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Lagadapati rg flash team survey


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5 minutes ago, RKumar said:

Youth kaps ayithe PK bramallone vunnaru, CBN ni elagaina dimpali ee saari ani kankanam kattukunnaru as PK going strongly against CBN.

చిరు ki kuda vunnaru intha కంటే.. No use Annai, but election అయితే ఇంక clouds veegi pothayyi.. 

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7 hours ago, nvkrishna said:

If this survey is correct...

anti-bjp or special status issue is not creating the wave which we are expecting (as on today)

TDP is struggling to create that emotional wave or there may be more serious issues for andhra people than that issue.

 

then, next big thing..caste will come into play..if that is the case, we may be in tight contests in 90% of seats

1+1 may be 1 or 3 in politics...too early to comment

ap people are not emotional fools unlike telangana counterpart. they won't act like herd of sheep. they will take wise decision.

in 1995-2004 cbn has full grip over administration and corruption also less. people expected same kind of rule in 2014.

now he is fully lenient towards bureaucrats and mlas/ministers/party men . he gave freehand to them. they are misusing it. 

in ysr rule, his son got benefited mostly. corruption is at high at top level. in cbn rule except cbn family everybody taking advantage of their position. corruption spreads to low level through janmabhoomi committees, which  directly affect the common people. 

common people don't worry about corruption at top level. if some guy(janmabhoomi committee member) taking money from common people, they definitely reacts to it. 

 

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5 minutes ago, ravindras said:

ap people are not emotional fools unlike telangana counterpart. they won't act like herd of sheep. they will take wise decision.

in 1995-2004 cbn has full grip over administration and corruption also less. people expected same kind of rule in 2014.

now he is fully lenient towards bureaucrats and mlas/ministers/party men . he gave freehand to them. they are misusing it. 

in ysr rule, his son got benefited mostly. corruption is at high at top level. in cbn rule except cbn family everybody taking advantage of their position. corruption spreads to low level through janmabhoomi committees, which  directly affect the common people. 

common people don't worry about corruption at top level. if some guy(janmabhoomi committee member) taking money from common people, they definitely reacts to it. 

 

Ysr rule lo corruption top level kadu bro,top level to bottom level full corruption undedi,govt employees lanchal tisukovadam peaks ki vellindi ysr rule lo,pani cheyyinchukovalante lancham ivvali ane concept modalayyindi 2004 tarwata

still i have the paper cuttings of eenadu,roju ki enno articles padevi govt employees lancham gurinchi,

best example acb rides jarugutunte valla astulu chuste telisipoddi

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2 minutes ago, Godavari said:

Survey e 19seatse chesara? okavela vatike chesthee 175 seats ki prediction ela cheparu :thinking:

ABN Studio lo 19 seats trend batti 175 results predict chesi chepparu. 

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53 minutes ago, Godavari said:

Survey e 19seatse chesara? okavela vatike chesthee 175 seats ki prediction ela cheparu :thinking:

no one rarely does survey in all seats. 

in 2016, they did in 18 seats. now in 19 seats.

even though they (survey agencies) regularly take opinion from random people (& local experienced people) to understand mood, serious surveys are done in seats selected basing on castes, swing, other parameters.

 

it comes basing on experience.

 

some people think big sample size is crucial. lagadapati clearly said after nandyal by-poll, sample size is not crucial but selection of sample is crucial.

in his words - we are 100% confident on our predictions in telugu states (as we got enough experience in selecting right sample size) & reasonably confident on rest of india

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25 minutes ago, nvkrishna said:

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This kind of survey is not reliable. Need to be done covering all 175 seats with sample size of at least 1000 per constituency. And how come they ask a question "How many seats each party will get?" to voter.  And that prediction is just guess. 

 

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6 minutes ago, nvkrishna said:

no one rarely does survey in all seats. 

in 2016, they did in 18 seats. now in 21 seats.

even though they (survey agencies) regularly take opinion from random people (& local experienced people) to understand mood, serious surveys are done in seats selected basing on castes, swing, other parameters.

