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Kaleshwaram Project: Will it sink Telangana’s economy


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Kaleshwaram Project: Will it sink Telangana’s economy?

DECCAN CHRONICLE. | DR BIKSHAM GUJJA
Published Jul 10, 2018, 2:32 am IST
Updated Jul 10, 2018, 4:00 am IST
Estimated yield increase and margins in DPR are totally false.
Kaleshwaram lift irrigation project
 Kaleshwaram lift irrigation project

Telangana state is constructing a massive irrigation scheme known as the Kaleshwaram lift irrigation project (KLIP). Governor E.S.L. Narsimhan visited the site on January 21, and described it as “amazing and unprecedented”. He was so impressed that he even said, “...Now, after seeing the project, I want to call him (Chief Minister K. Chandrasekhar Rao) Kaleshwaram Chandrasekhar Rao.” He wanted the work completed in six months.

Recently, irrigation minister T. Harish Rao declared that the project would be completed in 2022 and Phase 1 would be partly operational in August.
However, almost on a weekly basis, the figures pertaining to the project are changing — about the acreage of irrigation, the cost, the intended benefits, its size and shape.

 

 

The project
As per the Detailed Project Report (DPR), the objective of the Kaleshwaram project is to:

  • Provide irrigation water to 738,851 hectares (ha) (18.25 lakh acres) with 134.25 tmc ft (3,800 million cubic metres) of water
  • Provide another 34.5 tmc ft of water (1,000 cu. m) for stabilisation of already irrigated area of six lakh acres
  • Provide 10 tmc ft for drinking water and 16 tmc ft for industrial purposes

Close to 200 tmc ft of water is going to be pumped in several stages, transported through canals and tunnels. In order to do so, several barrages, pumping stations and storage dams will be constructed.
 
The cost
The project is estimated to cost about Rs 80,000 crore. This figure, as expected, is increasing by the day. This figure is only for Phase I, and no one knows what the additional cost for Phase II will be. No irrigation project in the country has ever been completed on time and within the estimated cost.

The annual operations and maintenance (O&M) cost, according to the DPR, will be Rs 13,923 crore. This includes interest, electricity costs, annual maintenance charges, depreciation of the equipment etc. Again, in the real world, these maintenance costs are always much higher than indicated in the DPR.
 
The benefits
The benefits from the project are estimated be Rs 21,000 crore every year which includes the agriculture component — crops worth Rs 12,730 crore. The rest of the amount will be raised by collecting water charges from domestic and industrial users. It is not clear who will pay for the water and how the money will be collected.

The benefits from crops are computed based on three assumptions:

  • The project will provide irrigation to 24 lakh acres
  • Yield increases from 12 suggested crops will be from 500 per cent to 900 per cent more than the current figures
  • All the produce will get higher prices.

The DPR provides the projected benefits of each crop per acre. The net benefits from each crop after removing the cost of cultivation has been mentioned, and the current benefit of that crop has been given brackets.

Paddy: Rs 28,000 per acre net projected benefit (Rs 3,200 current benefit); Maize: Rs 24,000 (Rs 3,500); Jowar: Rs 12,000 (Rs 2,400); Green gram: Rs 30,000 (Rs 2,700); Black gram: Rs 34,000 (Rs 2,000); Pigeon peaL Rs 34,000 (Rs 16,000); Ground nut: Rs 46,000 (Rs 10,000); Cotton: Rs 42,000 (Rs 9,000); Chilli: Rs 1,56,000 (Rs 12,000); Vegetables: Rs 44,000 (`3,000); Turmeric: Rs 55,000 (Rs 2,300); Soya bean Rs 40,000 per acre net projected benefit (Rs 19,000 current benefit)
 
The ‘hot’ question
Look at the details. The chilli crop alone is expected to get Rs 4,500 crore annually. The projected  yield increase for chilli is from 200 kg per acre to 2,000 kg per acre, or by ten-fold. Farmers are shown to get a benefit of  Rs 1.56 lakh per acre of chilli cultivation from the current level of Rs 12,000. This is an increase of 1,300 per cent or 13 times.

