Jump to content

Reality lo matladkundama..How is at present situation of TDP in Ap ?


snvchandu

Recommended Posts

40 minutes ago, ask678 said:

SN Padu candidate evaro kuda theliyadhu...so how?

Whats wrong in Giddhalur and Markapur? 

Candidate tho paniledu adi SC constituency last time ne gelavalsina seat e sari kottesthadi anukuntunna.. west praksam ycp gaali ekkuvale emo chudali ee time..

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Replies 169
  • Created
  • Last Reply

no doubt TS Govt , TS Public , KCR  are very desperate to see defeat of CBN 

as  psephologist, out of curiosity   Last two months i spoke to hell lot of people in and around  HYD and TS .... educated to autowala  cursing like anything 

i understood all became best breed goats of kcr .

- coming to AP situation 

CBN   vs   Real villain coach  KCR , player jagan , audience modi ..... extra players media ( tv9 , ntv , sakshi ) .... industrialist for funding loyal group 

i am observing  return gift strategy step by step from january 

like 

0. creating federal front to create confusions in people front in national level

1. stopping tdp ap news in hyderabad editions ,

2. deploying bc leaders ,

3. neutralizing pro electronic media like tv5 ,

4. slowly threatening leaders based out of hyd ......... still lot more to come......

CBN - 

1. terrific move my welfare schemes like never before

2. almost confirming core candidates tickets

3. 60+ sure shot winning candidates ( soon i come with list )

4.  Best way in handling jagan-pawan merge ..... even kcr failed here ...... if succeeded would have been in disastrous situation.  

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

cons for party - 

no secondary leaders like harish ktr to handle situation in districts .

no loyal leader to believe and give go on on cash distribution .

Fickle media is changing tunes from time to time .... except eenadu aj remaning busss

need to hold strong leaders till last day ...... donga debbalo ariteripoyaru leaders 

except cbn image and schemes no other sentiment advantage to hold .... telugujati kakarakai , bc bobbaskai , andhra avakai ...... evemi workout avvav .... eg ysr image

still lot is there come in late on

-------------

present situation tdp 

90-100 , jsp and others 7-8 ( till guntur ( these not their loyals , other party rebels  ) ,  ycp 65--77 .

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TDP strong holds , west , krishna , gnt , atp ,  huge improvement in prak, karnool ......... huge dent in vskp , east .....partial dent in skl , praks

YCP seems still has strong hold in southern AP but huge lagging in coastal AP ..... infact total collapse in EAST WEST GNT KRN.

all these parameters are considering on institutional analysis ...... in layman terms simpla ga

sample  ycp  situation .....  no candidates for ycp ....addanki lo gottipatini kottevadu ledu .... TDP +1 , bobbili sujay krina ranga rao  TDP+1 , denduluru chintamaneni TDP+1..... like this all this is institutional anaysis 

even after telling all these ..... dynamics are changing quickly in AP so no sureshot landslide but in all segments 

every constituency is having its own strategy for around 80+  ....... 80+ already fixed either ways 

final verdict for today 

ycp ..... prajakutami type vapu ..... auto riskha , roadside vendors , working class , caset fanatic  overaction valla edo jarugutundi ani buildup ..... still muslim , mala , christian , reddy , madgia partial kapu are with him

tdp ...... trs type kanda  ..... educated ,  intellectual , silent groups are still with us ..... vaishya , gouda , yadava , kamma , raju , partial kapu, brahmin , chakali , settibalija , devanga , padmasali are with TDP no doubt in it ..... you can check with your friends in the above groups.

further analysis stay tuned .... 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, Andhrudu said:

no doubt TS Govt , TS Public , KCR  are very desperate to see defeat of CBN 

as  psephologist, out of curiosity   Last two months i spoke to hell lot of people in and around  HYD and TS .... educated to autowala  cursing like anything 

i understood all became best breed goats of kcr .

- coming to AP situation 

CBN   vs   Real villain coach  KCR , player jagan , audience modi ..... extra players media ( tv9 , ntv , sakshi ) .... industrialist for funding loyal group 

i am observing  return gift strategy step by step from january 

like 

0. creating federal front to create confusions in people front in national level

1. stopping tdp ap news in hyderabad editions ,

2. deploying bc leaders ,

3. neutralizing pro electronic media like tv5 ,

4. slowly threatening leaders based out of hyd ......... still lot more to come......

