anil Ongole Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 40 minutes ago, ask678 said: SN Padu candidate evaro kuda theliyadhu...so how? Whats wrong in Giddhalur and Markapur? Candidate tho paniledu adi SC constituency last time ne gelavalsina seat e sari kottesthadi anukuntunna.. west praksam ycp gaali ekkuvale emo chudali ee time.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andhrudu Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 no doubt TS Govt , TS Public , KCR are very desperate to see defeat of CBN as psephologist, out of curiosity Last two months i spoke to hell lot of people in and around HYD and TS .... educated to autowala cursing like anything i understood all became best breed goats of kcr . - coming to AP situation CBN vs Real villain coach KCR , player jagan , audience modi ..... extra players media ( tv9 , ntv , sakshi ) .... industrialist for funding loyal group i am observing return gift strategy step by step from january like 0. creating federal front to create confusions in people front in national level 1. stopping tdp ap news in hyderabad editions , 2. deploying bc leaders , 3. neutralizing pro electronic media like tv5 , 4. slowly threatening leaders based out of hyd ......... still lot more to come...... CBN - 1. terrific move my welfare schemes like never before 2. almost confirming core candidates tickets 3. 60+ sure shot winning candidates ( soon i come with list ) 4. Best way in handling jagan-pawan merge ..... even kcr failed here ...... if succeeded would have been in disastrous situation. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- cons for party - no secondary leaders like harish ktr to handle situation in districts . no loyal leader to believe and give go on on cash distribution . Fickle media is changing tunes from time to time .... except eenadu aj remaning busss need to hold strong leaders till last day ...... donga debbalo ariteripoyaru leaders except cbn image and schemes no other sentiment advantage to hold .... telugujati kakarakai , bc bobbaskai , andhra avakai ...... evemi workout avvav .... eg ysr image still lot is there come in late on ------------- present situation tdp 90-100 , jsp and others 7-8 ( till guntur ( these not their loyals , other party rebels ) , ycp 65--77 . ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TDP strong holds , west , krishna , gnt , atp , huge improvement in prak, karnool ......... huge dent in vskp , east .....partial dent in skl , praks YCP seems still has strong hold in southern AP but huge lagging in coastal AP ..... infact total collapse in EAST WEST GNT KRN. all these parameters are considering on institutional analysis ...... in layman terms simpla ga sample ycp situation ..... no candidates for ycp ....addanki lo gottipatini kottevadu ledu .... TDP +1 , bobbili sujay krina ranga rao TDP+1 , denduluru chintamaneni TDP+1..... like this all this is institutional anaysis even after telling all these ..... dynamics are changing quickly in AP so no sureshot landslide but in all segments every constituency is having its own strategy for around 80+ ....... 80+ already fixed either ways final verdict for today ycp ..... prajakutami type vapu ..... auto riskha , roadside vendors , working class , caset fanatic overaction valla edo jarugutundi ani buildup ..... still muslim , mala , christian , reddy , madgia partial kapu are with him tdp ...... trs type kanda ..... educated , intellectual , silent groups are still with us ..... vaishya , gouda , yadava , kamma , raju , partial kapu, brahmin , chakali , settibalija , devanga , padmasali are with TDP no doubt in it ..... you can check with your friends in the above groups. further analysis stay tuned .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nfdbno1 Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 5 minutes ago, Andhrudu said: no doubt TS Govt , TS Public , KCR are very desperate to see defeat of CBN as psephologist, out of curiosity Last two months i spoke to hell lot of people in and around HYD and TS .... educated to autowala cursing like anything i understood all became best breed goats of kcr . - coming to AP situation CBN vs Real villain coach KCR , player jagan , audience modi ..... extra players media ( tv9 , ntv , sakshi ) .... industrialist for funding loyal group i am observing return gift strategy step by step from january like 0. creating federal front to create confusions in people front in national level 1. stopping tdp ap news in hyderabad editions , 2. deploying bc leaders , 3. neutralizing pro electronic media like tv5 , 4. slowly threatening leaders based out of hyd ......... still lot more to come...... CBN - 1. terrific move my welfare schemes like never before 2. almost confirming core candidates tickets 3. 60+ sure shot winning candidates ( soon i come with list ) 4. Best way in handling jagan-pawan merge ..... even kcr failed here ...... if succeeded would have been in disastrous situation. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- cons for party - no secondary leaders like harish ktr to handle situation in districts . no loyal leader to believe and give go on on cash distribution . Fickle media is changing tunes from time to time .... except eenadu aj remaning busss need to hold strong leaders till last day ...... donga debbalo ariteripoyaru leaders except cbn image and schemes no other sentiment advantage to hold .... telugujati kakarakai , bc bobbaskai , andhra avakai ...... evemi workout avvav .... eg ysr image still lot is there come in late on ------------- present situation tdp 90-100 , jsp and others 7-8 ( till guntur ( these not their loyals , other party rebels ) , ycp 65--77 . ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TDP strong holds , west , krishna , gnt , atp , huge improvement in prak, karnool ......... huge dent in vskp , east .....partial dent in skl , praks YCP seems still has strong hold in southern AP but huge lagging in coastal AP ..... infact total collapse in EAST WEST GNT KRN. all these parameters are considering on institutional analysis ...... in layman terms simpla ga sample ycp situation ..... no candidates for ycp ....addanki lo gottipatini kottevadu ledu .... TDP +1 , bobbili sujay krina ranga rao TDP+1 , denduluru chintamaneni TDP+1..... like this all this is institutional anaysis even after telling all these ..... dynamics are changing quickly in AP so no sureshot landslide but in all segments every constituency is having its own strategy for around 80+ ....... 80+ already fixed either ways final verdict for today ycp ..... prajakutami type vapu ..... auto riskha , roadside vendors , working class , caset fanatic overaction valla edo jarugutundi ani buildup ..... still muslim , mala , christian , reddy , madgia partial kapu are with him tdp ...... trs type kanda ..... educated , intellectual , silent groups are still with us ..... vaishya , gouda , yadava , kamma , raju , partial kapu, brahmin , chakali , settibalija , devanga , padmasali are with TDP no doubt in it ..... you can check with your friends in the above groups. further analysis stay tuned .... brahmin with tdp - doubt ee (may be partial) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Godavari Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 6 minutes ago, Andhrudu said: no doubt TS Govt , TS Public , KCR are very desperate to see defeat of CBN as psephologist, out of curiosity Last two months i spoke to hell lot of people in and around HYD and TS .... educated to autowala cursing like anything i understood all became best breed goats of kcr . - coming to AP situation CBN vs Real villain coach KCR , player jagan , audience modi ..... extra players media ( tv9 , ntv , sakshi ) .... industrialist for funding loyal group i am observing return gift strategy step by step from january like 0. creating federal front to create confusions in people front in national level 1. stopping tdp ap news in hyderabad editions , 2. deploying bc leaders , 3. neutralizing pro electronic media like tv5 , 4. slowly threatening leaders based out of hyd ......... still lot more to come...... CBN - 1. terrific move my welfare schemes like never before 2. almost confirming core candidates tickets 3. 60+ sure shot winning candidates ( soon i come with list ) 4. Best way in handling jagan-pawan merge ..... even kcr failed here ...... if succeeded would have been in disastrous situation. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- cons for party - no secondary leaders like harish ktr to handle situation in districts . no loyal leader to believe and give go on on cash distribution . Fickle media is changing tunes from time to time .... except eenadu aj remaning busss need to hold strong leaders till last day ...... donga debbalo ariteripoyaru leaders except cbn image and schemes no other sentiment advantage to hold .... telugujati kakarakai , bc bobbaskai , andhra avakai ...... evemi workout avvav .... eg ysr image still lot is there come in late on ------------- present situation tdp 90-100 , jsp and others 7-8 ( till guntur ( these not their loyals , other party rebels ) , ycp 65--77 . ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TDP strong holds , west , krishna , gnt , atp , huge improvement in prak, karnool ......... huge dent in vskp , east .....partial dent in skl , praks YCP seems still has strong hold in southern AP but huge lagging in coastal AP ..... infact total collapse in EAST WEST GNT KRN. all these parameters are considering on institutional analysis ...... in layman terms simpla ga sample ycp situation ..... no candidates for ycp ....addanki lo gottipatini kottevadu ledu .... TDP +1 , bobbili sujay krina ranga rao TDP+1 , denduluru chintamaneni TDP+1..... like this all this is institutional anaysis even after telling all these ..... dynamics are changing quickly in AP so no sureshot landslide but in all segments every constituency is having its own strategy for around 80+ ....... 