The area under chilli in the entire state now is about 80,000 hectares (1.96 lakh acres) and the production is 2.27 lakh tonnes. As per the DPR, the area under Kaleshwaram lift irrigation project will produce 52 lakh tonnes of chilli at an average yield of 4.5 tonne per hectare. Consequently, the increase in production is estimated to be 20 times the current figure in the state.

Normally when production of chillies increases by 20 per cent more than the average of the previous year, the prices fall precipitously with no buyers in the market. This was the case last year, when farmers in their frustration burnt the produce. What would be the market response if chillies are produced 20 times more than the current level?
 
The actual cost
The yield increase and profit margins in the DPR are totally false. This is a joke and mockery of preparing DPRs. There is no credibility for such DPRs, they are cooked up to show that the project benefits the farmers and the state. This is a ritual.

The state government will spend Rs 53,000 per acre every year towards operation and maintenance (O&M) costs of the Kaleshwaram project, while farmers at best may get a benefit of Rs 15,000 per acre.  Under any cropping pattern, with any production increase, farmers will not get even one-third of the O&M costs as net benefit after removing the cultivation costs.

In addition to this, the Kaleshwaram project will displace at least 30,000 people in 19 villages. Further, it will affect land of about 1 lakh acres (40,015 hectares). Considering all other costs, this project will be a major burden on the people of the state and farmers for generations to come. The social ecological costs are not even included in the project.
 
The way forward
The Telangana state government needs to have clarity on some very basic questions

  • What would be the total cost of Phase I of the Kaleshwaram project by the time it is completed?
  • When will Phase 1 be completed?
  • When it is completed, what would be the annual maintenance cost?
  • How much will the state government spend on each acre for providing water for irrigation?
  • What would farmers actually get from growing crops with such expensive water?
  • How will the government recover cost by selling water to industry and domestic users to the tune of Rs 6,000 crore annually?
  • Now that project has started and a lot of money is being spent, what can be done?

This is typical of irrigation projects. It is a sunken cost fallacy. A lot can still be done to avoid huge costs, by referring the designs to independent experts and incorporating changes. That will save money and avoid huge O&M costs.

The project, as presented in the DPR, will take decades to complete, with a several-fold cost escalation which will plunge the state into a massive debt. Two reports with specific suggestions  have been released http://tjaconline.org/documents in November 2018.

The state government can take a serious look at those reports and constitute an independent review of costs, benefits and technical specifications. It is possible to significantly reduce the costs and improve the benefits to farmers provided the government is willing to engage in a serious discussion about the massive project.

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8th wonder in the world eifiltower kanna height that too underground ani article raasaru not sure on eenadu or aj 

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1 minute ago, John said:

8th wonder in the world eifiltower kanna height that too underground ani article raasaru not sure on eenadu or aj 

may be construction wonder emo kani what is that they are going to achieve anedi kada ikkada question.

Why can't they look at some other alternative and encourage horticulture or drip irrigation method supported farming rather than spending this much on a project which has O&M costs equal to yield that too calculated at higher prices and estimated high yield rate whihc is not at all possible

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1 minute ago, Andhrudu said:

DC article chuste bayam vestondi ... assam ki non stop la undi project ....

real facts need to know from some irrigation experts  

Article antha correct gaane vundi 2 years back same discussion nadichindi twitter lo tg and ap vallaki

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1 hour ago, ravindras said:

article raasinavaadu(biksham gujja) basic gaa big dams in oppose chestaadu . he wrote articles articles against polavaram . are we going to stop polavaram project?

just ignore these kind of articles. 

yes,article rasina vaadu  mana meda kukka edupu gorre..........but coming to kaleswaram DPR lo unnave article lo undi.....

 

prapancham acharya poye vintalu unnai google map design lo :) ......ayna garu varu chinnappudu tirigina prantam lo tana parichitula kastalu teerchuta kosam 50 tmc(55 times to hussian sagar almost with walls around 3 sides) reservoir with walls all around....alochana matram super......570 meters height lo e reservoir....adi oka vagu parina sarihaddu ga......

meeru chuse water tanker tap vadilinattu jala jala partuai e reservoir nunchi........

e swapna sankalpam ki andaru "bah bah" anukuntu support cheyyandi.....ikkade oka "bah bah" midalu pettindi.....

