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Once for all ..My conclusion


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Corruption of MLA's ... Loki in efficiency and back door to ministry... Special status u turn... lack of Money distribution on poll day...anti incumbency.... Amaravati location selection.... All these contribute may be around 2-3% of vote share at max ... Which was easily negated by Pasupu kunkuma scheme... I repeat easily... 

 

What I have observed... When you call word youth ... The age number is no more confined to 25 or 30... Now youth Ane word enlarged and streched till 40... So in the age group between 18-40 (major vote bank)... I hardly found any people and reasons saying they are voting for CBN this time... It's not that CBN is inefficient ... It's just that craze ... And adrenaline rush ... And kick tat leader gives... Which is seriously missing...(mana daridram oka leader capability Ni mana daggara ilage anchana vesthunanru... Be it Jagan... Be it kcr... Ktr... And not by his work ethic)

Ikkade... Loki... Babu ki debbesadu... Unable to attract youth... 

Adding to above...same points we can map to labour also... Oka roju mottam lo 80 to 90% traffic rules break chese auto nakoduku kuda Mike pedithee speixal status gurinchi ..u turn gurinchi matladuthunnadu ante... Artham avadam ledha .. they are just finding reasons to hate CBN... Edho okati reason petkoni they want to support Jagan... same situation 2024 lo repeat avthundi... But opposite way lo... They find positives then to support Jagan... 

Labour and youth votes ...big big dent padday... Thanks to social media and Jio... Entha badnaam cheyalo antha chesay  on Kulam card and trolls on  .. which added fuel to fire...

Need of the hour... Mass image... Inject youth leaders into key roles and attack senselessly ... But only on right opportunity.... not from day1... Give him sometime... Meanwhile get the basics right and try to bring morale up of the cadre... And last but not the least... Pump huge huge huge money into social media... Let it take 1k crores... Don't step back... 

Inka MLA's corruption or EVM's manipulation ani manalni Manam mosam cheksunte.. be ready to sit in opposition in 2024... Dot

 

 

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Valla social media inka active ga ne undi, already fakes news spread cheyadam start chesaru....

Galla jayadev ni Lokesh kindal chesadu ani, pramana sweekaram ki CBN 30cr spend chesthe jagan 2 lakhs ye spend chestunnadu ani .... Ila spread chestunnaru......

 

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2 minutes ago, KING007 said:

Valla social media inka active ga ne undi, already fakes news spread cheyadam start chesaru....

Galla jayadev ni Lokesh kindal chesadu ani, pramana sweekaram ki CBN 30cr spend chesthe jagan 2 lakhs ye spend chestunnadu ani .... Ila spread chestunnaru......

 

2 cr anukunta 

But babu garu baga dubara ayite chesaru 

 

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Seema problems or issues vasthe... Seema language lo ne reply ivvali... But not from the mouth from.the likes of varla ramayya... Rajendra Prasad... Ah vidhanga mundhuku pothunnam... Pls stop this shit...

 

ASVR ... Slang lo... pulivendula poolangallu danka.... Type lo replies ivvali.... Which will hit the people instantly ... 

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Rayalaseema lo Adi Narayana Reddy ki free hand ichi... thanaku assist cheyagala leaders ni tayaaru chesuko anaali before next elections.  Rama Subba Reddy ... ika chaalu.... Otamulaku koodaa oka haddu vuntundi.... stop him now.

Migatha areas lo strong second rung ni develop chesukuntoone... state wide naayakatvam lo koodaa oka youth leader develop chesukovaali.... Ram Mohan Naidu is better choice for now.  Jr.NTR thappa inko peru lekapovadam mana duradrushtam in N Clan....Jr.NTR ippatlo vaddu, raaledu, raakoodadu.  Brahmani was one option... but should have been used before elections... ippudu vasthe Lokesh inkaa navvula paalu avuthaadu... But seriously saying Brahmani is great alternative.

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11 minutes ago, Venu_NTR said:

Corruption of MLA's ... Loki in efficiency and back door to ministry... Special status u turn... lack of Money distribution on poll day...anti incumbency.... Amaravati location selection.... All these contribute may be around 2-3% of vote share at max ... Which was easily negated by Pasupu kunkuma scheme... I repeat easily... 

