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Nandyala vs Kukatpally - Pointers for AP 2019 Results


3mar

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Nandyala vs Kukatpally - Pointers for AP 2019 Results

Is AP 2019 result is repeat of Nandayala? or Kukatpally?....let's wait till May 23rd

Key differences: 

Nandyala: TDP won Nandyala where the chances are remote as TDP never won this seat after 1994 and sitting YSRC seat. It was fiercely fought battle though it is bi election happened due to the death of sitting YSRC candidate.
Kukatpally: TDP lost Kukatpally where the chances are bright and sitting TDP seat where the candidate jumped to TRS. 

Nandyala: TDP in ruling in AP- Nandyala
Kukatpally: TDP decimated in Telangana

Nandyala: represents Mini Rayalseema with huge minority votes
Kukatpally: represents Mini Costal Andhra with domination from Godavari, KG districts

Nandyala: Huge poll promises
Kukatpally: No poll promises by TDP as it cant fulfill. Even TRS govt's welfare schemes doesnt matter for Kukatpally voters. In fact it was fought to retain the forte by  TDP whereas TRS attacked to conquer. 

Now the  most important point
Nandyala: Both alliance partners BJP and JS were away from polls and stayed neutral.
Kukatpally: All Andhra Parties are away from fray except TDP . Caste wise meetings by TRS for polarization. YSRC and JS sympathizers supported TRS openly.

So what YSRC missed was it could not test the waters in Kukatpally as it played second fiddle to TRS. 

What would have happened

  1. if both YSRC and JS contested ?
  2. if only YSRC contested ?

Its not just about the result, but about the % votes that could be polled for TDP, YSRC and JS

YSRC realized the outcome of Nandyala and started working on ground but with the Kukatpally result they took different path and started looking at TRS. Reason they owned the TRS success as their success and lost the key take away from Kukatpally result.

Above 2 seats are classic examples which will give some interesting pointers in forecasting the AP results. 

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naku okka mukka artham kala... asalu emi cheppalanu kunnaro intha peedddddaaaaa article lo... poni chivaraki oka conclusion ki vachhara ante wait until May 23rd anta.. wait elagu cheyyali... malli wait cheyyali ani cheppatam...

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1 hour ago, 3mar said:

Nandyala vs Kukatpally - Pointers for AP 2019 Results

Is AP 2019 result is repeat of Nandayala? or Kukatpally?....let's wait till May 23rd

Key differences: 

Nandyala: TDP won Nandyala where the chances are remote as TDP never won this seat after 1994 and sitting YSRC seat. It was fiercely fought battle though it is bi election happened due to the death of sitting YSRC candidate.
Kukatpally: TDP lost Kukatpally where the chances are bright and sitting TDP seat where the candidate jumped to TRS. 

Nandyala: TDP in ruling in AP- Nandyala
Kukatpally: TDP decimated in Telangana

Nandyala: represents Mini Rayalseema with huge minority votes
Kukatpally: represents Mini Costal Andhra with domination from Godavari, KG districts

Nandyala: Huge poll promises
Kukatpally: No poll promises by TDP as it cant fulfill. Even TRS govt's welfare schemes doesnt matter for Kukatpally voters. In fact it was fought to retain the forte by  TDP whereas TRS attacked to conquer. 

Now the  most important point
Nandyala: Both alliance partners BJP and JS were away from polls and stayed neutral.
Kukatpally: All Andhra Parties are away from fray except TDP . Caste wise meetings by TRS for polarization. YSRC and JS sympathizers supported TRS openly.

So what YSRC missed was it could not test the waters in Kukatpally as it played second fiddle to TRS. 

What would have happened

  1. if both YSRC and JS contested ?
  2. if only YSRC contested ?

Its not just about the result, but about the % votes that could be polled for TDP, YSRC and JS

YSRC realized the outcome of Nandyala and started working on ground but with the Kukatpally result they took different path and started looking at TRS. Reason they owned the TRS success as their success and lost the key take away from Kukatpally result.

Above 2 seats are classic examples which will give some interesting pointers in forecasting the AP results. 

Kukatpally lo votlu lepesaaru,  Nandyala lo ala cheyyaledu

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