 

prapancham lo ippati varaku e irrigation medhavulu kuda uha ki andani design's tho vacharu........Original design lo unna koddipati Gravity flow advantage ni mottam wipe out chesi tana medo sampatti tho gesina google map adbutam.....painunchi inka kindaki velli marinta paike/height lage adbutam.......endukante kinda inka water ekkuva untai kada.....

 

dini kosam MH ki babli lanti vatiki freehand.....High altitude lo gravity tho sreeram sagar nunchi vache water taggutai...ayite emi kindaki vachi Andhra border lo paiki lagutam.....Adbutam,maha adbutam

world irrigation mottaniki special classes pedataru e project meda.......a roju andaru rewrite chesaru rules of irrigation ni.....

neruchunna vadiki nerchukunnata....

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1 hour ago, AnnaGaru said:

yes,article rasina vaadu  mana meda kukka edupu gorre..........but coming to kaleswaram DPR lo unnave article lo undi.....

 

prapancham acharya poye vintalu unnai google map design lo :) ......ayna garu varu chinnappudu tirigina prantam lo tana parichitula kastalu teerchuta kosam 50 tmc(55 times to hussian sagar almost with walls around 3 sides) reservoir with walls all around....alochana matram super......570 meters height lo e reservoir....adi oka vagu parina sarihaddu ga......

meeru chuse water tanker tap vadilinattu jala jala partuai e reservoir nunchi........

e swapna sankalpam ki andaru "bah bah" anukuntu support cheyyandi.....ikkade oka "bah bah" midalu pettindi.....

 

prapancham lo ippati varaku e irrigation medhavulu kuda uha ki andani design's tho vacharu........Original design lo unna koddipati Gravity flow advantage ni mottam wipe out chesi tana medo sampatti tho gesina google map adbutam.....painunchi inka kindaki velli marinta paike/height lage adbutam.......endukante kinda inka water ekkuva untai kada.....

 

dini kosam MH ki babli lanti vatiki freehand.....High altitude lo gravity tho sreeram sagar nunchi vache water taggutai...ayite emi kindaki vachi Andhra border lo paiki lagutam.....Adbutam,maha adbutam

world irrigation mottaniki special classes pedataru e project meda.......a roju andaru rewrite chesaru rules of irrigation ni.....

neruchunna vadiki nerchukunnata....

bro, lift ki entha power kavali power , sumaru power ki entha karchu avuthundi adi cheppandi bro

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23 minutes ago, sonykongara said:

bro, lift ki entha power kavali power , sumaru power ki entha karchu avuthundi adi cheppandi bro

simple&easy explanation bro...

 

present AP state KA ki full freehand on almatti&other projects ichesi inka mee istam vachindi chesukondi ani....... AP matram chala ekkuva water undi polavaram daggara ani Srisailum reservoir ki Polavaram nunchi water todite etla untundi? That is exactly what this is......Babli ki freehand inchi baga kinda AP border ki vachi paiki todatam :pepper:.....

 

atleast pai example lo Srisailum reservoir natural ga undi already......kani imagine building 50 TMC reservoir at highet point (multi stage lift's) Rayalaseema in plain land with walls(bund) three sides...adi mallanna sagar reservoir.....

By the way mallanna sagar 550 meters altitude man built three sides walls(bund) length is 23 KM(world record!!!!) and maximum height 64 meters(if I remember correct)

 

Adbutam.....Mahaadbutam...

