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SP-BSP will bring BJP+ down to 18 seats in Uttar Pradesh


vinayak

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f Lok Sabha elections were held today, the BJP and its ally Apna Dal would win only 18 seats in Uttar Pradesh while the SP-BSP-RLD alliance would win 58 seats. The Congress, which is contesting the Lok Sabha election alone, would win four seats, finds the India Today Mood of the Nation survey

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India Today Web Desk
New Delhi
January 23, 2019
UPDATED: January 24, 2019 00:01 IST
 
 
 
 
 
Without Congress, BSP-BSP will bring BJP+ down to only 18 seats in Uttar Pradesh: Mood of the Nation poll
 
In the 2014 Lok Sabha election, the BJP had nearly swept Uttar Pradesh, winning 71 seats. (Getty photo)

HIGHLIGHTS

  • BJP's prospects in the 2019 polls in UP doesn't look good according to the India Today-Karvy Insights survey
  • According to the poll, BJP and Apna Dal will win only 18 seats if elections are held today
  • The SP-BSP alliance is likely to get a staggering 58 seats
 

The Bharatiya Janata Party is staring at abysmal loses in Uttar Pradesh in the upcoming Lok Sabha elections, a poll conducted by India Today-Karvy Insights suggests.

If general elections were to be held today, the BJP and its ally Apna Dal would win only 18 seats in the politically important state of Uttar Pradesh. That is a drop of a staggering 53 Lok Sabha seats compared to the BJP's 2014 tally.

 

In 2014, the BJP had nearly swept Uttar Pradesh, winning 71 seats and relegating other parties to single digits. Apna Dal had won two, taking the BJP-AD alliance's share to 73.

In 2019, the table may turn on the saffron party, India Today-Karvy Insights' Mood of the Nation poll suggests. The party and its ally would win 18 seats, while the alliance between Samajwadi Party and Bahujan Samaj Party would come out on top with 58 seats. The Rashtriya Lok Dal is also part from the SP-BSP alliance.

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The Congress party, which has been left out of the SP-BSP alliance, would win four seats, two more than its 2014 tally.

These numbers are based on the current, on ground scenario in Uttar Pradesh -- the seat-share projections are for a situation where the BJP is up against a SP-BSP alliance and where the Congress is fighting solo.

That is exactly what may happen later this year when the Lok Sabha polls are conducted. SP's Akhilesh Yadav and BSP's Mayawati have said that they will fight the Lok Sabha elections together.

The two have kept the Congress out of their alliance. The Congress has said it will contest on all Lok Sabha seats in Uttar Pradesh on its own.

Interestingly, the Mood of the Nation poll, which surveyed a sample of more than 2,400 people in Uttar Pradesh, has found that if the Congress was part of the BSP-SP alliance, the loses for the BJP would be even more staggering.

According to this hypothetical scenario, a Congress-SP-BSP alliance would win 75 seats while the BJP would be reduced to a miserable five.

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Now, let's come back to the actual scenario where the SP-BSP are contesting together and the Congress is fighting solo.

The India Today-Karvy Insights Mood of the Nation predicts that apart from losing seats, the Bharatiya Janata Party would also see a significant drop in its vote share.

If elections were held today, the BJP and its ally Apna Dal would get 36 per cent of votes (they had gotten 43 per cent in 2014). The SP-BSP-RLD alliance would get a combined vote share of 46 per cent while the Congress would get 12.

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Haryana -> BJP fasak.

Rajasthan -> BJP fasak.

Madya Pradesh -> BJP fasak

ChattisGarh -> BJP fasak

Maharashtra -> BJP might win more than congress

Gujarath -> BJP may win more than Congress

Delhi -> Congress is Edge

UP -> BJP fasak.

Bihar -> All JD, RJD, BJP are winning.

Uttarakhand -> BJP win

Jharkand -> BJP may win

Punjab -> BJP fasak, Congress wins

Goa -> BJP win

Himachal -> BJP

J&K -> BJP fasak.

West Bengal -> BJP fasak.

Odisha -> BJD wins majority.

South -> Bjp fasak

 

only gujarath, Bihar, Uttarakhand, Jharkand, Goa, Himachal lo clear win. Rest fasak fasak. :peepwall:

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6 minutes ago, LuvNTR said:

Haryana -> BJP fasak.

Rajasthan -> BJP fasak.

Madya Pradesh -> BJP fasak

ChattisGarh -> BJP fasak

Maharashtra -> BJP might win more than congress

Gujarath -> BJP may win more than Congress

Delhi -> Congress is Edge

UP -> BJP fasak.

Bihar -> All JD, RJD, BJP are winning.

Uttarakhand -> BJP win

Jharkand -> BJP may win

Punjab -> BJP fasak, Congress wins

Goa -> BJP win

Himachal -> BJP

J&K -> BJP fasak.

West Bengal -> BJP fasak.

