% Less Voter turnout compared to General Elections in most of the TDP-BJP Won MLA Segments and 70% of those 16% are Seema Andhra People. 2) And the TRS Akarsh Deals in buying the sitting TDP & Cong MLA Candidates damaged the electrol prospects and interest in TDP & Cong sympathizers and Neutral voters in Hyderabad. 3) Most important Lack of Local Leadership in all Parties except TRS and MIM. MIM did well because of its leadership in Hyderabad. YSRC not even dared to fight in GHMC Election as its cadre and voters completely shifted/transformed to TRS after the debacle in General elections. As long as TDP/BJP/Cong doesn't have strong face & leadership in TG, this will repeat even in 2019 Elections. That tells the whole story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vasu4tarak Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 3 Main Reasons for TDP/BJP/Cong Debacle in GHMC Polls: ----------------------------------------------------------- 1) Nearly 16% Less Voter turnout compared to General Elections in most of the TDP-BJP Won MLA Segments and 70% of those 16% are Seema Andhra People. 2) And the TRS Akarsh Deals in buying the sitting TDP & Cong MLA Candidates damaged the electrol prospects and interest in TDP & Cong sympathizers and Neutral voters in Hyderabad. 3) Most important Lack of Local Leadership in all Parties except TRS and MIM. MIM did well because of its leadership in Hyderabad. YSRC not even dared to fight in GHMC Election as its cadre and voters completely shifted/transformed to TRS after the debacle in General elections. As long as TDP/BJP/Cong doesn't have strong face & leadership in TG, this will repeat even in 2019 Elections. That tells the whole story. +1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chandasasanudu Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Tdp needs pure tg reddy leader...welcome back nagam..wwlcome sasidgar reddy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RKumar Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Late age lo Nagam emi revive chesthaadu TDP ni. He can best be advisor for party. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Urban Legend Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 ntho mandhi nayakulani tayaru chesindhi ...malli chesthadi ...no worries Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Urban Legend Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 vere parties odipovatam kantey TRS win ayindhi ani cheppali ... sarigha plan chesina TRS with MIM aina geliche vaallu...45+40.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RKumar Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Main reason for TDP-BJP defeat is TDP voting decreased drastically in 19 months. TDP has Vote base of 30% in GHMC any day but it got reduced to around 18-20%. If it is has contested on it's own TDP would have got max 20% this time. 10% Vote base loss is surely Neutral Voters from AP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vasu4tarak Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 ntho mandhi nayakulani tayaru chesindhi ...malli chesthadi ...no worries Thayaaru chesina MONAGAADU ippudu ledu bhayaa... alrdy thayaaraina leaders ni trap chesthe thappa pani jaragadu Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Urban Legend Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Thayaaru chesina MONAGAADU ippudu ledu bhayaa... alrdy thayaaraina leaders ni trap chesthe thappa pani jaragadu mukkodi mana vaalani trap chesadu malli manam evvarini trap cheyyali Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
3mar Posted February 6, 2016 Author Share Posted February 6, 2016 Main reason for TDP-BJP defeat is TDP voting decreased drastically in 19 months. TDP has Vote base of 30% in GHMC any day but it got reduced to around 18-20%. If it is has contested on it's own TDP would have got max 20% this time. 10% Vote base loss is surely Neutral Voters from AP. Vote% should be counted for 90 wards where TDP contested and then compare with respective Assembly segments That gives right picture As such there is no shift much........there is 16% less voter turnout compared to General elections in TDP won assembly segments among which 70% are Andhrites. That is what reflected as major dent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chandasasanudu Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Dishonest ppl ekkuva unnaru for tdp in tg...memu tdp antaru..same time trs win aithey happy feel avutharu..might be due to andhra ppl leading tg tdp...first adi marali..rr is too emotional and ung to lead tdp..better avoid velmas.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RKumar Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 TRS arranged meetings with all major caste groups from AP in GHMC & given most of them chance to contest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RKumar Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Kukatpally lo 2014 lo Madhavaram ki ichhinappude cheppa veedu pothadu ani. Velama community vundede max 0.7% in Telengana, ee party lo vunna vaallaku groups minimum they will support TRS. Example: All Velama leaders in BJP, Congress supported TRS. Vidyasagar Rao ni choosthe artham avuthundi it's not fight based on policies but based on Castism. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
3mar Posted February 6, 2016 Author Share Posted February 6, 2016 To convert vote% into few winning seats, critical vote mass is required in the selected seats, it need not to be the same% across all contested seats and averages wont work in elections. A Party in its strong hold may win 3 seats with 30k majority and the Other Party may win 10 seats with 10k votes in each seat. Due to which the overall Vote% and Difference seems less for calculation purpose. But that wont work as the SakSHIT DLM says it is just 5 lakh votes difference ih 2014 General Election Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RKumar Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 One more Major factor Educated voters might have considered is: Revanth Reddy 'Cash for Vote' Episode & involvement of TDP leadership. Appati varaku Revanth reddy ante konchem janam lo sympathy vundedi as KCR is targeting him, he lost most of his image with this incident. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
3mar Posted February 6, 2016 Author Share Posted February 6, 2016 Jagan also lost his image with all cases, jail ,........but his votebank (35%) stil intact.........that is his base. How to erode that votebank is the strategy that TDP needs to devise and implement in AP Comming to TG, let TDP decide its leader first then think of strategy or wait till Harish Rao moves out of TRS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RKumar Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 One more reason: YSRCP contest chesi vunte entha kaadanukunna 5-10% Votes vachhevi. But they surrendered to TRS due to understanding between KCR & Jagan. It would have made difference for TDP winning some seats where Andhra voters are more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bunty27 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Revanth & Kishan should work together Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravikia Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Aa L ramana ni chudagane dummy ani telisipodhi. Manishi manchode kcr and co ni thattukovali ante L ramana chaaladu. Loki babu ki emaina talking power vundha ante adee ledhu. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sonykongara Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Kukatpally lo 2014 lo Madhavaram ki ichhinappude cheppa veedu pothadu ani. Velama community vundede max 0.7% in Telengana, ee party lo vunna vaallaku groups minimum they will support TRS. Example: All Velama leaders in BJP, Congress supported TRS. Vidyasagar Rao ni choosthe artham avuthundi it's not fight based on policies but based on Castism. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sree Ram Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Revanth & Kishan should work together Valliddaru kaadu .. Ippudunna paristhithulaloo akkada opposition antha kalisthe thappa .. TRS ni kottatam kastam .. Or congress ni motham kaali anna cheyinchali .. Lekapothe oka 10 yrs anni musukoni kurchunte better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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