 

brahmi-fb-mig-1.gif

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12 hours ago, sonykongara said:

bro, lift ki entha power kavali power , sumaru power ki entha karchu avuthundi adi cheppandi bro

i also agree that it is not economically viable . kaleshwaram need roughly 4700 MW power to lift 2 tmc water per day . they constructing civil works(canals, tunnels) for 3 tmc/day . in future they use more pumps . they are using same project to rejuvenate srsp ayacut .  they need 13558 million units . ie roughly 1356 crore units . if we assume power cost 5 rupees . it needs 6780 crores . in addition to this every 30 years they need to replace pipes. pipes, pumps, motors require regular maintenance.

in any irrigation projects government try to inflate project benefits . same thing happened in handri-neeva, galeru-nagari other earlier projects . cag rapped ap state government in congress rule about bc( benefit cost ratio) of past projects. if  bc ratio is the only criteria, it is not possible to build any projects. 

telangana government inflated crop yield and value . on an average any farmer will get 15000 to 20000 per acre .  they are going to lift 2 tmc/day . as per dpr they are going to lift water for 90 days . in  reality water available for 150 days at medigadda(godavari+pranahita) . total they can draw 300 tmc . according to harish rao kaleshwaram  can irrigate 37 lakh acres(new ayacut+ srsp stabilization) .

 

assume farmer get 15,000 profit per acre on average . total profit for 37 lakh acres is 5,550 crores . we need to deduct current income from the land . 

net income from agriculture = 5550- (current agriculture income) = 5000 crores(in the best case)

now power cost  they are going to lift water for 150 days instead of 90 days 6780*150/90 = 11300 crores . 

tg needs to spend additional cost for maintenance of pipes, motors, pumps and other infrastructures. pipes needs to be replaced every 30 years.

economically this project unviable.  kcr may expecting something else.

once a region gets water, it will develop agriculture, rural economy, environment(greenary will improve) , people get drinking water,oxygen from trees . later people  look forward for better prospects like industries, education,service sectors. gradually economic activity improves . government will get more tax money.

pranahita chevella requires needs less pumping height compare to kaleshwaram . tummidi-hatti barrage needs to be constructed on the border of telangana and maharashtra . on one side of pranahita river telangana existed , another side of river maharashtra existed . telangana needs to construct barrage at a height of 152 meters, but maharashtra didn't agree due to submergence of villages and agriculture lands on its side. maharashtra asked tg to reduce dam height to 148  meters which reduces storage of barrage substantially . it is not possible to supply water to 16 lakh acres . tg reduced pranahita component to 2 lakh acres . they constructed series of barrages.

inchampalli barrage also has same intrastate problem . on one side of inchampalli telangana, another side of inchampalli chattisgarh state existed. chattisgarh not  agreed for construction of inchampalli . it is pending since 1978 .  for this reason tg constructing barrage at thupaklagudem  with less height.  

according to biksham gujja  it is not ideal to build to kaleshwaram . does he suggested any alternative?  some times  we may not get ideal solution due constraints which are beyond our control . same thing happened in pranahita chevella . since 2009 ap trying to get maharashtra permission for building tummidi-hatti barrage at 152 meters height . during that time congress ruled ap , maharashtra, center. maharashtra did not agreed for building barrage. 

orissa stalling barrage on vamsadara river for 60 years . orissa not agreeing to give 107 acre land for barrage.

 when we are not getting ideal solution we have to go for alternative solution. 

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10 minutes ago, ravindras said:

i also agree that it is not economically viable . kaleshwaram need roughly 4700 MW power to lift 2 tmc water per day . they constructing civil works(canals, tunnels) for 3 tmc/day . in future they use more pumps . they are using same project to rejuvenate srsp ayacut .  they need 13558 million units . ie roughly 1356 crore units . if we assume power cost 5 rupees . it needs 6780 crores . in addition to this every 30 years they need to replace pipes. pipes, pumps, motors require regular maintenance.

in any irrigation projects government try to inflate project benefits . same thing happened in handri-neeva, galeru-nagari other earlier projects . cag rapped ap state government in congress rule about bc( benefit ratio) of past projects. if  bc ratio is the only criteria, it is not possible to build any projects. 

telangana government inflated crop yield and value . on an average any farmer will get 15000 to 20000 per acre .  they are going to lift 2 tmc/day . as per dpr they are going to lift water for 90 days . in  reality water available for 150 days at medigadda(godavari+pranahita) . total they can draw 300 tmc . according to harish rao kaleshwaram  can irrigate 37 lakh acres(new ayacut+ srsp stabilization) .

