RKumar Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 https://www.ndtv.com/video/shows/the-countdown-the-heat-is-on/will-kcr-hold-on-to-telangana-watch-prannoy-roy-s-analysis-500583 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RKumar Posted December 3, 2018 Author Share Posted December 3, 2018 In Telangana, A 2 Per Cent Swing Could Be Key: Prannoy Roy's Analysis In Telangana, incumbent Chief Minister KCR's TRS party faces a challenge from the Chandrababu Naidu's TDP and the Congress. Telangana | Edited by Anindita Sanyal | Updated: December 04, 2018 01:06 IST The Telangana Assembly election results will have ramifications for next year's national elections. HYDERABAD: Telangana, India's youngest state, goes to polls next week following a tight contest. Data shows the outcome may depend on just a 2 per cent vote swing. The Congress and Chandrababu Naidu's Telugu Desam Party have teamed up to take on Chief Minister K Chandrashekar Rao, who is seeking a second term. KCR, as Mr Rao is popularly known, had dissolved the state assembly eight months ahead of time to advance the elections. The BJP, which is trying to expand its footprint in the state, has hinted it was because of low confidence. The Chief Minister, they said, is not sure about making his pitch in the middle of a Congress-BJP battle next year. The results will have ramifications for next year's national elections. A victory for the alliance will place Mr Naidu - a self-styled facilitator of a united opposition - at the forefront of the opposition politics. But in Telangana, he has shown himself as ready to take a backseat, yielding the majority of seats to Congress. Mr Rao has pitched for a Third Front without the BJP or the Congress - a stance he is sticking to in the state elections. COMMENT A look at the Vidhan Sabha vs Lok Sabha election shows how the state voted in simultaneous elections in 2014. Data shows independents and smaller parties tend to do better in assembly elections. In 2014 state elections, TRS crossed the halfway mark comfortably but the vote share was a close three-way split between the major parties. If the state votes in the same manner that it did in 2014, the new political tie-ups would mean a very close fight - with a 2% margin being key. The TRS has a stronger base in the northern part of the state, with the party's average margin of victory being as high as 20% in the 2014 elections. "Sub-nationalism" is expected to be a major factor in the election. Freebies and welfare scheme have also been a significant factor influencing the elections in the state. From pensions, free electricity, water taps to farm loan waiver- all had an impact. Telangana has less rural and more urban voters than the rest of India - the 29th state of the country has a 39% urban population as compared to the 30% across India. There are eight bellwether seats to watch out for. Andole has always voted the same party that's won the state in the last 30 years. Will the TRS retain power in Telangana? Here's what opinion polls suggest on who will cross the hallway mark of 60. The results will be declared on December 7, along with that of four other states. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallina Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 Jagan thothu gadu start chesada.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RKumar Posted December 3, 2018 Author Share Posted December 3, 2018 Farmer loan waiver is a failure ani indirect ga chepthunnadu as it is done in 4 years 25K each. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RKumar Posted December 3, 2018 Author Share Posted December 3, 2018 Good analysis. He went scheme by scheme. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rajakeeyam Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 2014 lo 25% cong and 21% TDP nunchi ee situation hmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RKumar Posted December 4, 2018 Author Share Posted December 4, 2018 Pranay Roy - Hyderabad IT because of CBN antunte ee Uma sudheer KCR challenging now antundi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rajakeeyam Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 1 minute ago, RKumar said: Pranay Roy - Hyderabad IT because of CBN antunte ee Uma sudheer KCR challenging now antundi. Both NDTV and Uma were Congress so sync lo undevallu but now Uma Ysrcp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RKumar Posted December 4, 2018 Author Share Posted December 4, 2018 Ee interview lo kooda CBN meeda edupe KCR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RKumar Posted December 4, 2018 Author Share Posted December 4, 2018 YSRCP 3%, Janasena 1% important antunnadu. Janasena Kapu party ani direct ga antunnaru. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RKumar Posted December 4, 2018 Author Share Posted December 4, 2018 SC/STs will turn towards Congress. Muslims Split in Hyd & outside Hyd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RKumar Posted December 4, 2018 Author Share Posted December 4, 2018 https://www.ndtv.com/video/shows/the-countdown-the-heat-is-on/will-kcr-hold-on-to-telangana-watch-prannoy-roy-s-analysis-500583?t=3042 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RKumar Posted December 4, 2018 Author Share Posted December 4, 2018 14% Settlers important, CBN key factor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RKumar Posted December 4, 2018 Author Share Posted December 4, 2018 CBN very defensive against TRS & KCR not good for Peoples front. - NDTV Analysts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RKumar Posted December 4, 2018 Author Share Posted December 4, 2018 Key seats to watch out in Telangana Elections to predict winner: Andhole(SC) & Narsapur - Medak District Bodhan - Nizamabad District Suryapeta - Nalgonda District Shadnagar - MahbubNagar District Manthani - KarimNagar District Janagaon & Warangal East - Warangal District Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