CBN - 

1. terrific move my welfare schemes like never before

2. almost confirming core candidates tickets

3. 60+ sure shot winning candidates ( soon i come with list )

4.  Best way in handling jagan-pawan merge ..... even kcr failed here ...... if succeeded would have been in disastrous situation.  

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

cons for party - 

no secondary leaders like harish ktr to handle situation in districts .

no loyal leader to believe and give go on on cash distribution .

Fickle media is changing tunes from time to time .... except eenadu aj remaning busss

need to hold strong leaders till last day ...... donga debbalo ariteripoyaru leaders 

except cbn image and schemes no other sentiment advantage to hold .... telugujati kakarakai , bc bobbaskai , andhra avakai ...... evemi workout avvav .... eg ysr image

still lot is there come in late on

-------------

present situation tdp 

90-100 , jsp and others 7-8 ( till guntur ( these not their loyals , other party rebels  ) ,  ycp 65--77 .

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TDP strong holds , west , krishna , gnt , atp ,  huge improvement in prak, karnool ......... huge dent in vskp , east .....partial dent in skl , praks

YCP seems still has strong hold in southern AP but huge lagging in coastal AP ..... infact total collapse in EAST WEST GNT KRN.

all these parameters are considering on institutional analysis ...... in layman terms simpla ga

sample  ycp  situation .....  no candidates for ycp ....addanki lo gottipatini kottevadu ledu .... TDP +1 , bobbili sujay krina ranga rao  TDP+1 , denduluru chintamaneni TDP+1..... like this all this is institutional anaysis 

even after telling all these ..... dynamics are changing quickly in AP so no sureshot landslide but in all segments 

every constituency is having its own strategy for around 80+  ....... 80+ already fixed either ways 

final verdict for today 

ycp ..... prajakutami type vapu ..... auto riskha , roadside vendors , working class , caset fanatic  overaction valla edo jarugutundi ani buildup ..... still muslim , mala , christian , reddy , madgia partial kapu are with him

tdp ...... trs type kanda  ..... educated ,  intellectual , silent groups are still with us ..... vaishya , gouda , yadava , kamma , raju , partial kapu, brahmin , chakali , settibalija , devanga , padmasali are with TDP no doubt in it ..... you can check with your friends in the above groups.

further analysis stay tuned .... 

brahmin with tdp - doubt ee (may be partial)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, Andhrudu said:

no doubt TS Govt , TS Public , KCR  are very desperate to see defeat of CBN 

as  psephologist, out of curiosity   Last two months i spoke to hell lot of people in and around  HYD and TS .... educated to autowala  cursing like anything 

i understood all became best breed goats of kcr .

- coming to AP situation 

CBN   vs   Real villain coach  KCR , player jagan , audience modi ..... extra players media ( tv9 , ntv , sakshi ) .... industrialist for funding loyal group 

i am observing  return gift strategy step by step from january 

like 

0. creating federal front to create confusions in people front in national level

1. stopping tdp ap news in hyderabad editions ,

2. deploying bc leaders ,

3. neutralizing pro electronic media like tv5 ,

4. slowly threatening leaders based out of hyd ......... still lot more to come......

CBN - 

1. terrific move my welfare schemes like never before

2. almost confirming core candidates tickets

3. 60+ sure shot winning candidates ( soon i come with list )

4.  Best way in handling jagan-pawan merge ..... even kcr failed here ...... if succeeded would have been in disastrous situation.  

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

cons for party - 

no secondary leaders like harish ktr to handle situation in districts .

no loyal leader to believe and give go on on cash distribution .

Fickle media is changing tunes from time to time .... except eenadu aj remaning busss

need to hold strong leaders till last day ...... donga debbalo ariteripoyaru leaders 

except cbn image and schemes no other sentiment advantage to hold .... telugujati kakarakai , bc bobbaskai , andhra avakai ...... evemi workout avvav .... eg ysr image

still lot is there come in late on

-------------

present situation tdp 

90-100 , jsp and others 7-8 ( till guntur ( these not their loyals , other party rebels  ) ,  ycp 65--77 .

