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Total No.of Assembly seats: 224

Elections held: 222 seats

Postponed seats: RR Nagar & Jaya Nagar in Bengaluru city.

 

Some interpretations from exit polls:

 

1. Congress is expected to take big lead in Bengaluru city.

 

2. BJP is expected to take massive lead in Coastal, Central Karnataka & good lead in Bombay Karnataka.

 


Final outcome will depend on:


1. If JDS crosses 40 seats, Congress may fall to below 100. If JDS falls to below 25 seats, Congress may form Government.
Exit polls are divided on this.

 

2. Exit polls are divided on Hyderabad Karnataka. Congress needs to get at least 30 seats here to form Government.

 

 

What you need to observe in early trends:

 

1. Closely watch Old Mysuru results - JD (S) performance here gives lot of idea on which exit poll is going to be right.

 

2. Closely watch Hyderabad Karnataka results - if BJP starts making gains, Congress may be in trouble.

 

More than 40-50 seats results will be decided with less than 5000 majority. We may see very close contests on counting day.

 


Insights from Polling trends:


Heavy polling  generally indicates clear mandate - either anti-incumbency or pro-Government.

But, heavy polling is common in tightly contested tri-angular contests.


Generally, if anti-incumbency is very high, polling tend to be very high in the first 2-3 hours which was not happened.


Final call: Strongly believing that it is a pro-poor vote for Siddaramayya welfare schemes. I am feeling that Narendra Modi campaign helped BJP only in certain areas.
 

 

 

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Intelligence reports:

 

In 30 constituencies, there is a tough contest between the three political parties. In Chamundeshwari, Siddaramaiah may win with a thin margin. At Badami too, he is expected to win but comfortably, against BJP’s Sriramulu.

 

IB report:


Congress - 95-102
BJP - 80-85
JDS - 35-40


State Intelligence wing:


Congress - 102
BJP - 70
JDS - 28
Tough contest in 30 constituencies

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5 minutes ago, nvkrishna said:

Intelligence reports:

 

In 30 constituencies, there is a tough contest between the three political parties. In Chamundeshwari, Siddaramaiah may win with a thin margin. At Badami too, he is expected to win but comfortably, against BJP’s Sriramulu.

 

IB report:


Congress - 95-102
BJP - 80-85
JDS - 35-40


State Intelligence wing:


Congress - 102
BJP - 70
JDS - 28
Tough contest in 30 constituencies

IB in the sense.. central intelligence brother?

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6 minutes ago, palleturu said:

Gelchedi bjp ee... single majority and govt form chesedi BJP ani ardam avutundi

How dude

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39 minutes ago, John said:

Annai Telugu voters prabhavam ekkadekkada untundo kooda veyyi... :thinking:

Kolar dist- 70%,Chikkaballapur dist-90% ,bangalore rural -40%,bangalore urban -25-30%,tumkur -20%,Chitradurga-30-40% telugu people vunnaru..but vellalo,except telugus in Bangalore urban (recent migrants or working people) AP tho kani,AP issues tho kani pedda sambhandam vundadu..variki vunna major link telugu movies and Telugu heros....

 

inka AP tho or AP issues tho sambhandham  vunna active telugu vallu vundedi Bellary (oka 50% ) and Raichur Oka 30% ..these telugu people are actively related to AP ..majority of these two districts telugu people and bangalore urban telugu people( recent settlers and IT batch) may have voted against bjp bcz of the injustice done to AP..other telugus ki it’s not an issu and majority doesn’t even know of the issue also...

 

 

 

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52 minutes ago, Srikanth_NTR said:

Kolar dist- 70%,Chikkaballapur dist-90% ,bangalore rural -40%,bangalore urban -25-30%,tumkur -20%,Chitradurga-30-40% telugu people vunnaru..but vellalo,except telugus in Bangalore urban (recent migrants or working people) AP tho kani,AP issues tho kani pedda sambhandam vundadu..variki vunna major link telugu movies and Telugu heros....

 

inka AP tho or AP issues tho sambhandham  vunna active telugu vallu vundedi Bellary (oka 50% ) and Raichur Oka 30% ..these telugu people are actively related to AP ..majority of these two districts telugu people and bangalore urban telugu people( recent settlers and IT batch) may have voted against bjp bcz of the injustice done to AP..other telugus ki it’s not an issu and majority doesn’t even know of the issue also...

 

 

 

Super annai repu analize cheddam

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1 minute ago, MVS said:

Krishna uncle even media channels kuda inta vivaranga analysis lu cheyaru ga meeru chesi natlu :terrific:

Seriously.. @nvkrishna brother analysis too informative and logical.. TV channels analysis ni simple ga copy paste cheyyakunda, valla analysis and survey ni eeyana reanalyze chesi more clear picture istaaru...:yourock: bro 

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Karnatakas one of the more credible news channel public tv has collected constituency wise information and given numbers,which is quite interesting-

congress -87 

bjp-85 

 

JD’s- 47 

others - 3

 

seems true..deeniki ato ito vuntundi final 

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12 minutes ago, Srikanth_NTR said:

Karnatakas one of the more credible news channel public tv has collected constituency wise information and given numbers,which is quite interesting-

congress -87 

bjp-85 

 

JD’s- 47 

others - 3

 

seems true..deeniki ato ito vuntundi final 

admin ki pandage inka

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