80+ already fixed either ways final verdict for today ycp ..... prajakutami type vapu ..... auto riskha , roadside vendors , working class , caset fanatic overaction valla edo jarugutundi ani buildup ..... still muslim , mala , christian , reddy , madgia partial kapu are with him tdp ...... trs type kanda ..... educated , intellectual , silent groups are still with us ..... vaishya , gouda , yadava , kamma , raju , partial kapu, brahmin , chakali , settibalija , devanga , padmasali are with TDP no doubt in it ..... you can check with your friends in the above groups. further analysis stay tuned .... Plz give list of strong seats ie certain to win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Antrntr2016 Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 45 minutes ago, Andhrudu said: no doubt TS Govt , TS Public , KCR are very desperate to see defeat of CBN as psephologist, out of curiosity Last two months i spoke to hell lot of people in and around HYD and TS .... educated to autowala cursing like anything i understood all became best breed goats of kcr . - coming to AP situation CBN vs Real villain coach KCR , player jagan , audience modi ..... extra players media ( tv9 , ntv , sakshi ) .... industrialist for funding loyal group i am observing return gift strategy step by step from january like 0. creating federal front to create confusions in people front in national level 1. stopping tdp ap news in hyderabad editions , 2. deploying bc leaders , 3. neutralizing pro electronic media like tv5 , 4. slowly threatening leaders based out of hyd ......... still lot more to come...... CBN - 1. terrific move my welfare schemes like never before 2. almost confirming core candidates tickets 3. 60+ sure shot winning candidates ( soon i come with list ) 4. Best way in handling jagan-pawan merge ..... even kcr failed here ...... if succeeded would have been in disastrous situation. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- cons for party - no secondary leaders like harish ktr to handle situation in districts . no loyal leader to believe and give go on on cash distribution . Fickle media is changing tunes from time to time .... except eenadu aj remaning busss need to hold strong leaders till last day ...... donga debbalo ariteripoyaru leaders except cbn image and schemes no other sentiment advantage to hold .... telugujati kakarakai , bc bobbaskai , andhra avakai ...... evemi workout avvav .... eg ysr image still lot is there come in late on ------------- present situation tdp 90-100 , jsp and others 7-8 ( till guntur ( these not their loyals , other party rebels ) , ycp 65--77 . ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TDP strong holds , west , krishna , gnt , atp , huge improvement in prak, karnool ......... huge dent in vskp , east .....partial dent in skl , praks YCP seems still has strong hold in southern AP but huge lagging in coastal AP ..... infact total collapse in EAST WEST GNT KRN. all these parameters are considering on institutional analysis ...... in layman terms simpla ga sample ycp situation ..... no candidates for ycp ....addanki lo gottipatini kottevadu ledu .... TDP +1 , bobbili sujay krina ranga rao TDP+1 , denduluru chintamaneni TDP+1..... like this all this is institutional anaysis even after telling all these ..... dynamics are changing quickly in AP so no sureshot landslide but in all segments every constituency is having its own strategy for around 80+ ....... 80+ already fixed either ways final verdict for today ycp ..... prajakutami type vapu ..... auto riskha , roadside vendors , working class , caset fanatic overaction valla edo jarugutundi ani buildup ..... still muslim , mala , christian , reddy , madgia partial kapu are with him tdp ...... trs type kanda ..... educated , intellectual , silent groups are still with us ..... vaishya , gouda , yadava , kamma , raju , partial kapu, brahmin , chakali , settibalija , devanga , padmasali are with TDP no doubt in it ..... you can check with your friends in the above groups. further analysis stay tuned .... Very Close to reality Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andhrudu Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 1 hour ago, Nfdbno1 said: brahmin with tdp - doubt ee (may be partial) groups which are not having more than 60% support are considered are negative groups ...... may be still 40% brahmins are with ycp and bjp and jsp but educated are with stable tdp . i spoke to IT and Teachers and priests parital means 50-50 like cops negative groups means just 20% support like muslims , less than 10% reddies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mani@adhurs Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 20 hours ago, Godavari said: General talk aythe jaganee undi Mari nenu vinnadi appatlo hadavidi ekkuva background work takkuva vallaku last time unanimous gaa jagan anna annaru,now as of now 50 50 antunaru,max manama win anukuntunanu. bit media lo jagan ki ekkuva favour gaa project chestunaru Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Antrntr2016 Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 19 minutes ago, mani@adhurs said: last time unanimous gaa jagan anna annaru,now as of now 50 50 antunaru,max manama win anukuntunanu. bit media lo jagan ki ekkuva favour gaa project chestunaru 2014 lo kuda Ntv vadu