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Why would KCR lose


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I had a discussion with @Andhrudu bro regarding T election in august. He was confident that TRS would get 80 seats. We ended having a bet at the end. I also told him, if I get higher odds I am ready to place a bet that TRS will lose.

Why did I have a feeling that TRS will lose, in August, when TRS euphoria was at peaks ?

I would like to draw a comparison between 1999, 2009 to today's scenario , when incumbent governments won in Andhra Pradesh (also Telangana region had similar trends)

I would also compare to New AP which started its journey along with Telangana with a deficit budget

  • Hyderabad
    • There was not one single major development in hyderabad and its surrounding areas, which includes 29 constituencies. Only saving grace for them is electricity, law and order. In my opinion, they are not enough to win. There is no match for what CBN did between 95-99 
    • Flyovers, filling potholes etc were never heard of in last 4 years
  • Infrastructure
    • CBN effectively used MNREGA funds this term to build CC roads in villages. YSR also laid thar roads to most of the villages during his time. TRS havent made any such attempts
    • CBN gave an impetus to engineering colleges, medical colleges , private institutions like ISB etc in his last term. I never heard any such thing in last 4 years
    • CBN started e seva centers in his last term, made a lot of things easy for people. I never heard any such thing in last 4 years
    • 108 services in YSR was almost like a revolution
    • I can go on, but I think I made my point
  • Welfare
    • Here YSR was a champion (I hate him more than you do :) ). Fee reimbursement, arogya sree, rural housing , urban housing, pensions. What is KCR when compared to that , he stopped fee reimbursement, arogya sree etc which are still going on in AP.
  • Housing
    • 'Indiramma illu' - everybody who visited villages during 2004-2009 know the impact of this scheme 
    • This is what CBN is doing in AP 
    • image.png
    • What did KCR achieve in this regard ?
  • JOBS 
    • AP already is already getting ready for second DSC, when KCR only focussed on recruiting constables
    • I think CBN's administration is not giving enough publicity, but imagine the number of construction jobs he created in Amaravathi ? Anantapur KIA, Sri City etc are also creating numerous jobs. Not enough money but feeding lakhs of people - what about Telangana ?
    • Unemployment benefit will also reduce unrest in the unemployed - what about Telangana ?
  • Irrigation
    • Lot of precious time was wasted in redesigning. No considerable progress, only words and graphics 

Now lets go to schemes which TRS claims as its success

  • Pensions - This is somewhat positive. However, only one person in family is getting pension now
  • Mission Bhageeratha - No results on ground
  • Mission Kakateeya - No relation between money spent and results
  • Raithu bandu - Angered tenant farmers. Only one installment paid properly in entire term. I doubt it will be as helpful as TRS expects
  • 24h electricity - Who asked KaChaRa for this scheme
  • Gorrelu , barrelu - Seriously ? 

There is one more thing, a very important one which will prove costly for TRS. EXPRESSION OF DISSENT. KCR din't give the common people a chance to express their concerns. Only arrogance was an answer from KTR and Kavita. Harish was better in comparison but still arrogance got the better of him. So, there is only channel left for the people to express their dissent - VOTE. This will be single biggest contributing factor for TRS defeat. In 2014, AP people faced the similar scenario and congress paid a huge price.

THERE IS ONE LAST HOPE FOR TRS - ANDHRA/ CBN BOOCHI.

MY OPINION : EVEN IF T PEOPLE WILL HAVE CONCERNS ABOUT IT, ABOVE ALL FACTORS WILL PREVAIL

FINALLY : TRS IS GONNA LOSE , WRITING IS ON THE WALL !!

 

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1 minute ago, Chandasasanudu said:

Meeku comedy aipoyaira elections okasari karnataka elections mundhu racha ni baitaki theeyali....

Ka appudu lagadapati flash team survey clear ga cheppindi bjp 115-120 ani but evaru nammala,lagadapati di kadu emo anukunnam,but it’s clear now konni constituencies lo 60% unna trs voting odipotunnaru ante artham chesukovachu ga

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3 minutes ago, Chandasasanudu said:

Meeku comedy aipoyaira elections okasari karnataka elections mundhu racha ni baitaki theeyali....