balayyatheking Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Okka mana DB lo mathrame MK win antunnam..bayata motham TRS ane undi..surveys/reports anni..lets see who wins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RKumar Posted December 4, 2018 Author Share Posted December 4, 2018 Poll of Polls: TRS - 66 Peoples Front - 39 MIM - 7 BJP - 4 Very difficult to beat 10-20% difference in short span though most opposition parties come together. Unanimously everyone saying TRS may just win. Pranoy Roy - Small swing in favor/away can change things nothing is ruled out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RKumar Posted December 4, 2018 Author Share Posted December 4, 2018 Hung is still possibility of TDP votes of 2014 are back & voting for Peoples Front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hydking Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 15 minutes ago, RKumar said: Key seats to watch out in Telangana Elections to predict winner: Andhole(SC) & Narsapur - Medak District Bodhan - Nizamabad District Suryapeta - Nalgonda District Shadnagar - MahbubNagar District Manthani - KarimNagar District Janagaon & Warangal East - Warangal District Andhole lo intaku mundu wave undatam valla babu Mohan win ayyadu but ippudu trs ku antha scene ledu...trs candidate worst akkada...daamodara raajanarsimha ke chances ekkuva Jangaon trs candidate muthi reddy meeda anti undi so ponnala ku line clear ayinatte Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RKumar Posted December 4, 2018 Author Share Posted December 4, 2018 Thing i found wrong in NDTV Analysis Reddys will vote mostly for TRS. It's impossible in both rural/city. It's Reddy community which is instrumental in forming this alliance (Peoples Front) which NDTV analysts missed. SC/STs & Reddys - Major sections voting for Congress Velamas & BCs - Voting majorly for TRS. Muslims & Other Settlers - Split between Peoples Front & TRS. - Anyone gets edge here might pull out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallina Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 32 minutes ago, RKumar said: CBN very defensive against TRS & KCR not good for Peoples front. - NDTV Analysts Asalu fight loki techinde idi ga... Lekapothe kcr one side undunu.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RKumar Posted December 4, 2018 Author Share Posted December 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, hydking said: Andhole lo intaku mundu wave undatam valla babu Mohan win ayyadu but ippudu trs ku antha scene ledu...trs candidate worst akkada...daamodara raajanarsimha ke chances ekkuva Jangaon trs candidate muthi reddy meeda anti undi so ponnala ku line clear ayinatte What NDTV meant these are clear swing seats, gives indication who is winning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RKumar Posted December 4, 2018 Author Share Posted December 4, 2018 Just now, Mallina said: Asalu fight loki techinde idi ga... Lekapothe kcr one side undunu.. What they meant CBN in defensive mode saying i am not against Telangana, not stopped projects/water. Instead of offensive he is very defensive that doesn't give so much boost to cadre to come back to TDP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hydking Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Just now, RKumar said: What NDTV meant these are clear swing seats, gives indication who is winning. Aa rendu seats lo MK ke chance undi so MK win ani lock chesukoni? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallina Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, RKumar said: What they meant CBN in defensive mode saying i am not against Telangana, not stopped projects/water. Instead of offensive he is very defensive that doesn't give so much boost to cadre to come back to TDP. September lo unnatu one side ga kcr ki unna e gola undakapodunu.. E tight fight tensions endo ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Babu Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Oka analyst (may be robo, with no connection to public in present) when thrown data (2014) at him then this is (programmed) output.. all these high tech Jurno/analysts (so called) just play with numbers and make money out of TRASH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ask678 Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Chivariki NTDV survey chuse stage ki padipoyaru...hufff NDTV and Shit both are partners....vaadi survey equals to Shit survey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ask678 Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Same NDTV 2014 AP survey...good comedy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ask678 Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 1 hour ago, Mallina said: September lo unnatu one side ga kcr ki unna e gola undakapodunu.. E tight fight tensions endo ? Tight ledhu bokka ledhu.....ready for kachara send off... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hydking Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 #TrustLagadam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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