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TDP strong holds , west , krishna , gnt , atp ,  huge improvement in prak, karnool ......... huge dent in vskp , east .....partial dent in skl , praks

YCP seems still has strong hold in southern AP but huge lagging in coastal AP ..... infact total collapse in EAST WEST GNT KRN.

all these parameters are considering on institutional analysis ...... in layman terms simpla ga

sample  ycp  situation .....  no candidates for ycp ....addanki lo gottipatini kottevadu ledu .... TDP +1 , bobbili sujay krina ranga rao  TDP+1 , denduluru chintamaneni TDP+1..... like this all this is institutional anaysis 

even after telling all these ..... dynamics are changing quickly in AP so no sureshot landslide but in all segments 

every constituency is having its own strategy for around 80+  ....... 80+ already fixed either ways 

final verdict for today 

ycp ..... prajakutami type vapu ..... auto riskha , roadside vendors , working class , caset fanatic  overaction valla edo jarugutundi ani buildup ..... still muslim , mala , christian , reddy , madgia partial kapu are with him

tdp ...... trs type kanda  ..... educated ,  intellectual , silent groups are still with us ..... vaishya , gouda , yadava , kamma , raju , partial kapu, brahmin , chakali , settibalija , devanga , padmasali are with TDP no doubt in it ..... you can check with your friends in the above groups.

further analysis stay tuned .... 

Plz give list of strong seats ie certain to win

Link to comment
Share on other sites

45 minutes ago, Andhrudu said:

no doubt TS Govt , TS Public , KCR  are very desperate to see defeat of CBN 

as  psephologist, out of curiosity   Last two months i spoke to hell lot of people in and around  HYD and TS .... educated to autowala  cursing like anything 

i understood all became best breed goats of kcr .

- coming to AP situation 

CBN   vs   Real villain coach  KCR , player jagan , audience modi ..... extra players media ( tv9 , ntv , sakshi ) .... industrialist for funding loyal group 

i am observing  return gift strategy step by step from january 

like 

0. creating federal front to create confusions in people front in national level

1. stopping tdp ap news in hyderabad editions ,

2. deploying bc leaders ,

3. neutralizing pro electronic media like tv5 ,

4. slowly threatening leaders based out of hyd ......... still lot more to come......

CBN - 

1. terrific move my welfare schemes like never before

2. almost confirming core candidates tickets

3. 60+ sure shot winning candidates ( soon i come with list )

4.  Best way in handling jagan-pawan merge ..... even kcr failed here ...... if succeeded would have been in disastrous situation.  

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

cons for party - 

no secondary leaders like harish ktr to handle situation in districts .

no loyal leader to believe and give go on on cash distribution .

Fickle media is changing tunes from time to time .... except eenadu aj remaning busss

need to hold strong leaders till last day ...... donga debbalo ariteripoyaru leaders 

except cbn image and schemes no other sentiment advantage to hold .... telugujati kakarakai , bc bobbaskai , andhra avakai ...... evemi workout avvav .... eg ysr image

still lot is there come in late on

-------------

present situation tdp 

90-100 , jsp and others 7-8 ( till guntur ( these not their loyals , other party rebels  ) ,  ycp 65--77 .

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TDP strong holds , west , krishna , gnt , atp ,  huge improvement in prak, karnool ......... huge dent in vskp , east .....partial dent in skl , praks

YCP seems still has strong hold in southern AP but huge lagging in coastal AP ..... infact total collapse in EAST WEST GNT KRN.

all these parameters are considering on institutional analysis ...... in layman terms simpla ga

sample  ycp  situation .....  no candidates for ycp ....addanki lo gottipatini kottevadu ledu .... TDP +1 , bobbili sujay krina ranga rao  TDP+1 , denduluru chintamaneni TDP+1..... like this all this is institutional anaysis 

even after telling all these ..... dynamics are changing quickly in AP so no sureshot landslide but in all segments 

every constituency is having its own strategy for around 80+  ....... 80+ already fixed either ways 

final verdict for today 

ycp ..... prajakutami type vapu ..... auto riskha , roadside vendors , working class , caset fanatic  overaction valla edo jarugutundi ani buildup ..... still muslim , mala , christian , reddy , madgia partial kapu are with him

tdp ...... trs type kanda  ..... educated ,  intellectual , silent groups are still with us ..... vaishya , gouda , yadava , kamma , raju , partial kapu, brahmin , chakali , settibalija , devanga , padmasali are with TDP no doubt in it ..... you can check with your friends in the above groups.

further analysis stay tuned .... 