 

What I have observed... When you call word youth ... The age number is no more confined to 25 or 30... Now youth Ane word enlarged and streched till 40... So in the age group between 18-40 (major vote bank)... I hardly found any people and reasons saying they are voting for CBN this time... It's not that CBN is inefficient ... It's just that craze ... And adrenaline rush ... And kick tat leader gives... Which is seriously missing...(mana daridram oka leader capability Ni mana daggara ilage anchana vesthunanru... Be it Jagan... Be it kcr... Ktr... And not by his work ethic)

Ikkade... Loki... Babu ki debbesadu... Unable to attract youth... 

Adding to above...same points we can map to labour also... Oka roju mottam lo 80 to 90% traffic rules break chese auto nakoduku kuda Mike pedithee speixal status gurinchi ..u turn gurinchi matladuthunnadu ante... Artham avadam ledha .. they are just finding reasons to hate CBN... Edho okati reason petkoni they want to support Jagan... same situation 2024 lo repeat avthundi... But opposite way lo... They find positives then to support Jagan... 

Labour and youth votes ...big big dent padday... Thanks to social media and Jio... Entha badnaam cheyalo antha chesay  on Kulam card and trolls on  .. which added fuel to fire...

Need of the hour... Mass image... Inject youth leaders into key roles and attack senselessly ... But only on right opportunity.... not from day1... Give him sometime... Meanwhile get the basics right and try to bring morale up of the cadre... And last but not the least... Pump huge huge huge money into social media... Let it take 1k crores... Don't step back... 

Inka MLA's corruption or EVM's manipulation ani manalni Manam mosam cheksunte.. be ready to sit in opposition in 2024... Dot

 

 

nijam anna, assala youth lo vaadiki endhuku vesthunnaru ante kaaranam ledhu. rush ante, mass image. vaadiki veyyali kaabatti edho oka kaaranam vethukkuntaaru.

adhae 2014- 2019 jagan paaliste, manakanna dhaarunam ga, ayina kooda malli 2019 lo vaadikae ichevaallu welfare chesaadu ani. aadikeyyali kaabatti okka chance inko edho ethukuntunnaru. 2024 lo malli idhae antaaremo ani bhayam. baaga welfare chesadu ani, enni bhokkalu, u turn lu, avineethi...... arachakaalu chesina.

vaadi vote bank mari ekkuva. 2014 lone manaku just 2-3% thaggadu anthae. ento andhra janaalaki dhannam baaboi ... aaaa athi telivi, atyaasa, swardham, kula gajji ani kalipi raastranni naakinchesthunnaru, chesukunnallaku chesukunnantha.

mass image build chesukuni, janaalatho baaga kalisi, party vote bank build chesukovaali. 2014-19 manchi avakaasam power lo undi kooda bc votes atu tilt ayiniy ante, party meedha baabu gaaru sradha pettala

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3 minutes ago, Raaz@NBK said:

One chance kuda baaga work ayindhi..

mushulo mabbulo naaku ardham kaadhayyo.....

baabu intha bangaram la chestunte decoit ki okka chance ento .... india motham lo okka chance ivval, tg lo ivvala. mana daggara ento....

majority janaalu alaanae unnarulae.... em cheyyagalm, thappa ayina oppu ayina majority istam antae

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Anniti kante basic problem is... vennupotu mudra.  Daanni prathodu highlight cheyyadame.... eppatinundo chestunnaaru.... they succeeded finally by injecting that poison into various sections of people & youth mainly.  Kukkka RGV gaadu itodhikam gaa saayapaddaadu.

Inka paatha marakalatho konasaagalem.  Kashtame ayina...Babu gaaru kathina nirnayam teesukuni for the welfare of one of the biggest party and cadre in Independent India.... he must go behind curtains.... still he can run with his brain... but physically, he must not be seen anywhere... this feeling i got way before, but harsh gaa vundi ... point artham chesukoleka nannu rakkesthaaremo ani bhayapaddaanu. 

