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Undavalli Paluku - Who is winning AP elections?


RKumar

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2 minutes ago, rama123 said:

Mass ante okka west ane kadu...intaki meer ekkada akkada evaru gelustaru

TDP pakka ya geliche 80+ seats details already  Vesaru db lo. U can refer that . Andulo tough fight kuda unnai oka 30 daka.. search for that thread 

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15 minutes ago, rama123 said:

Annee correcte villagevlo oka road kavalani veyyyaledanuko vaallu vestara votes.

Oka pension aparu kavalani vaallu vestara votes.

Ilantivi chala vuntayi

 

Agree with u..

Oka village lo 10 roads unnay 8 veasru 2 veyyala.. Adhe village or some other area 100 old ppl lo 80 ki pension icharu 20 ki eyyaledhu.. 

so 80:20 meeru anntu 20 veyyaledhu anukindham 80 veyyali ga.. 

20 medha meeku unntha conf 80 medha endhuku ledhu.. Poni 80 lo casetlu some other reason 20 minus cheyyandi still.. 

60:40....

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1 minute ago, rama123 said:

Sare meeru cheppina dani prakaram anni seats gelavali.

Ex pulivendula lo pensioners tdp ki vestara meeru cheppina ratio lo

Sare ysr 200 pension.. Runamafi.. Etc etc thisukonna entha pandhi  kuppam lo ysr ki vesaru? State antha kuppam kadhu alge puluvendala kadhu.. 

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1 hour ago, sonykongara said:

ni lanti jaffa chidatala kotte batch ne elanti paniki malina panulu chesedi,bakalu koduthu heroni nasanam chesaru,db lo entha chinchukune batch nagababu ante musukoni kurchoni unnaru,appudu twitter lo edavacchuga, mega batch paduthundi ani musuku kurchunnaru, appudu vallani dobbi tittinchukunnadi memu,athe veerabimani ayithe, twitter nbk meda vagutunnaru poyi akkada chupandi,db lo nbk sambadam lekaunda geliki tittinappudu notilo emi pettukunnaruru,nbk ayana movie ke movie theatre edavaledu, pakka valla ki apedu ante nammi matram tidtaru,appudu ekkda tamaru musuku tanni padukunnaru,aroju nbk tappu chesadu oka mata annadi kuda nbk fansne,okaru eddaru tappa, parati dani ki baka kottala,nbk  nbk fans tidithe nuvvu evari meda edichedi, pedda pila pittiri batch laga unnavu,vyasu vasthe kadu buddi konchem anna ravali..

Sony dude ee kind of posts ki kothala unnav.....dont get personal...simple question rgv road meeda battalu oodatheesthey emi peekaru...nbk meeda edavatam thappa antey emi antav...

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3 minutes ago, Chandasasanudu said:

Sony dude ee kind of posts ki kothala unnav.....dont get personal...simple question rgv road meeda battalu oodatheesthey emi peekaru...nbk meeda edavatam thappa antey emi antav...

ade miku cheppedi, nagababu ni emi pikaru paratidi dani ki cbn meda edvatam, cbn ki dinilo emi sambandam evadi ki emi kopam vacchina cbn meda padatamena.. aroju nbk meda mtladindi ekkuvaga muggure, mugguru nbk fans ne, madya lo cbn emi chesadu adi evado pillvadu matladithe pattichukunevadini kadu, miru daily ede na chirakau anipicchada,nbk  meda abimanam ekkuva ayithe manchide, twitter nbk meda nirtram ediche vallau unnaru valla twitter id chebutha vesukondi, mana db vallau kuda okalllu eddaru unnaru..

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8 hours ago, Chandasasanudu said:

last time koosda same sepparu...but gelustundi majority thaguthundi annaru...ee sari gelusthadu bota botina antunnaru...and last lo vote ki 1500 daka itcharu antunanru paritala vallu....choodali

2014 lo Rapthadu out ani andaru annaru. 2009 lo 1700 Majority sunitha ki. 2014 lo 7500 Majority. Ee saari chooddam. Chuttalu tinnaru, idantha pichha lite

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8 hours ago, krantionline29 said:

Ma intlo pani chese avida..monnati varaku Jai cbn anedi..last ki vache sariki jagan e vastadu anta Babu..andi..

Mari evariki vestav ante..Inka telidu ..jagan ki veyali Ani undi..Tdp sommu tinnam kada Ani thinking andi..

So vallu kuda hand iste em cheyalem

Aame last time kooda Jagan ke vesi untadi le. kangaru padaku

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8 hours ago, Narendra1 said:

Agarotthula batch baaga tayaarayyindi ga dB lo .. lol .. Jagan wave entraa saami.. CBN ki 99 nunchi silent voting batch ekkuva.. labour antha vocal batch.. aa labour batch ni choosi tadipesukontunnaaru.. uff

 

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ee sodhi analysis asalu avasaramaaa???

YCP expected voting antha labour, Sc, Reddies. They are vocal voters. 

TDP expected voting eppudu silent votes like ladies and middle class. Ey election aina inthe

2014 mundu vaalla hungama choodaledaaa, 2017 nandyala election lo choodalaeda gospadu hungamaaa. 

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Dobbulu main key role aythe janasena ki okka seat kuda radu.. 

Caste main agenda aythe godvari dists max ravali.. 

Anni area lo oke Factor pani cheyyadhu.. Dist batti maruthay untay.. Dabbulu baga pancharu ani state mottam ysrcp ki ani ela antaru.. 

Kadupu nidindhi annukonna vadu calm ga vachi vadi pani vadi chesi.. Malli poyi vadu pani vadu chesukontadu.. Anthe kani oorike aravadu. 

Cbn most of the ppl ki kadupu nimpade anukonntunna.. Chesina kuda maku pettaledhu/cheyyaledhu anevallani em cheyyalem

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17 minutes ago, rama123 said:

If there is chance of winnability they will vote

Ex.gnt west,tenali

Chi cha anna these are facts

Brother dist wise ga endhuku kani.. Oka dist ekkuva anthamathrana CM karu kadha.. 

Overall ga evariki enni seats vasthayoo cheppandi me analysis prakaram? 

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4 minutes ago, Eswar09 said:

Brother dist wise ga endhuku kani.. Oka dist ekkuva anthamathrana CM karu kadha.. 

Overall ga evariki enni seats vasthayoo cheppandi me analysis prakaram? 

2 factors influence

1) jsp voting

2) ladies voting 

If the shift of 10 % ladies from ycp to tdp 

Tdp will form govt

Jsp voting in majority places is minus to tdp

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7 hours ago, rama123 said:

My actual assumptions 

From srikakulam to krishna tdp will loose 20 to 25 seats

Krishna and guntur reamain same 

From rest tdp will gain 25 seats and form govt

But now doubt how far tdp gain in kurnool chittoor

If they don't gain ycp 100

If tdp gains narrow margin may form govt

Last time tho polisthe Akkada only 25 lose ayyi migathaa places lo gain avvakapoyinaa manaki close to 80 vasthaay ga... how ycp will get 100 in your scenario.?

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3 minutes ago, rama123 said:

100 eppudante tdp gain. Avvaka pothe rayalaseema,prakasam,nellore lo minimum 25 gain avvali

That's what I was asking , gain avvakapothe ycp ki 100 elaa vasthaay... aa places lo last time vachinavi vachinaa manaki 104-25=79 vastaay.... BJP 4 kooda mana lekkalo eskunte 83 vasthaay manaki as per your analysis.... how ycp will get 100 here?

 

Btw, asalu royalaseema with prakasam and guntur lo 25 gain avuthaay ani elaa antaaru ? Is it a possible expectation?

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