 

assume farmer get 15,000 profit per acre on average . total profit for 37 lakh acres is 5,550 crores . we need to deduct current income from the land . 

net income from agriculture = 5550- (current agriculture income) = 5000 crores(in the best case)

now power cost  they are going to lift water for 150 days instead of 90 days 6780*150/90 = 11300 crores . 

tg needs to spend additional cost for maintenance of pipes, motors, pumps and other infrastructures. pipes needs to be replaced every 30 years.

economically this project unviable. kcr may expecting something else.

lokesh oka 2 years mudu dini gurichi miru cheppiatte elanti lekka cheppadu  adi gurthu leka adiganu bro, edi viable kadu national project status ivvadu annadu, polavaram ki dini ki polika pettakandi ani, loki power ke 18000cr avutundi annatunnadu

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కాళేశ్వరం ప్రాజెక్ట్ మొత్తం ఖర్చు 80 వేల కోట్లు. ఒక్క సంవత్సరానికి ప్రాజెక్ట్ మెయింటనెన్స్ ఖర్చు 14 వేల కోట్లు. ప్రభుత్వం ఒక్క ఎకరానికి నీళ్లు అందించటానికి పంట 53 వేల రూపాయలు ఖర్చు అవుతుంది. రైతు సాగు చేస్తే 15 వేల రూపాయలు మిగులుతుంది. కెసిఆర్ సారు నువ్వు దేవుడు వీ స్వామి ?

 
 
 
 
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  • 2 weeks later...
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హైదరాబాద్‌, జూలై 29 (ఆంధ్రజ్యోతి): రాష్ట్రంలో సాగునీటి ప్రాజెక్టుల నిర్వహణ కోసం పెద్ద ఎత్తున విద్యుత్తు అవసరం కానుంది. ఇందుకోసం ప్రభుత్వం భారీ మొత్తంలో విద్యుత్తు బిల్లులు చెల్లించాల్సి రానుంది. అధికారుల ప్రాథమిక అంచనా ప్రకారం ప్రస్తుతం కొనసాగుతున్న ఎత్తిపోతల పథకాలతోపాటు నిర్మాణంలో ఉన్న కాళేశ్వరం, పాలమూరు-రంగారెడ్డి వంటి ప్రాజెక్టులు అమల్లోకి వస్తే.. ఏటా సుమారు 10 వేల మెగావాట్ల విద్యుత్తు అవసరం కానుంది. అందుకు విద్యుత్తు చార్జీలు సుమారు రూ.12 వేల కోట్ల వరకు అవుతాయని అంచనా వేస్తున్నారు. ఈ మేరకు బడ్జెట్‌లో నిధులను అందుబాటులోకి తీసుకురావడానికి వీలుగా ప్రతిపాదనలు సిద్ధం చేస్తున్నారు. ఈ బిల్లులను తగ్గించడానికి మార్గాలను కూడా అన్వేషిస్తున్నారు.
 
ప్రస్తుతం రాష్ట్రంలో కల్వకుర్తి, నెట్టెంపాడు, భీమా, కోయిల్‌సాగర్‌, ఏఎమ్మార్పీ, దేవాదుల, ఎల్లంపల్లి వంటి పెద్ద ప్రాజెక్టులతోపాటు, పలు మధ్యతరహా లిప్టు ప్రాజెక్టులకు విద్యుత్తును ఉపయోగిస్తున్నారు. వీటికి ఏటా సుమారు 1360 మెగావాట్ల విద్యుత్తు అవసరమవుతోంది. ఇందుకు చార్జీలుగా ఏటా సుమారు రూ.1566 కోట్లు చెల్లిస్తున్నారు. అయితే నిర్మాణ దశలో ఉన్న కాళేశ్వరం, పాలమూరు-రంగారెడ్డి, సీతారామ, డిండి, తుమ్మిళ్ల, గట్టు వంటి ప్రాజెక్టులు పూర్తయి.. వాటికి విద్యుత్తును ఉపయోగించడం మొదలుపెడితే భారీగా విద్యుత్తు అవసరం ఉంటుంది. కృష్ణా బేసిన్‌లోని ప్రాజెక్టులను సుమారు 60 రోజులపాటు, గోదావరి బేసిన్‌లోని ప్రాజెక్టులను 90 రోజులపాటు పంపింగ్‌ చేయడానికి వీలుగా డిజైన్‌ చేశారు. సరాసరి రాష్ట్రంలోని అన్ని ప్రాజెక్టుల పంపింగ్‌ 75 రోజులపాటు కొనసాగనుంది.
 