Very Close to reality

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Nfdbno1 said:

brahmin with tdp - doubt ee (may be partial)

groups which are not having more than 60% support are considered are negative groups ...... may be still 40% brahmins are with ycp and bjp and jsp  but educated are with stable tdp . i spoke to IT  and Teachers and priests 

parital means 50-50  like cops 

negative groups means just 20% support like muslims , less than 10% reddies

Link to comment
Share on other sites

20 hours ago, Godavari said:

General talk aythe jaganee undi Mari nenu vinnadi appatlo hadavidi ekkuva background work takkuva vallaku

last time unanimous gaa jagan anna annaru,now as of now 50 50 antunaru,max manama win anukuntunanu. bit media lo jagan ki ekkuva favour gaa project chestunaru

Link to comment
Share on other sites

19 minutes ago, mani@adhurs said:

last time unanimous gaa jagan anna annaru,now as of now 50 50 antunaru,max manama win anukuntunanu. bit media lo jagan ki ekkuva favour gaa project chestunaru

2014 lo kuda Ntv vadu jagan ..jagan annadu..but finally tdp won. So ground reality is different. Constituency lo unna Leaders ni oka stage medha ki theskochhui...andaru kalisi work chesthe.. maximum seats kottestham. So MLA candidate and next level leaders are more important. And every constituency lo padha yatra chesi..door to door campaign chesthe... atleast neutral voters will turn positive towards tdp. This will have major effect in many constituencies.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 hours ago, anil Ongole said:

Candidate tho paniledu adi SC constituency last time ne gelavalsina seat e sari kottesthadi anukuntunna.. west praksam ycp gaali ekkuvale emo chudali ee time..

akkada sunkara dileep gadu rally tesadu...ycp doubt ee.. tdp dont know!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, Andhrudu said:

no doubt TS Govt , TS Public , KCR  are very desperate to see defeat of CBN 

as  psephologist, out of curiosity   Last two months i spoke to hell lot of people in and around  HYD and TS .... educated to autowala  cursing like anything 

i understood all became best breed goats of kcr .

- coming to AP situation 

CBN   vs   Real villain coach  KCR , player jagan , audience modi ..... extra players media ( tv9 , ntv , sakshi ) .... industrialist for funding loyal group 

i am observing  return gift strategy step by step from january 

like 

0. creating federal front to create confusions in people front in national level

1. stopping tdp ap news in hyderabad editions ,

2. deploying bc leaders ,

3. neutralizing pro electronic media like tv5 ,

4. slowly threatening leaders based out of hyd ......... still lot more to come......

CBN - 

1. terrific move my welfare schemes like never before

2. almost confirming core candidates tickets

3. 60+ sure shot winning candidates ( soon i come with list )

4.  Best way in handling jagan-pawan merge ..... even kcr failed here ...... if succeeded would have been in disastrous situation.  

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

cons for party - 

no secondary leaders like harish ktr to handle situation in districts .

no loyal leader to believe and give go on on cash distribution .

Fickle media is changing tunes from time to time .... except eenadu aj remaning busss

need to hold strong leaders till last day ...... donga debbalo ariteripoyaru leaders 

except cbn image and schemes no other sentiment advantage to hold .... telugujati kakarakai , bc bobbaskai , andhra avakai ...... evemi workout avvav .... eg ysr image

still lot is there come in late on

-------------

present situation tdp 

90-100 , jsp and others 7-8 ( till guntur ( these not their loyals , other party rebels  ) ,  ycp 65--77 .

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TDP strong holds , west , krishna , gnt , atp ,  huge improvement in prak, karnool ......... huge dent in vskp , east .....partial dent in skl , praks

YCP seems still has strong hold in southern AP but huge lagging in coastal AP ..... infact total collapse in EAST WEST GNT KRN.

all these parameters are considering on institutional analysis ...... in layman terms simpla ga

sample  ycp  situation .....  no candidates for ycp ....addanki lo gottipatini kottevadu ledu .... TDP +1 , bobbili sujay krina ranga rao  TDP+1 , denduluru chintamaneni TDP+1..... like this all this is institutional anaysis 

even after telling all these ..... dynamics are changing quickly in AP so no sureshot landslide but in all segments 

every constituency is having its own strategy for around 80+  ....... 80+ already fixed either ways 

final verdict for today 

ycp ..... prajakutami type vapu ..... auto riskha , roadside vendors , working class , caset fanatic  overaction valla edo jarugutundi ani buildup ..... still muslim , mala , christian , reddy , madgia partial kapu are with him

tdp ...... trs type kanda  ..... educated ,  intellectual , silent groups are still with us ..... vaishya , gouda , yadava , kamma , raju , partial kapu, brahmin , chakali , settibalija , devanga , padmasali are with TDP no doubt in it ..... you can check with your friends in the above groups.

further analysis stay tuned .... 

Nice analysis bro..This is what i am expecting for my thread to start.

