Jump to content

JS effect in east


Recommended Posts

my observation in east :

chala areas lo kapus silent voting vesesaru for jsp. 

east lo 70 percent  kapus doesnt vote for TDP in any elections,kapus lo pakka hardcore anti tdp fans chusanu. 

PK factor east lo andaru manki negative antunaru kadha, small example chebutaa,maa mena attaya valla kitumbam almost 60 votes last time voted for ycp,this unanimous gaa js ki paddayee. maa dadclose circle lo last time 99 percent tdp ki padayeee,this time 85 percent tdp 15 percent jsp. 

kapus in kesavaram last time unanimous gaa ycp guddee padesaru,now they voted for ycp/js.

 

kapus lo remaining 30 percent lo 25 percent loayal tdp fans irrespective of caste vuntaru like my family. they will always stay with tdp.

east lo pk factor is a big big plus for tdp.

 

ramachandrapuram lo maa relatives hardcore tdp fans thotha vastadu mla gaa anee 15 lalhs bet kattaru. valluuu cheppadam antee antaaa, pk valla kapu votes ycp ki pakka vesa vallu js ki vesaru,at max oka 10 percent miss ayyee vuntayee pk valla antunaru.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

today maa jewellery shop ki oka family vacharu,dont think they are from upper caste, their surname is musina , casually i asked them to whom they voted,they first hesitared next said cbn ki vesamu,chandrabau vunta mana rastram baguntundhe,they almost spoke for 5mins positvely for cbn,not at atall tdp supporters just for cbn they voted for tdp.

 

one only lady ni adigaa,she said meru aa party no naku teliyadhu andhe,nenu maa chandrababu kaa vesanu, chandra babu vuntana rastram bagupadhu anee cheppindhe,then i opened up,nenu tdp anee

 

my observation is many voted just seeing cbn name.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 minutes ago, mani@adhurs said:

my observation in east :

chala areas lo kapus silent voting vesesaru for jsp. 

east lo 70 percent  kapus doesnt vote for TDP in any elections,kapus lo pakka hardcore anti tdp fans chusanu. 

PK factor east lo andaru manki negative antunaru kadha, small example chebutaa,maa mena attaya valla kitumbam almost 60 votes last time voted for ycp,this unanimous gaa js ki paddayee. maa dadclose circle lo last time 99 percent tdp ki padayeee,this time 85 percent tdp 15 percent jsp. 

kapus in kesavaram last time unanimous gaa ycp guddee padesaru,now they voted for ycp/js.

 

kapus lo remaining 30 percent lo 25 percent loayal tdp fans irrespective of caste vuntaru like my family. they will always stay with tdp.

east lo pk factor is a big big plus for tdp.

 

ramachandrapuram lo maa relatives hardcore tdp fans thotha vastadu mla gaa anee 15 lalhs bet kattaru. valluuu cheppadam antee antaaa, pk valla kapu votes ycp ki pakka vesa vallu js ki vesaru,at max oka 10 percent miss ayyee vuntayee pk valla antunaru.

Ee percentage estimate ela chesaru 🤔

Link to comment
Share on other sites

14 minutes ago, dusukochadu said:

Ee percentage estimate ela chesaru 🤔

Na friend circle lo unna Kaps lo 99% anti TDP unnaru.... most of them are in Godavari districts. 

This polarization started immensely after Sirio entered Politics. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Godavari jillaala kapullo TDP saanukula vote bank undi. TDP vyatireka vote bank undi. TDP vyatireka vote bank  YCP and JS ki madhya split ayinanta, TDP sanukula vote TDP ki JS ki split avvadu. prajarajyam effect+kapu corporation+reservation koodaa vaallani JS vaipu ki vellakundaa chestundi.

Krishna+Guntur lo TDP saanukula vote bank chaalaa takkuva. vyatireka vote bank ippati daakaa Congress/YCP chetillo undi. ippudu YCP/JS madhya split avutundi.  small % Krishna lo schemes+capital+Radha effect valla  TDP vaipuki vacchaaru.

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

12 minutes ago, Bollu said:

but last elections lo kapulu veyakapothe mari ela gelichindi tdp with super majority to? e community support chesindi godavari dist lo tdp ki?

What is the vote percentage diff between TDP and YCP in Godavari dists? 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

My friend and his family has around 12 votes...valla intlo andaru TDP except my friend as he completed his BE in vja Sidharth..so in his life he won't vote for TDP in fact in 2014 he was argued all seats in Kakinada area sweeping by ycp

.his argument was proven wrong .. in this election the force his wife and other family members for cast their vote JS ..they replied that this term we are going to cast CBN only and he casted vote to JS .