jagan ..jagan annadu..but finally tdp won. So ground reality is different. Constituency lo unna Leaders ni oka stage medha ki theskochhui...andaru kalisi work chesthe.. maximum seats kottestham. So MLA candidate and next level leaders are more important. And every constituency lo padha yatra chesi..door to door campaign chesthe... atleast neutral voters will turn positive towards tdp. This will have major effect in many constituencies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nfdbno1 Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 5 hours ago, anil Ongole said: Candidate tho paniledu adi SC constituency last time ne gelavalsina seat e sari kottesthadi anukuntunna.. west praksam ycp gaali ekkuvale emo chudali ee time.. akkada sunkara dileep gadu rally tesadu...ycp doubt ee.. tdp dont know! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snvchandu Posted February 18, 2019 Author Share Posted February 18, 2019 4 hours ago, Andhrudu said: no doubt TS Govt , TS Public , KCR are very desperate to see defeat of CBN as psephologist, out of curiosity Last two months i spoke to hell lot of people in and around HYD and TS .... educated to autowala cursing like anything i understood all became best breed goats of kcr . - coming to AP situation CBN vs Real villain coach KCR , player jagan , audience modi ..... extra players media ( tv9 , ntv , sakshi ) .... industrialist for funding loyal group i am observing return gift strategy step by step from january like 0. creating federal front to create confusions in people front in national level 1. stopping tdp ap news in hyderabad editions , 2. deploying bc leaders , 3. neutralizing pro electronic media like tv5 , 4. slowly threatening leaders based out of hyd ......... still lot more to come...... CBN - 1. terrific move my welfare schemes like never before 2. almost confirming core candidates tickets 3. 60+ sure shot winning candidates ( soon i come with list ) 4. Best way in handling jagan-pawan merge ..... even kcr failed here ...... if succeeded would have been in disastrous situation. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- cons for party - no secondary leaders like harish ktr to handle situation in districts . no loyal leader to believe and give go on on cash distribution . Fickle media is changing tunes from time to time .... except eenadu aj remaning busss need to hold strong leaders till last day ...... donga debbalo ariteripoyaru leaders except cbn image and schemes no other sentiment advantage to hold .... telugujati kakarakai , bc bobbaskai , andhra avakai ...... evemi workout avvav .... eg ysr image still lot is there come in late on ------------- present situation tdp 90-100 , jsp and others 7-8 ( till guntur ( these not their loyals , other party rebels ) , ycp 65--77 . ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TDP strong holds , west , krishna , gnt , atp , huge improvement in prak, karnool ......... huge dent in vskp , east .....partial dent in skl , praks YCP seems still has strong hold in southern AP but huge lagging in coastal AP ..... infact total collapse in EAST WEST GNT KRN. all these parameters are considering on institutional analysis ...... in layman terms simpla ga sample ycp situation ..... no candidates for ycp ....addanki lo gottipatini kottevadu ledu .... TDP +1 , bobbili sujay krina ranga rao TDP+1 , denduluru chintamaneni TDP+1..... like this all this is institutional anaysis even after telling all these ..... dynamics are changing quickly in AP so no sureshot landslide but in all segments every constituency is having its own strategy for around 80+ ....... 80+ already fixed either ways final verdict for today ycp ..... prajakutami type vapu ..... auto riskha , roadside vendors , working class , caset fanatic overaction valla edo jarugutundi ani buildup ..... still muslim , mala , christian , reddy , madgia partial kapu are with him tdp ...... trs type kanda ..... educated , intellectual , silent groups are still with us ..... vaishya , gouda , yadava , kamma , raju , partial kapu, brahmin , chakali , settibalija , devanga , padmasali are with TDP no doubt in it ..... you can check with your friends in the above groups. further analysis stay tuned .... Nice analysis bro..This is what i am expecting for my thread to start. As a strong hold unna districts manaki 7 unnayyi.. inka 2 to 3 districts lo manam chala kastapadali.. 3 to 4 districts YCP strong anamata..so idi last time laage undi..kaani added advantage enti ante ee sari Krishna ,GNT, Kurnool (koddiga pergamu), Chittor (pergthamu),Kudapa and Uttarandhra koddiga taggatyyi last time meeda antunaru. EAST WEST lo JS entha bokka pedtundoo chudali.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sree Ram Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 JS .. 7-8 aa .. Ippudu state lo JS geliche aa 7-8 seats names entoo cheppandi .. chuddam ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Soul Reaper Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 On 2/17/2019 at 8:19 PM, Gunner said: Kadapa lo malli 1 ae ani na guessing.... Jammalamadugu gelustamemo.... Kurnool/Chitoor perigithe happy.... ATP lo loss ayye seats ee 2 dists cover cheyali..... 