Odisha -> BJD wins majority.

South -> Bjp fasak

 

only gujarath, Bihar, Uttarakhand, Jharkand, Goa, Himachal lo clear win. Rest fasak fasak. :peepwall:

Gujarath lo chavu tappi kannu lotta boyindi ga MOVIEART--bemmi.hammayya

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55 minutes ago, Hello26 said:

Inko rendu communal riots, inko rendu biggest ever schemes and EVM Tampering will get them way over 200. Never ever underestimate gujju thugs 

ade anukunta. inka emi jaragatleda ani. ee drama artist edo okati plan sesthadu malli. :roflmao:

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1 hour ago, krantionline29 said:

ela cheptunnav annai ? Recent results suggest otherwise

Assembly elections lo janalu KCR ki vesaru tammi... LS elections lo different voting pattern vuntundi ani guessing...

same with Rajasthan/MP.... LS lo BJP ki majority vastai anukuntuna

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1 hour ago, Gunner said:

Assembly elections lo janalu KCR ki vesaru tammi... LS elections lo different voting pattern vuntundi ani guessing...

same with Rajasthan/MP.... LS lo BJP ki majority vastai anukuntuna

Will be interesting to see to whom those three seats will go..I wish congress will win atleast 4 ...seems tough 

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10 hours ago, LuvNTR said:

Haryana -> BJP fasak.

Rajasthan -> BJP fasak.

Madya Pradesh -> BJP fasak

ChattisGarh -> BJP fasak

Maharashtra -> BJP might win more than congress

Gujarath -> BJP may win more than Congress

Delhi -> Congress is Edge

UP -> BJP fasak.

Bihar -> All JD, RJD, BJP are winning.

Uttarakhand -> BJP win

Jharkand -> BJP may win

Punjab -> BJP fasak, Congress wins

Goa -> BJP win

Himachal -> BJP

J&K -> BJP fasak.

West Bengal -> BJP fasak.

Odisha -> BJD wins majority.

South -> Bjp fasak

 

only gujarath, Bihar, Uttarakhand, Jharkand, Goa, Himachal lo clear win. Rest fasak fasak. :peepwall:

South lo manchi allies unnaru TRS, YCP , ADMK, they are not so bad in Karnataka as well

Their political management is top notch. 

May be opposition have to settle for a BJP government with some moderate face as a PM

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2 hours ago, krantionline29 said:

South lo manchi allies unnaru TRS, YCP , ADMK, they are not so bad in Karnataka as well

Their political management is top notch. 

May be opposition have to settle for a BJP government with some moderate face as a PM

edo plan sesthunnaru anipisthondi. eeroju republic vaadi survey lo YCP ki 19 seats anta..malli EVM rigging plan sesinattu unnaru.:surprise:

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57 minutes ago, LuvNTR said:

edo plan sesthunnaru anipisthondi. eeroju republic vaadi survey lo YCP ki 19 seats anta..malli EVM rigging plan sesinattu unnaru.:surprise:

I kinda suspect the same. Dont know what counter measures CBN and Lokesh are taking. And also dont know whether or not the MLAs and other TDP leaders are worried on this and started taking any counter steps. Or may be mana vallu too much overconfidence and complacency tho ignore chestunnaro. TG Elections chusakanna kasta gattiga vundaliga manollu?

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12 hours ago, Rajakeeyam said:

~80% like Modi dudes performance ✌️

 

sample survey size entha ? most of the time north india lo chesi untaru kabatti modi might have better choice.   WB, odissa, AP, TG, Karnataka, TN, Kerala, e states motham kalipina 30 mps ravu. enni gelichnina north lone gelavali.  rajasthan, mp, chattisgadh, maharasthra, bihar, up lo sagam vasthe great. migatha states anni oka lo ika.

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28 minutes ago, Bollu said:

sample survey size entha ? most of the time north india lo chesi untaru kabatti modi might have better choice.   WB, odissa, AP, TG, Karnataka, TN, Kerala, e states motham kalipina 30 mps ravu. enni gelichnina north lone gelavali.  rajasthan, mp, chattisgadh, maharasthra, bihar, up lo sagam vasthe great. migatha states anni oka lo ika.

West Bengal - ?

 odissa - ?

AP - 0

TG- 1

KA - <5

TN - 0

Kerala - 0

 

Mee lekka prakaaram Bengal and Odissa lo 10 each? I feel BJP won’t get more than 15 in these states.

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9 minutes ago, sskmaestro said:

 West Bengal - ?

 odissa - ?

 AP - 0

 TG- 1

KA - <5

 TN - 0

 Kerala - 0

  

Mee lekka prakaaram Bengal and Odissa lo 10 each? I feel BJP won’t get more than 15 in these states.

Karnataka -15, odissa-5, wb-5, inko 5 grace add chesa. TN lo anna dmk ki inko 5 vasthe etu valle kalupu kuntaru kada ani.

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