 

As usual ga after 11th I have called him for  his views,he told that all his family voted for TDP but TDP wont sweep and one seat possible Pilli antha Lakshmi ani cheppadu.

 

In short last time ycp vote took divertion to JS and TDP votes remains same.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

19 minutes ago, sskmaestro said:

What is the vote percentage diff between TDP and YCP in Godavari dists? 

ycp ki total ga 2276210 vachayi, manaki +bjp+independent kalipi total ga 2727531 vachayi.  manaki 20% extra vachinattu valla meeda. ((2727531.00 - 2276210.00)/2276210.00)*100;

http://www.elections.in/andhra-pradesh/assembly-constituencies/2014-election-results.html

Link to comment
Share on other sites

maa friend (kapu) from narsapuram assembly constituency . bandaru madhava naidu emi development cheyyaledhu . godavari pushkaralu time lo vachina development funds tinnaadu . muncipality development fund tinnaadu.

jagan CM avuthaaddani taluchukuntene bhayam vesthundhi . pawan kalyan gelavadu . vunnanthalo cbn best option . tdp ki vesthaa annaadu.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Kapu's 60-70% support lekunda East lo TDP 2014 lo 12/19 geliche chance ledu. SCs-22% lo TDP ki EG lo pade votes minimum. 

Kakinda elections lo kooda TDP won most wards in kapu dominated areas, lost few in BC dominated. 4 lady kapu corporators tried for Mayor post. 

ee saari BCs lo kontha % shifted to YCP, if Kaps voted 40-50% for TDP we can win 10+ MLA seats in EG lekapothe 6-7 max.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 hours ago, Bollu said:

but last elections lo kapulu veyakapothe mari ela gelichindi tdp with super majority to? e community support chesindi godavari dist lo tdp ki?

Mee doubt ki answer ikkadaa undi.. densuluru without kapu voting 2009 lo chintamaneni majority is equal to with PK in 2014.

Kapullo mana party fixed voting kuda undi. Alage anti TDP voting kuda undi.

Ee rendu kalipi 2009 lo PRP ki poyayi. 2014 lo evadi voting vadiki vachesindi.

PK factor valla 2014 lo kontha kapu voting advantage ayyindi but kevalam dani vallane manam gelichamu anedi wrong.

2014 lo kakinada city lo kapu voting vellane gelichamu annaru but ippudu kuda malli win avvabotunnamu. Ante kapu voting padinatla leka poyinatla ?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Kapu voting in Godavari Dt's is too much subjective and lot of dynamics.......even after results we may not be able to assess the voting pattern...unless we look at the village level voting pattern with clear understanding of voters in that booth.... But without majority Kapu supporters we will not win more than half seats in these Dts... If we can't win half of the seats from Eg,Wg, Vizag....we are not forming Govt.......

Link to comment
Share on other sites

In any village will have 2 groups

1) village means where other than sc community stays 

2) palle where sc people will stay (ycp has edge)

Because of jsp only village votes will split and sc votes remain to ycp

Which clear advantage to ycp

Correct me if it is different in godavari dts

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 hours ago, MCR said:

Godavari jillaala kapullo TDP saanukula vote bank undi. TDP vyatireka vote bank undi. TDP vyatireka vote bank  YCP and JS ki madhya split ayinanta, TDP sanukula vote TDP ki JS ki split avvadu. prajarajyam effect+kapu corporation+reservation koodaa vaallani JS vaipu ki vellakundaa chestundi.

Krishna+Guntur lo TDP saanukula vote bank chaalaa takkuva. vyatireka vote bank ippati daakaa Congress/YCP chetillo undi. ippudu YCP/JS madhya split avutundi.  small % Krishna lo schemes+capital+Radha effect valla  TDP vaipuki vacchaaru.

 

 

+1111

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 Gave this multiple times in this DB. Posting again.

Kapus lo, let’s see below angle.

1. Old age people (both genders) - adv TDP

2. Middle aged (both genders) - adv TDP

3. Male youth - adv Pawan

4. Female youth - slightly advantage to Pawan

split this way and see how much we can gain.

 

there is another angle....

1. Hard core TDP/CBN haters - adv Jagan

2. Caste fanatics - adv Pawan

3. Blind PK followers - adv Pawan 

4. TDP sympathizers (traditional plus impact from diff schemes)  - adv TDP

 

even split this way and see the data. 

 

Combine both these angles, I see we have our noses ahead.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 hours ago, sskmaestro said:

Na friend circle lo unna Kaps lo 99% anti TDP unnaru.... most of them are in Godavari districts. 