4 ki takkuva ravu uncle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Soul Reaper Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 41 minutes ago, Sree Ram said: JS .. 7-8 aa .. Ippudu state lo JS geliche aa 7-8 seats names entoo cheppandi .. chuddam ? candidates unnara asalu? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sree Ram Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 17 minutes ago, Soul Reaper said: candidates unnara asalu? lol adega mari .. 7-8 anta Konni jilla la lo chala chotla manaki dent pettochu thappa .. vallaki geliche scene ledu .. election time ki kooda ippudu unnatte unte .. PK okkade gelavachu ..tbh, adi kooda doubt ee Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Soul Reaper Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 12 hours ago, Nfdbno1 said: @Saichandra elections staff and booth agents, then tdp voters ni mobilize cheyyadam, votes delete avvakunda, booths maripokunda chusukodam... careful with election engineering, traditional methods follow aithe koncham kashtam... tc brother! mine is changed ninna night check chesa ivala change ki apply chesa, eppatiki update avuddo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Soul Reaper Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 25 minutes ago, Sree Ram said: lol adega mari .. 7-8 anta Konni jilla la lo chala chotla manaki dent pettochu thappa .. vallaki geliche scene ledu .. election time ki kooda ippudu unnatte unte .. PK okkade gelavachu ..tbh, adi kooda doubt ee idi kuda ekkuve pk ki....erra tundu batch, picha fans tappa evadu dekadu Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yaswanth526 Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 Jagan is hype man pai paina egiregiri paduthunnadu wave create chesthe gelavochu ani thinking but base antha strong ledhu TDP too strong at base but project chesukoleka pothunnaru and anti undi infact anti create chesaru jagan and pk kalisi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sonykongara Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 TDP seat ivvamanu annavallani vadu join chesukuntunnadu, dani ni media athiga chupisthundi,amanchi gadu tappa naluu votes unvadu ledu vellina valla lo,avanthi gadu velthe sariga chusthe vadi tho eddaru pola,media athi ,mana pillipitri batch uccha tappaatha gali ledu gajanna ki.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yaswanth526 Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 9 minutes ago, sonykongara said: TDP seat ivvamanu annavallani vadu join chesukuntunnadu, dani ni media athiga chupisthundi,amanchi gadu tappa naluu votes unvadu ledu vellina valla lo,avanthi gadu velthe sariga chusthe vadi tho eddaru pola,media athi ,mana pillipitri batch uccha tappaatha gali ledu gajanna ki.. YCP ki chala seats lo manchi leaders leru anduke evaru vachina teesukuntunnadu but ila cherchukovatam dwara baaga unrest vastadi local ga Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnnaGaru Posted February 20, 2019 Share Posted February 20, 2019 On 2/17/2019 at 8:44 PM, AnnaGaru said: For those who are worried here is worst case and now you can do maths.....TDP party 35 years history, The worst damage for TDP happened in uttanrandhra in 2009 and was onetime worst nightmare(complete negative from all sides and clueless) 2009 lo srikakulam,vijayanagaram,vizag lo Total=34 seats lo TDP won 7(the worst-ever performance of 20%) PRP looked like TDP voters choice against YSR in those districts....With panic(or cine glamour or whatever) total TDP leaders moved to PRP... - PRP pulled complete TDP leaders both BC&KAPU&VELAMA(no exceptions...TDP is replaced with PRP in those 3 districts) PRP gave TDP top leaders tickets all over and fight was between those and congress..... Dharmana,Botsa(bigger stars than any superhero those days in those districts) hawa was running peaks those days TDP ki Money power ledu,leders leru asalu total darkness in party except some cadre.... compare that with Today - Janasena failed to pull even ward members and no one caring - TDP has money power for sure - TDP has more leader power for sure - Titli Jagan behavior(doing padayatra down vijayanagaram when people are impacted by cyclone) was worst srikakulam people can digest.... Today YSRCP is more or less in same position as TDP in 2009 in those 3 districts..... oka chinna mata and ask any SRIKAKULAM common men: You don't need to be in power to do minimal help during disasters time to help.... Ex: Chandrababu done whatever he could for Uttarankhand,Kurnool victims when he was in 2nd time opposition and party was in worst position(TDP lost deposits in-bypoll <1 year&uttarakhand happened) Jagan visited TITLI victims after 45 days(that too taking break's going Hyderabad multiple times in-between ) srikakulam janalni emundi le maya cheddam anukunnadu jagan.......mamuluga ettaru aadiki...... JAgan entered srikakulam 45 days after Titli Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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