As a strong hold unna districts manaki 7 unnayyi..

inka 2 to 3 districts lo manam chala kastapadali..

3 to 4 districts YCP strong anamata..so idi last time laage undi..kaani  added advantage enti ante ee sari Krishna ,GNT, Kurnool (koddiga pergamu), Chittor (pergthamu),Kudapa and Uttarandhra koddiga taggatyyi last time meeda antunaru.

EAST WEST lo JS entha bokka pedtundoo chudali..

Link to comment
Share on other sites

17 minutes ago, Soul Reaper said:

candidates unnara asalu?

lol adega mari .. 7-8 anta :D 

Konni jilla la lo chala chotla manaki dent pettochu thappa .. vallaki geliche scene ledu .. election time ki kooda ippudu unnatte unte .. PK okkade gelavachu ..tbh, adi kooda doubt ee :D 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

12 hours ago, Nfdbno1 said:

@Saichandra elections staff and booth agents, then tdp voters ni mobilize cheyyadam, votes delete avvakunda, booths maripokunda chusukodam...

careful with election engineering, traditional methods follow aithe koncham kashtam... tc brother!

mine is changed :close: ninna night check chesa ivala change ki apply chesa, eppatiki update avuddo :dream:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

25 minutes ago, Sree Ram said:

lol adega mari .. 7-8 anta :D 

Konni jilla la lo chala chotla manaki dent pettochu thappa .. vallaki geliche scene ledu .. election time ki kooda ippudu unnatte unte .. PK okkade gelavachu ..tbh, adi kooda doubt ee :D 

idi kuda ekkuve pk ki....erra tundu batch, picha fans tappa evadu dekadu

Link to comment
Share on other sites

TDP seat ivvamanu annavallani vadu join chesukuntunnadu, dani ni media athiga chupisthundi,amanchi gadu  tappa naluu votes unvadu ledu vellina valla lo,avanthi gadu velthe sariga chusthe vadi tho eddaru pola,media athi ,mana pillipitri batch uccha tappaatha gali ledu gajanna ki..

Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 minutes ago, sonykongara said:

TDP seat ivvamanu annavallani vadu join chesukuntunnadu, dani ni media athiga chupisthundi,amanchi gadu  tappa naluu votes unvadu ledu vellina valla lo,avanthi gadu velthe sariga chusthe vadi tho eddaru pola,media athi ,mana pillipitri batch uccha tappaatha gali ledu gajanna ki..

YCP ki chala seats lo manchi leaders leru anduke evaru vachina teesukuntunnadu but ila cherchukovatam dwara baaga unrest vastadi local ga

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 2/17/2019 at 8:44 PM, AnnaGaru said:

For those who are worried here is worst case and now you can do maths.....TDP party 35 years history, The worst damage for TDP happened in uttanrandhra in 2009 and was onetime worst nightmare(complete negative from all sides and clueless)

2009 lo srikakulam,vijayanagaram,vizag lo

Total=34 seats lo TDP won 7(the worst-ever performance of 20%) 

PRP looked like TDP voters choice against YSR in those districts....With panic(or cine glamour or whatever) total TDP leaders moved to PRP...

- PRP pulled complete TDP leaders both BC&KAPU&VELAMA(no exceptions...TDP is replaced with PRP in those 3 districts)

PRP gave TDP top leaders tickets all over and fight was between those and congress.....

Dharmana,Botsa(bigger stars than any superhero those days in those districts) hawa was running peaks those days

TDP ki Money power ledu,leders leru asalu total darkness in party except some cadre....

compare that with Today

- Janasena failed to pull even ward members and no one caring

- TDP has money power for sure

- TDP has more leader power for sure

- Titli Jagan behavior(doing padayatra down vijayanagaram when people are impacted by cyclone) was worst srikakulam people can digest....

 

Today YSRCP is more or less in same position as TDP in 2009 in those 3 districts.....

 

oka chinna mata and ask any SRIKAKULAM common men:

You don't need to be in power to do minimal help during disasters time to help....

Ex: Chandrababu done whatever he could for Uttarankhand,Kurnool victims when he was in 2nd time opposition and party was in worst position(TDP lost deposits in-bypoll <1 year&uttarakhand happened)

 

Jagan visited TITLI victims after 45 days(that too taking break's going Hyderabad multiple times in-between )

 

 

srikakulam janalni emundi le maya cheddam anukunnadu jagan.......mamuluga ettaru aadiki......

JAgan entered srikakulam 45 days after Titli

 

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...