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Development... gaadida guddu... idantha choodatam ledu mana jaanaalu.... Vennupotu, U Turn ituvanti padaalu famous chesaaru.  Ghoram emitante... vaallu chesina chinnaayana murder koodaa mana meedaki thosi prajala chetha namminchadam.  Otherwise... janaalu enduku vote vestaaru babai ni champinodiki... ippudu gelichaaka.... okka maata ayinaa annaadaa Babai gurinchi.

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12 minutes ago, Npower said:

Development... gaadida guddu... idantha choodatam ledu mana jaanaalu.... Vennupotu, U Turn ituvanti padaalu famous chesaaru.  Ghoram emitante... vaallu chesina chinnaayana murder koodaa mana meedaki thosi prajala chetha namminchadam.  Otherwise... janaalu enduku vote vestaaru babai ni champinodiki... ippudu gelichaaka.... okka maata ayinaa annaadaa Babai gurinchi.

Vennupotu severe impact ravsindhi 99 lo...kani adhu Tdp's biggest win till date... 

 

As I already said they are just finding reasons to hate CBN... Vennupotu u turn special status  Amaravati...just reasons... To vote for jagan... vote ithe already fix

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Caste arithmetic is Greatest advantage for Jagga !!! Esp in Greater Rayalaseema (R.seema+NLR+Western Pksm) where Reddies+Dalits+Muslims form as low as 35% to as high as 65% in different constituencies ... Back in 2014 TDP swept GTR-SKKLM belt & ATP (infact crossed majority mark 88 from these districts ) But managed to win only 13/48 seats in NLR-Knl-kdp-Ctr ... ATP has Highest BC population in this entire belt (Greater R.seema) ... Infact TDP polled 41.25% in ATP this time ... Highest in Western Pksm - ATP belt , Corroborates the fact that TDP underperforms where ever Dalits & Minorities have a say !!!

10.5% Difference mean we Just need 5.25% Swing in our favor to Make it even !!! 3-3.5% swing will Give TDP lead from GNT-SKKLM belt (VZM exception) Significant BC voters Moved away from TDP (10-15% of total BC population) Like from 70-30 to 60-40 or 55-45 & Muslims voted for TDP this time is a Joke !!! May be 3-4% > Last time that's it !!! 80% Jagga ke vesuntaaru !!!

Trust BCs & BCs alone ... Give em Hope !!! They will vote you back to power !!!

 

And Last but not the least Just altering a famous saying wee bit , *If you Elevate a Clown , Expect Circus not seats !!! * (If you know what I mean ) !!!

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11 minutes ago, Rajakeeyam said:

Loss of youth leader PK debbesindhi agreed 😁

And vaadu cheppina sollu accusations on TDP jenam nammaru. Vachi pitch penda penda chesadu. All baseless accusations and vaadikunna craze ki jenam nammesaru.

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37 minutes ago, Rajakeeyam said:

Loss of youth leader PK debbesindhi agreed 😁

Actual ga PK gadiki 10% above votes vachi vunte TDP ki favour ayyedi uncle.... aadi somberi performance valla bharee hole padindi manaki...

ee elections mottaniki happy ante center lo result, PK/Nagabob povatam plus Pedda hero last time kanna aekuva majority tho gelavatam....

ee mega fans all holes close chesuku kurchuntaru konni days :dream:

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28 minutes ago, ravikia said:

And vaadu cheppina sollu accusations on TDP jenam nammaru. Vachi pitch penda penda chesadu. All baseless accusations and vaadikunna craze ki jenam nammesaru.

5% votes aadi range.... aadi bonda craze 

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3 hours ago, Nararohit93 said:

vennupotu ledhu em ledhu ....

its because lack of cordination between 2 nd grade leaders and cadre ....

manaki kula rajakeeyam cheyyatam raaledhu 

sontha kulam ki last priority ichaam .....adhi CBN manchithanam .....

Aaa janama bhumi committee lu endhukoo ardham kaa ledhu.....prathi village lo president and ward members vunaru.....most of the villages lo presidents TDP valle.... Ee janmaboomi commitee lu kevalam group politics kosam ee petti nattu vundhii..

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IMO, 3 major reasons why TDP lost

1. Money power - TDP could not match YSRCP

2. Manifesto - Jagan promised lot of stuff ... we should have at least matched it or at least told people that it is not possible .. we released our manifesto just three days before .. lot of people who got our benefits also voted for YSRCP because of the simple reason that he is offering even more ...