కాళేశ్వరం, సీతారామ వంటి ప్రాజెక్టుల నుంచి ఏడాదిలో ఎక్కువ రోజులపాటు నీటిని పంపింగ్‌ చేసే అవకాశం ఉంటుంది. అవసరాన్ని బట్టి కాళేశ్వరం నుంచి సుమారు 200 రోజులపాటు పంపింగ్‌ చేయడానికి వీలుంది. గోదావరి ఎగువ ప్రాంతంలో వర్షాలు సరిగా కురవకపోతే శ్రీరాంసాగర్‌, ఎల్లంపల్లి, మిడ్‌మానేరు వంటి ప్రాజెక్టులకు నీటి కొరత ఏర్పడుతుంది. అలాంటి పరిస్థితిలో కాళేశ్వరం ప్రాజెక్టులో భాగంగా మేడిగడ్డ నుంచి నీటిని ఎగువ ప్రాంతానికి లిప్టు చేయాల్సి ఉంటుంది. ఇక ఉమ్మడి ఖమ్మం జిల్లాలో నిర్మిస్తున్న సీతారామ ప్రాజెక్టు నుంచి కూడా ఎక్కువ రోజులపాటు నీటిని పంపింగ్‌ చేసే అవకాశం ఉంది. అవసరమైతే నాగార్జునసాగర్‌లోని జోన్‌-2 ఆయకట్టుకు కూడా ఈ ప్రాజెక్టు ద్వారానే నీటిని ఇవ్వాలని భావిస్తున్నారు. దాంతో ఈ ప్రాజెక్టు ద్వారా నీటిని పంపింగ్‌ చేసే రోజుల సంఖ్య పెరగనుంది. ఇటు కృష్ణా బేసిన్‌లో నిర్మిస్తున్న పాలమూరు-రంగారెడ్డి ఎత్తిపోతల పథకానికి కూడా ఏటా సుమారు 4720 మెగావాట్ల విద్యుత్తు అవసరమని అంచనా వేశారు. ఇలా ప్రస్తుతం నిర్మాణంలో ఉన్న ప్రాజెక్టులు పూర్తయితే.. లిప్టు పథకాల కోసం రాష్ట్రంలో సుమారు 10 వేల మెగావాట్ల విద్యుత్తు అవసరం ఉంటుందని అధికారులు ప్రాథమికంగా అంచనాకు వచ్చారు.
 
