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Final comments: Lagadapati - Todays Chanakya Exit polls


nvkrishna

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Best case scenario: Congress Government in all 4 states

Worst case scenario: Congress Government in 2-3 states & Hung in 1-2 states

 

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Final comments:


I am expecting around 65-70 seats for Praja Kutami.

Polling percentage: It is indicating huge silent wave but it is strong in TRS strong areas also & not as strong as we expected in Malkajgiri distrct.


In spite of rumours of money support from AP & Karnataka, TRS dominated the day before polling.

 

Sanath nagar result will decide how much influence money has shown in this election. If TDP wins it, Praja Kutami will get surprising number of seats in this election. If TRS wins it, Praja Kutami may get 55-60 seats.

 

BJP: At one point of time, they touched 12-13 antunnaaru - due to good candidates, TRS support & selective focus on few seats using all resources.

But, it failed to sustain & fell to 6-8


Independents: From 9-10, they also fell to 6-8 due to money power.


Mentality of DB members:

 

If Lagadapati said, 55-75 for Praja Kutami, 25-45 for TRS

DB members: If Praja Kutami gets 10 less, TRS will form Government.


If Lagadapati said, 55-75 for TRS, 25-45 for Praja Kutami

DB members: If Praja Kutami gets 10 less, we need to close the party as TRS will attract remaining MLAs.

 

Some things will remain same.

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9 minutes ago, nvkrishna said:

Best case scenario: Congress Government in all 4 states

Worst case scenario: Congress Government in 2-3 states & Hung in 1-2 states

 

1.png

 

Final comments:


I am expecting around 65-70 seats for Praja Kutami.

Polling percentage: It is indicating huge silent wave but it is strong in TRS strong areas also & not as strong as we expected in Malkajgiri distrct.


In spite of rumours of money support from AP & Karnataka, TRS dominated the day before polling.

 

Sanath nagar result will decide how much influence money has shown in this election. If TDP wins it, Praja Kutami will get surprising number of seats in this election. If TRS wins it, Praja Kutami may get 55-60 seats.

 

BJP: At one point of time, they touched 12-13 antunnaaru - due to good candidates, TRS support & selective focus on few seats using all resources.

But, it failed to sustain & fell to 6-8


Independents: From 9-10, they also fell to 6-8 due to money power.


Mentality of DB members:

 

If Lagadapati said, 55-75 for Praja Kutami, 25-45 for TRS

DB members: If Praja Kutami gets 10 less, TRS will form Government.


If Lagadapati said, 55-75 for TRS, 25-45 for Praja Kutami

DB members: If Praja Kutami gets 10 less, we need to close the party as TRS will attract remaining MLAs.

 

Some things will remain same.

Antha VP gadu evadu annay 

Clear ga undi kada akkada worst case lo 55+ for MK

Even in this scenario they can form the gov with the help of Rebels and Independents 

Asalu MK 55 touch ayithe TRS vallu kuda jump lu kodatharu 

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1 hour ago, nvkrishna said:

If Lagadapati said, 55-75 for Praja Kutami, 25-45 for TRS

DB members: If Praja Kutami gets 10 less, TRS will form Government.


If Lagadapati said, 55-75 for TRS, 25-45 for Praja Kutami

DB members: If Praja Kutami gets 10 less, we need to close the party as TRS will attract remaining MLAs.

:roflmao:

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54 minutes ago, Madineni76854 said:

Antha VP gadu evadu annay 

Clear ga undi kada akkada worst case lo 55+ for MK

Even in this scenario they can form the gov with the help of Rebels and Independents 

Asalu MK 55 touch ayithe TRS vallu kuda jump lu kodatharu 

anything above 50 vaste chalu...migatha anta automatic ga jarigipoddi

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3 hours ago, baggie said:

anything above 50 vaste chalu...migatha anta automatic ga jarigipoddi

TRS ki above 45 vachi Hung vastey Karnataka lo chesinattu racha chestaaru using governor .. Governor likes Modi & kachara's ducks very well.. hopefully TRS count would be below 40. 

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Governor needs to invite largest party or largest pre-poll alliance. no chance for TRS which is no where close to congress

 

Most crucial statement from Lagada: When a minor party (TDP) in alliance contests against ruling party, if minor party wins more seats - it tells about anti-incumbency.

Ex. In 2009, TRS lost more seats against Congress

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