3. Caste Polarization - YSRCP and Janasena effectively polarized other castes against us and we did not take any measures to counter it...

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11 minutes ago, deepakntr said:

IMO, 3 major reasons why TDP lost

1. Money power - TDP could not match YSRCP

2. Manifesto - Jagan promised lot of stuff ... we should have at least matched it or at least told people that it is not possible .. we released our manifesto just three days before .. lot of people who got our benefits also voted for YSRCP because of the simple reason that he is offering even more ...

3. Caste Polarization - YSRCP and Janasena effectively polarized other castes against us and we did not take any measures to counter it...

politics lo money may fetch u another 4-5 seats may be in entire 175.. But can not overturn entire result or fate... 

 

This is the main DLM any political party wants to get away in the introspection... 

Coming to manifesto thing... We wud have won 250 out of 294 in 2009 itself .. if people are looking at manifesto seriously...that was the year we gave our best shot in terms of manifesto (Raithu runamafi is an exception)

Aathma pariseelana lo aatma vanchana cheskunte .... Adakka mingutham..

I am firm and still believe that we are not catering to 18-40 age group... And labour mass group... To change the tide atleast start investing in social media... 

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2 hours ago, ravikia said:

And vaadu cheppina sollu accusations on TDP jenam nammaru. Vachi pitch penda penda chesadu. All baseless accusations and vaadikunna craze ki jenam nammesaru.

ADI vadiki kakunda ycp ki upayoga padindi

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6 hours ago, Npower said:

Anniti kante basic problem is... vennupotu mudra.  Daanni prathodu highlight cheyyadame.... eppatinundo chestunnaaru.... they succeeded finally by injecting that poison into various sections of people & youth mainly.  Kukkka RGV gaadu itodhikam gaa saayapaddaadu.

Inka paatha marakalatho konasaagalem.  Kashtame ayina...Babu gaaru kathina nirnayam teesukuni for the welfare of one of the biggest party and cadre in Independent India.... he must go behind curtains.... still he can run with his brain... but physically, he must not be seen anywhere... this feeling i got way before, but harsh gaa vundi ... point artham chesukoleka nannu rakkesthaaremo ani bhayapaddaanu. 

Two words ysr has injected to people about CBN...vennupotu and viswaasaneeyatha

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2 hours ago, Venu_NTR said:

politics lo money may fetch u another 4-5 seats may be in entire 175.. But can not overturn entire result or fate... 

 

This is the main DLM any political party wants to get away in the introspection... 

Coming to manifesto thing... We wud have won 250 out of 294 in 2009 itself .. if people are looking at manifesto seriously...that was the year we gave our best shot in terms of manifesto (Raithu runamafi is an exception)

Aathma pariseelana lo aatma vanchana cheskunte .... Adakka mingutham..

I am firm and still believe that we are not catering to 18-40 age group... And labour mass group... To change the tide atleast start investing in social media... 

Perfect.Our leader missed to catch the pulse of 18-40 age group.Even though BJP is our rival just observe them how advanced they are in electioneering.Modi has shah as strong secondary leader who works in the background to catchup the latest mood.TDP has this during Anna gari time NTR as mass leader and CBN in background.Now it is one man show.

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Party ki Babu gare balam, Babu gare weakness.......

  1. Babu ni chusi 1.23 crores votes vesaru
  2. Babu mana expectations ni reach kaaledhu ani oka 35 lakhs swing ayyaru - new voters oka 10 lakhs Jagan & Pavan ki vesaru
  3. Babu ni yelagaina odinchali ani oka 1.2 cores kanakanam kattukunnaru - particular ga youth force between 18 to 40

Lokesh oka leader ga yedagali anukunte.....its the best opportunity to struggle, sustain and raise.

oka one year lo full physical fitness and body shape up chesukuni a next  Cycle yathra tho low fan fare tho mundhu anni MLA constituencies cover cheyyali without any public meetings - address only party members. last 2 years anni MP constituencies cover chesthu padayathra cheyyali with public meetings allowing local leaders to talk more and CBN can join address those meetings.

yentha silent ga pani chesukuni pothye, result kuda antha violent ga untundhi.

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