Me peddollunnareee...I wasnt sure about karnataka elections. However, congress performed reasonably for an incumbent government. Siddu's performance as CM was way better than our dora

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Just now, Saichandra said:

Ka appudu lagadapati flash team survey clear ga cheppindi bjp 115-120 ani but evaru nammala,lagadapati di kadu emo anukunnam,but it’s clear now konni constituencies lo 60% unna trs voting odipotunnaru ante artham chesukovachu ga

Corrected 100-110

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Just now, Saichandra said:

Ka appudu lagadapati flash team survey clear ga cheppindi bjp 115-120 ani but evaru nammala,lagadapati di kadu emo anukunnam,but it’s clear now konni constituencies lo 60% unna trs voting odipotunnaru ante artham chesukovachu ga

Lagadam mundhu...cong thumping majority anta unnarule db sodharlu...cong wave unna cant ignore bjp poll management antey kindle chesaru....elections are more complex...its not easy to read mindset of ppl...anduke maha maha analyst trend seputharu gaani numbers sepparu...that too india lo sampling is not trivial

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Just now, Chandasasanudu said:

Lagadam mundhu...cong thumping majority anta unnarule db sodharlu...cong wave unna cant ignore bjp poll management antey kindle chesaru....elections are more complex...its not easy to read mindset of ppl...anduke maha maha analyst trend seputharu gaani numbers sepparu...that too india lo sampling is not trivial

I think there are some people who can predict results correctly in India. One of them is CBN - master of strategy and poll management :yourock:

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2 minutes ago, Chandasasanudu said:

Lagadam mundhu...cong thumping majority anta unnarule db sodharlu...cong wave unna cant ignore bjp poll management antey kindle chesaru....elections are more complex...its not easy to read mindset of ppl...anduke maha maha analyst trend seputharu gaani numbers sepparu...that too india lo sampling is not trivial

Nenu kuda :P,but didn’t expect inc antha worst poll management chestadi ani 

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1 minute ago, krantionline29 said:

I think there are some people who can predict results correctly in India. One of them is CBN - master of strategy and poll management :yourock:

Master of strategy no doubt,,poll management depends on cadre...adi mana asset monnati daka..but ippudu tg lo kattam ga,,,anduke sec and third grade leaders imp

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1 minute ago, krantionline29 said:

yes you are right , BJP's election management improved very well since Amit Shah took reigns. Am also surprised how BJP is putting a tough fight in T. 

Tg lo ok le..,andhra lo pathalaniki thokkaduga allani?...tg first nunchubdue to mim...cadre undiga bjp ki

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2 minutes ago, Chandasasanudu said:

Master of strategy no doubt,,poll management depends on cadre...adi mana asset monnati daka..but ippudu tg lo kattam ga,,,anduke sec and third grade leaders imp

Mana 12 seats poll management kummestadi chandas garu,endukante already batch mottam vachesindi 12 constituencies ki digaru,booth level committees tho meetings ayyayi,12 constituencies lo oka strategy room pettaru,chala chestunnaru 

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Just now, Saichandra said:

Mana 12 seats poll management kummestadi chandas garu,endukante already batch mottam vachesindi 12 constituencies ki digaru,booth level committees tho meetings ayyayi,12 constituencies lo oka strategy room pettaru,chala chestunnaru 

Kcr gaadidi gopoa strategy ani vaagaru pre poll ki ellatam...adi entha worst ippudu thelusthundi..landhra batch antha digaru antaga

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1 minute ago, Saichandra said:

Mana 12 seats poll management kummestadi chandas garu,endukante already batch mottam vachesindi 12 constituencies ki digaru,booth level committees tho meetings ayyayi,12 constituencies lo oka strategy room pettaru,chala chestunnaru 

Malaktpet and Nampally kuda gattigane try chestunnattu undi ga kootami ?

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3 minutes ago, Saichandra said:

Mana 12 seats poll management kummestadi chandas garu,endukante already batch mottam vachesindi 12 constituencies ki digaru,booth level committees tho meetings ayyayi,12 constituencies lo oka strategy room pettaru,chala chestunnaru 

What is the 13th seat they left?

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Just now, Chandasasanudu said:

Kcr gaadidi gopoa strategy ani vaagaru pre poll ki ellatam...adi entha worst ippudu thelusthundi..landhra batch antha digaru antaga

Ha digaru bro,cbn ey monitoring 12 seats kuda,night intiki vellaka kuda cbn nundi teleconference lu anta booth committees tho 

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5 minutes ago, Chandasasanudu said:

Tg lo ok le..,andhra lo pathalaniki thokkaduga allani?...tg first nunchubdue to mim...cadre undiga bjp ki

TDP minimize avvatam kuda kalisi vachindi...third alternative kinda project cheskuntunnaru. 2019 lo Modi gadu pothe mellaga states kuda pothai. Current day situation is very frightening with BJP in more than 20 states

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KCR enjoyed the respect of core Telangana people..and most of the other sections of the people acted as if they respected him as they feared him and the anti TG tag..never raised their voice..they were forced to respect him..But when some of the core TG people raising their voice..it started blasting..it doesn't take much time for the forced respect to turn into hatred..that is whats happening now..It all started in villages, spread to towns..slowly spreading in Hyderabad now.

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