 

it comes basing on experience.

ok   ipudu Vallu east lo Tdp antha strong ledu annadu okavela Anaparthi Rjy badulu ah prakanee anukuni unna Ramachandrapuram Mandapeta lo opinions adigithe tdp ki fav ga untadi apdu district Tdp very strong antada :thinking:

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4 minutes ago, Godavari said:

ok   ipudu Vallu east lo Tdp antha strong ledu annadu okavela Anaparthi Rjy badulu ah prakanee anukuni unna Ramachandrapuram Mandapeta lo opinions adigithe tdp ki fav ga untadi apdu district Tdp very strong antada :thinking:

Vallu constituencies ey party ki tilt lenivi tisukunnaru bro,for example vij central,and anatapur also,they can take penukonda and raptadu but tdp strong seats kani guntakal and Dharmavaram tisukunnaru

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9 minutes ago, Godavari said:

ok   ipudu Vallu east lo Tdp antha strong ledu annadu okavela Anaparthi Rjy badulu Ramachandrapuram Mandapeta lo opinions adigithe tdp ki fav ga untadi apdu district Tdp very strong antada :thinking:

they are several modalities. they pick some strong, some swing, some weak.

ex. undi in west godavari & kondepi in prakasam - strong tdp

kamalapur in kadapa - strong ycp

that does not mean they did not take opinion in other seats. But, that is not extensive.

ex. CSDS did survey in just 8 seats - still said -TDP is gaining from January on wards.

 

Swing, margin of difference, what different segments said during conversations..lot of scientific things are involved

 

They are in this business - i know some other people also in this business. they  regularly take opinion using sources.

 

Ex. during bus journey in 2004, I met a warden from yerragondapalem in prakasam district. During conersatiovs, i understood, he is the man for survey agencies in that area.

extensive surveys are done in select seats but regular surveys are continuous process.

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6 minutes ago, nvkrishna said:

they are several modalities. they pick some strong, some swing, some weak.

ex. undi in west godavari & kondepi in prakasam - strong tdp

kamalapur in kadapa - strong ycp

that does not mean they did not take opinion in other seats. But, that is not extensive.

ex. CSDS did survey in just 8 seats - still said -TDP is gaining from January on wards.

 

Swing, margin of difference, what different segments said during conversations..lot of scientific things are involved

 

They are in this business - i know some other people also in this business. they  regularly take opinion using sources.

 

Ex. during bus journey in 2004, I met a warden from yerragondapalem in prakasam district. During conersatiovs, i understood, he is the man for survey agencies in that area.

extensive surveys are done in select seats but regular surveys are continuous process.

ok :shakehands:. masthan ani okadu untaduga 2012 lo tv ki ochevadu athanu ipudu surveys cheyatleda..

eppudu tdp ki antiga untadu :sleep:

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This is what Lagadapati said after 2014 elections

 

Our team told me about TDP wave from srikakulam to guntur. to confirm their predictions, I travelled from srikakulam to vijayawada by car  & randomly talked to people.

came to same conclusion. 

 

it needs lot of experience to reach lagadapati & his team level. that's why they are getting it so right.

 

after nandyal by-poll, even though lagadapati team told him about 30,000 majority - lagadapati told to press about 15,000-20,000. He did not feel that confident like his team.

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3 minutes ago, Godavari said:

ok :shakehands:. masthan ani okadu untaduga 2012 lo tv ki ochevadu athanu ipudu surveys cheyatleda..

eppudu tdp ki antiga untadu :sleep:

masthan, kishore from guntur..some others are there..

 

they did not reach lagadapati level - mostly used by MLAs & MPs.

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3 minutes ago, Godavari said:

ok :shakehands:. masthan ani okadu untaduga 2012 lo tv ki ochevadu athanu ipudu surveys cheyatleda..

eppudu tdp ki antiga untadu :sleep:

Ya,and cbn has sv university team(old batch)valla survey kuda correct predictions vastayi antaru,though they missed 2004 elections,need to talk with that team!!

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Aaa bokkale..175 places pathi intloki doori vallatho okaroju gadipi bojanam chesi battalu petti opinion thelsukuni appudu calculations chesthe adhi survey..

ee survey enduku paniki raadu :close:

Janalu CBN ni thiduthunnaru..YCP clean sweep or edge ani cheppandi appudu nammutham..

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10 minutes ago, nvkrishna said:

Highlight of survey:

 

BJP is getting 0.42% votes in its sitting seat of Rajahmundry.

Candidate ni maarchi Somu Veerraju tho contest cheyistaamu. YSRCP & JS will not contest.

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24 minutes ago, RKumar said:

Candidate ni maarchi Somu Veerraju tho contest cheyistaamu. YSRCP & JS will not contest.

adi urban  kabatti weak somu veeraju rjy rural kadha survey akkada chesthe one side ochedi somu and bjp  ki :child:

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1 minute ago, ravindras said:

rjy urban tdp ticket  ganni krishna ki isthe geliche chance vuntundaa ?

ADIREDDY group buccaiah support chesthe gelavagaladu but buccaiah ke istaru or adireddy :dream:

koppula velama 25k voting

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