మెగావాట్‌కు వెయ్యి యూనిట్లు..
ఒక మెగావాట్‌ విద్యుత్తు సామర్థ్యం గల మోటారును గంటపాటు నడిపిస్తే.. సుమారు వెయ్యి యూనిట్ల విద్యుత్తు అవసరం ఉంటుంది. ఇలా 24 గంటలపాటు నడిపిస్తే.. 24 వేల యూనిట్ల విద్యుత్తు కావాల్సి ఉంటుంది. ఒక మెగావాట్‌ పంపు కోసం ఒక సీజన్‌ (సుమారు 90 రోజులు) పాటు విద్యుత్తును ఉపయోగిస్తే 21.60 లక్షల యూనిట్లు అవసరం ఉంటుంది. ప్రస్తుతం లిప్టు స్కీంలకు ఉపయోగిస్తున్న విద్యుత్తు కోసం ప్రతి యూనిట్‌కు రూ.6.40 చొప్పున చార్జీలు వసూలు చేస్తున్నారు. ఈ లెక్కన ఒక మెగావాట్‌ విద్యుత్తు మోటారుకు ఒక సీజన్‌లో సుమారు 1.38 కోట్ల బిల్లును చెల్లించాల్సి ఉంటుంది. అయితే ఈ చార్జీలను యూనిట్‌కు రూ.4.50 వరకు తగ్గించాలని ఇరిగేషన్‌ అధికారులు కోరుతున్నారు. దీనిని యూనిట్‌కు రూ.5.80 వరకు తగ్గించే ప్రతిపాదనల్ని పరిశీలిస్తున్నారు. ఇలా కాకుండా లిప్టు చేసే నీటి పరిమాణాన్ని బట్టి అంచనా వేసినా.. ఒక టీఎంసీ నీటిని లిప్టు చేస్తే.. సుమారు రూ.20 కోట్ల విద్యుత్తు బిల్లులు వస్తున్నట్టు ఇంజనీర్లు అంచనా వేస్తున్నారు. రాష్ట్రంలోని అన్ని ప్రాజెక్టులు పూర్తయితే.. ఇటు గోదావరి, అటు కృష్ణా నదుల నుంచి సుమారు 600 టీఎంసీల నీటిని లిప్టు చేయడానికి అవకాశం ఉంది.
 
ఈ లెక్క ప్రకారం కూడా విద్యుత్‌ చార్జీలు ఏటా సుమారు రూ.12 వేల కోట్లు వరకు ఉండవచ్చని అంచనా వేస్తున్నారు. అయితే.. రాష్ట్రంలో నిర్మాణంలో ఉన్న ఇరిగేషన్‌ ప్రాజెక్టులు పూర్తయి, నీటిని అందించడం మొదలు పెట్టిన తర్వాత ప్రస్తుతం రైతులు ఉపయోగిస్తున్న ఉచిత విద్యుత్తు వాడకం భారీగా తగ్గవచ్చని భావిస్తున్నారు. ప్రస్తుతం రైతులకు అందిస్తున్న ఉచిత విద్యుత్తు సరఫరాకు సంబంధించి ఏటా సుమారు రూ.5040 కోట్ల మేర ప్రభుత్వం భరిస్తోంది. ప్రాజెక్టులు అందుబాటులోకి వచ్చిన తర్వాత పొలాలకు ప్రాజెక్టుల ద్వారా నేరుగా నీటిని అందించనున్నారు. దాంతో బోర్ల వాడకం, తద్వారా విద్యుత్తు వాడకం గణనీయంగా తగ్గే అవకాశం ఉంది. ఆ మేరకు ప్రభుత్వంపై విద్యుత్తు బిల్లుల భారం కూడా తగ్గుతుంది. దీంతో ఆ నిధులను కొంత మేర లిప్టు స్కీంల విద్యుత్తు బిల్లుల కోసం వాడుకోవడానికి అవకాశం ఉంటుందని అధికారులు అంచనా వేస్తున్నారు.
 
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A white elephant in the making

BL03THINK2KALESH

High-cost project Work in progress at a barrage as part of Kaleshwaram project   -  THE HINDU

The Kaleshwaram irrigation project in Telangana exaggerates the benefits and glosses over the ecological costs

 

The Kaleshwaram lift irrigation project in Telangana has attracted considerable national attention. The project site has now become a tourist destination for politicians and representatives of the media. There have been hyperbolic reports about the scale, size, the speed of the construction. It remains, however, moot whether this project will generate the projected benefits for Telangana farmers who continue to be victims of prolonged drought and acute water shortage.

 

The project

Kaleshwaram is a small temple town on Godavari right bank about 300 km downstream of major dam, Sriram Sagar project, known as SRSP. At Kaleshwaram, the major tributary Pranahita, which merges with Godavari, brings large quantity of water. The place is also known as Sangam and Dakshin Ganga.

The project proposes to lift about 180 TMC (about 5 billion cubic meters) of water. It includes construction of barrages, high speed pumps for transport of water upstream for providing for irrigation. Besides, it involves constructions of network storage dams, series of tunnels, canals water passing through several stages of pumping and reverse flow into Godavari main river. Perhaps, it is one of the most complex and expensive lift irrigation projects in the country.

