GOLI SODA Posted May 22, 2019 Share Posted May 22, 2019 I still feel and hope this will be true even after exit polls BJP will get between 130 to 170 TDP 90 to 100 Scene reverse ayithe well played boys and congrats to Jagan Modini 👍 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PHANI_NTR Posted May 22, 2019 Share Posted May 22, 2019 Same feeling bro exit polls echinanta easy kadu modi ki Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Federal Posted May 22, 2019 Share Posted May 22, 2019 Ready lo brahmanandam character tho inspired emo ee golisoda saaru Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaitra Posted May 22, 2019 Share Posted May 22, 2019 To rig an election in a multi party democracy like India, you don’t have to hack all 1.6 million EVMs. No need to tamper even 10% (160,000) as mentioned. Any party which can tamper 38000 to 54000 EVMs (2.5% to 3.5%)will sweep the election. It is not necessary for a party to tamper the EVMs in every constituency. They’ll do it only where they feel they have a chance, but competition is tough and that will eliminate the suspicion. Wherever they can use and manipulate the govt machinery, it is not a tough task. In the last Lok Sabha election, 331 winners won with less than 50% of total votes polled in their constituencies; 99 winners got less than 40% and 4 winners have won with less than 30% of total votes polled in their constituency. In UP, in 2014, The SP and BSP combined represented 42% of vote share. In Bihar RJD scored 20.14% vote share. The representation of regional parties remained equal – at 212 seats – with the same vote share (46.6% against 46.7% in 2009). So when they make strong alliances, winning margin reduces. An EVM can store 2000 votes. If 850 voter/EVM is calculated and if 50% of the 850 votes are manipulated, with 50 rigged EVMs, one candidate can score 25000 more votes in a constituency. Here, he is not only scoring additional 25000 votes, but reducing that much from other candidate(s) which gives added advantage. And in many cases that is the winning margin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GOLI SODA Posted May 22, 2019 Author Share Posted May 22, 2019 18 minutes ago, Jaitra said: To rig an election in a multi party democracy like India, you don’t have to hack all 1.6 million EVMs. No need to tamper even 10% (160,000) as mentioned. Any party which can tamper 38000 to 54000 EVMs (2.5% to 3.5%)will sweep the election. It is not necessary for a party to tamper the EVMs in every constituency. They’ll do it only where they feel they have a chance, but competition is tough and that will eliminate the suspicion. Wherever they can use and manipulate the govt machinery, it is not a tough task. In the last Lok Sabha election, 331 winners won with less than 50% of total votes polled in their constituencies; 99 winners got less than 40% and 4 winners have won with less than 30% of total votes polled in their constituency. In UP, in 2014, The SP and BSP combined represented 42% of vote share. In Bihar RJD scored 20.14% vote share. The representation of regional parties remained equal – at 212 seats – with the same vote share (46.6% against 46.7% in 2009). So when they make strong alliances, winning margin reduces. An EVM can store 2000 votes. If 850 voter/EVM is calculated and if 50% of the 850 votes are manipulated, with 50 rigged EVMs, one candidate can score 25000 more votes in a constituency. Here, he is not only scoring additional 25000 votes, but reducing that much from other candidate(s) which gives added advantage. And in many cases that is the winning margin. Cricket lo match fixing laga idhi ignore cheyadame .... Repu results vachedhakaina hope vundali...ga Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Naren_EGDT Posted May 22, 2019 Share Posted May 22, 2019 From beginning Same feeling here, Modi out babu win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chellam Posted May 22, 2019 Share Posted May 22, 2019 3 minutes ago, Naren_EGDT said: From beginning Same feeling here, Modi out babu win I am doubting bhayya because of UP. In UP, due to congress votes got split and advantaged to BJP. May be same scene repeats like in 2014. Anduke anukunta, Anni exit pols BJP ki favour ga vachhayi....Lets see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravindras Posted May 22, 2019 Share Posted May 22, 2019 11 minutes ago, chellam said: I am doubting bhayya because of UP. In UP, due to congress votes got split and advantaged to BJP. May be same scene repeats like in 2014. Anduke anukunta, Anni exit pols BJP ki favour ga vachhayi....Lets see. bsp interfering in congress vote base in other states. congress decided to wipeout bsp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RKumar Posted May 22, 2019 Share Posted May 22, 2019 Congress cheelchindi Upper caste Hindu votes in 70% seats. 30% seats effect on MGB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RKumar Posted May 22, 2019 Share Posted May 22, 2019 Prathi MP seat lo Dalit/Upper caste/Yadav-BC (15-20%) MGB got 25% Muslims vote that is sufficient to get majority seats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chellam Posted May 22, 2019 Share Posted May 22, 2019 3 minutes ago, RKumar said: Congress cheelchindi Upper caste Hindu votes in 70% seats. 30% seats effect on MGB. If so,it’s good to hear bhayya. But, still doubting due to lack of unity between opposition parties in UP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RKumar Posted May 22, 2019 Share Posted May 22, 2019 6 minutes ago, chellam said: If so,it’s good to hear bhayya. But, still doubting due to lack of unity between opposition parties in UP. Muslim(25-27%) + Yadav-BCs (15%) + Jats (10%) + Dalits (20%) lo 70% vote padina MGB will cross 50 mark. MGB already tested vote transfer in By-Elections, even BJP CM candidate MP seat Gorakhpur lost very badly. 60-40% seats max, if not 50-50% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bollu Posted May 22, 2019 Share Posted May 22, 2019 cong matram e elections lo daring ga contest chesindi pothulu githulu ettukokunda. lekapothe prathi vadu vadi party survival kosam cong party ni don't contest ani cheputhunnaru. e sari modi vasthe aap egiripoddi. straight f8 bjp/cong ne untadi. same with west bengal, maya pothe cong/commi straight f8 avuddi. up lo kooda bjp vallu bsp ni debba vesthe cong ke advantage adi. e sari shivsena ni kooda oka debba vesthe bagundu akkada kooda cong vs bjp ga turn ayiddi. full majority bjp ki vasthe matha kalahalu recha gotti trs ni kooda muppa tippalu pedatharu saripoddi. they won't leave tg if bjp gets absolute majority. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RKumar Posted May 22, 2019 Share Posted May 22, 2019 30-40 seats loss in UP for BJP highly possible. MP, RAJ, CH, JARkhand, Punjab, KA lo Congress 30-40% seats geluchukunna Modi Out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bollu Posted May 22, 2019 Share Posted May 22, 2019 Just now, RKumar said: 30-40 seats loss in UP for BJP highly possible. MP, RAJ, CH, JARkhand, Punjab, KA lo Congress 30-40% seats geluchukunna Modi Out. balakot effect bane undi ani bjp ki badda vyathireki aina chalasani kooda antunnadu tv lo, modi modi ani uguthunnaru north side, still may retain 80% of the seats in north antunnadu. aayana kooda north oka round vesi vachadu anta. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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