This polarization started immensely after Sirio entered Politics. 

AP politics ante caste politics ani oka stamp esi poyadu... party petti AP ni nasanam chesi vadu happy ga movies tesukutunadu

Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 hours ago, mani@adhurs said:

my observation in east :

chala areas lo kapus silent voting vesesaru for jsp. 

east lo 70 percent  kapus doesnt vote for TDP in any elections,kapus lo pakka hardcore anti tdp fans chusanu. 

PK factor east lo andaru manki negative antunaru kadha, small example chebutaa,maa mena attaya valla kitumbam almost 60 votes last time voted for ycp,this unanimous gaa js ki paddayee. maa dadclose circle lo last time 99 percent tdp ki padayeee,this time 85 percent tdp 15 percent jsp. 

kapus in kesavaram last time unanimous gaa ycp guddee padesaru,now they voted for ycp/js.

 

kapus lo remaining 30 percent lo 25 percent loayal tdp fans irrespective of caste vuntaru like my family. they will always stay with tdp.

east lo pk factor is a big big plus for tdp.

 

ramachandrapuram lo maa relatives hardcore tdp fans thotha vastadu mla gaa anee 15 lalhs bet kattaru. valluuu cheppadam antee antaaa, pk valla kapu votes ycp ki pakka vesa vallu js ki vesaru,at max oka 10 percent miss ayyee vuntayee pk valla antunaru.

Ramachandrapuram very tight ani talk but he will anukuntunna kaps 10k potayi antunaru votes js ki anduke tight lekapothe easy win may be 5k ala gelustaremo..poyina voted ani third force ki povadame better ade ycp ki poyi unte guarantee poye seat

Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 hours ago, MCR said:

Godavari jillaala kapullo TDP saanukula vote bank undi. TDP vyatireka vote bank undi. TDP vyatireka vote bank  YCP and JS ki madhya split ayinanta, TDP sanukula vote TDP ki JS ki split avvadu. prajarajyam effect+kapu corporation+reservation koodaa vaallani JS vaipu ki vellakundaa chestundi.

Krishna+Guntur lo TDP saanukula vote bank chaalaa takkuva. vyatireka vote bank ippati daakaa Congress/YCP chetillo undi. ippudu YCP/JS madhya split avutundi.  small % Krishna lo schemes+capital+Radha effect valla  TDP vaipuki vacchaaru.

 

 

 

anthe kaadu. TDP ki vyatireka vote bank unna chota koodaa okkOsaari candidate batti vote swing chaalaa favor ga jargutundi.  

Unlike in 2009, This time TDP has strong leaders like Jyotula, Thota etc who try their best to retain their vote bank and send signals across the district. 

The good thing about people(also kapus) in general from Godavari is they think and decide whom to vote based on who does what.  They don't decide based on hatred/emotions alone. 

Though caste polarization is there, the region has sub-regions where each community is dominant in their own way and they don't try to assert or encroach their power in other regions.

If TDP doesn't get 25+ seats in Godavari, I believe it's not kapus but eroding BC vote bank is the reason. 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 minutes ago, Godavari said:

Ramachandrapuram very tight ani talk but he will anukuntunna kaps 10k potayi antunaru votes js ki anduke tight lekapothe easy win may be 5k ala gelustaremo

Look at that being strong kapu leader like thota also not able to retain tdp vote, that means clear damage to tdp ,have to see it is up to defeat tdp or just simple vote damage

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, rama123 said:

Look at that being strong kapu leader like thota also not able to retain tdp vote, that means clear damage to tdp ,have to see it is up to defeat tdp or just simple vote damage

Only js effecte kadhuu ayana meda anti undi konthamandi lo thota cadre aggressivrness valla konni villages lo

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Bommidi srini said:

Mee doubt ki answer ikkadaa undi.. densuluru without kapu voting 2009 lo chintamaneni majority is equal to with PK in 2014.

Kapullo mana party fixed voting kuda undi. Alage anti TDP voting kuda undi.

Ee rendu kalipi 2009 lo PRP ki poyayi. 2014 lo evadi voting vadiki vachesindi.

PK factor valla 2014 lo kontha kapu voting advantage ayyindi but kevalam dani vallane manam gelichamu anedi wrong.

2014 lo kakinada city lo kapu voting vellane gelichamu annaru but ippudu kuda malli win avvabotunnamu. Ante kapu voting padinatla leka poyinatla ?

Kakinada city winning ah???

Corporatorsee tinesaruu gaa full ga monna they nt worked for him many supported Reddy indirectly ..

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...