The Detailed Project Report (DPR) states that it would provide water for irrigation for 18.25 lakh acres and stabilise water for another 6 lakh acres of existing irrigated area. The estimated project cost is 80,450 crore and the annual maintenance costs including interest payments will be around 13,923 crore. The projected net annual benefits are estimated at around 21,521 crore.

Independent analysis of the DPR by civil society organisations involved in water management and resettlement of evictees have questioned the proposed benefits accruing to farmers. They argue that: (a) the 180 TMC water is not enough for 26 lakh acres for any meaningful irrigation; (b) the crop yields have been grossly inflated almost 10 times as compared to the current levels for projecting highly favourable benefits/outcomes; and (c) the complete omission of social and ecological costs in the report.

Another disturbing conclusion, which is also acknowledged in the DPR, is that the operation and maintenance costs will be around 53,000 per acre. The report, prepared by civil society organisations in November 2016, has called for an impartial and unbiased Independent Review of the project to assess the claims made by the Telangana government.

The DPR, for example, states that out of 21,521 crore of annual benefits, the agriculture sector will contribute 12,730 crore. Even these figures are not properly accounted in the DPR. The benefits from the agriculture sector in the report are based on three assumptions. They include: (a) the project will provide irrigation to 24 lakh acres; (b) increases in the yield of 12 crops will be of 500-900 per cent more than current reported yields; and (c) all the produce will be getting higher prices.

A crop like chillies, for example, will get close to 4,500 crore annually because of the projected increase in the yield from 500 kg per every hectare to 4,500 kg per hectare.

At present, the cultivation of chillies in the entire Telangana State is spread over 80,000 hectares with the production turnover of 2,27,000 tonnes or 2.8 tonnes on an average per hectare. The Kaleshwaram lift irrigation project aims generate production of 52,20,000 tonnes of chillies at an average yield of 4.5 tonne per hectare Consequently, the increase in production of chillies is estimated to be 20 times of the current levels of output.

Normally, when production of chillies increase by 20 per cent more than the average of the previous year, prices tend to slump to historic lows with few buyers in the market. Indeed, this was the case in 2017, when farmers in their frustration actually burnt their produce after prices dropped. It is not surprising that this became a major issue with violent protests on the streets. Against this backdrop, it would be difficult to imagine the market response if chillies production increased by 20 times.

The farmer who is cultivating chillies, for example, is currently getting net income of 12,000 per acre as net benefit. But, with KLIP water, the same farmer is expected to get 1,56,000 per acre, which is 13 times more than the current return. Significantly, this is also the case with other crops.

Even the data on the projected increase in the area of irrigation, yields, and profit margins in the DPR are based on questionable assumptions which fail to reflect the current realities of costs of products and prices of the products at the market place.

It is clear as daylight that the figures indicated in the DPR fail to reflect the current realities of cultivation of these crops. In short, this project is unlikely to generate benefits of more than 4,000 crore while the State would spend 13,000 crore every year. The Telangana government is going to spend four times more on the operation and maintenance costs than all the benefits that would accrue to farmers.

In addition to this, the project will displace at least 30,000 people in 19 villages. Further, the project is going to affect the total land of around 100,000 acres (40,015 hectares). Considering all other costs, this project is going to be a major burden for Telangana people and farmers for generations to come. The Kaleshwaram project needs an independent review of costs, benefits, and technical specifications. This needs to be done at the earliest. If such a review, which can be completed within three months, confirms that this project would generate the benefits and turnover for the farmers and solve the farming crisis in Telangana, then, it should be implemented.

Instead of submitting the DPR to an unbiased independent assessment, the speed with which the State government is implementing the project raises serious questions. That it will lead to irreversible and massive economic, social and ecological damage is beyond doubt. One thing the DPR clearly proves is that the project is not about sustainable development of the State. It is about something else which is not difficult to fathom.

It is not still too late to carry out an independent review.

The writer is Founder and Chairperson, AgSri Agricultural Services Pvt. Ltd.

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