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mahesh1987

***Monsoon Updates***

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1st spell of Rains and Hailstorms lash Maharashtra & Telangana in 2016, ending 8.30 am on 01.03.2016

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Trough in the lower level easterlies runs from southern parts of Konkan & Goa to South Gujrat and extends upto 0.9 km above mean sea level.

 

Maharashtra (Min 10 mm)

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Aheri - 68

Sindhewahi - 66

Saoli - 66

Chimur - 60

Gadchiroli - 40

Bhamragad - 40

Etapalli - 30

Mulchera - 30

Amgaon - 30

Mul - 30

Joiti - 30

Aundha Nagnath - 29

Yelgaon - 23

Parbhani - 23

Khengarewadoi - 21

Chichondi Patil - 20

Paratwara - 20

Chamorshi - 20

Dharwa - 20

Arni - 20

Salekasa - 20

Sakoli - 20

Deoli- 20

Ranjani - 20

Kolgaon - 16

Gondia - 15

Banganga - 12

Mangrulpir - 10

Manora - 10

Ner - 10

Chandurbazar - 10

Chikhaldara - 10

Tiwsa - 10

Dhamangaon Rly - 10

Armori - 10

Dhanora - 10

Buldhana - 10

Dhule - 10

Ballarpur - 10

Rajura - 10

Korpana - 10

Nanded - 10

Nagbhir - 10

Gondpipri - 10

Bhadravati - 10

Pombhurna - 10

Hinghanghat - 10

Lakhani - 10

Nazare - 10

Gondia AP - 10

Deori - 10

Nivale - 10

 

Telangana (min 30 mm)

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Mahabubabad - 81

Sirsilla - 72

Dornakal - 58

Medaram - 55

Mogullapalle - 52

Jainad - 50

Sarangapur - 49

Warangal - 47

Bhupalpalle - 46

Venkatapur - 44

Garla - 44

Paidepalle - 43

Asifabad - 42

Huzurabad - 42

Perumandla Sankeesa - 41

Sultanabad - 39

Upparagudem - 38

Domakonda - 37

Bayyaram - 36

Pegadapalle - 36

Veenavanka - 36

Kasimdevpeta - 36

Kommera - 35

Tiryani - 33

Gundi - 33

Sadasivanagar - 32

Vedurugatta - 32

Mallempalli - 32

Yellandu - 31

Tadwai - 30

Mancherial - 30

Marthanpeta - 30

Chennaraopet - 30

Kunaram - 30

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International weather agencies see a normal to surplus monsoon for most parts of India this year, as if in response to a wish expressed in the Economic Survey 2015-16.

 

In its early forecasts for the season, the Busan, South Korea-based Asia Pacific Climate Centre is quite bullish on a surplus monsoon for the country during the four-month period from June.

 

PEER FORECASTS

The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts may have refused to be that optimistic but sees mostly normal rain for the country during the period.

 

International Research Institute for Climate and Society at Columbia University has made the case for a season that doesn’t bring about any rainfall deficiency to any part of the country.

 

But it may be stated here the South Korean and European agencies have hinted at likely deficiencies arising from East India and the Northeastern States.

 

Peninsular India and parts of North-West India, which bore the brunt of the poor monsoon last year, may receive exceptionally good showers this time, the Korean forecaster said.

 

FOODGRAIN PRODUCTION

The Economic Survey had stated that the year 2014-15 El Nino, which was mainly responsible for the deficient monsoons for 2014 and 2015, is unlikely to repeat this year in the Equatorial East Pacific.

 

The poor rains had led foodgrains production to decline to 252 million tonnes and 253 million tonnes in 2014-15 and 2015-16 respectively from a record production of 265 million tonnes in 2013-14.

 

The Survey had also cautioned that La Nina, the alter ego of El Nino and which usually brings in rains, is unlikely to impact the early phase of the 2016 monsoon.

 

Instead the Pacific is likely to lapse into a ‘neutral phase’ during the summer but combine with other favourable features to drive a good monsoon here.

 

The international agencies have agreed with this view and said that the La Nina, if at all, may emerge towards the fag end of the year, after the monsoon has exited the landmass.

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El Niño continues its steady decline

 

The 2015–16 El Niño continues its slow and steady decline. The tropical Pacific Ocean has cooled further over the past fortnight, and trade winds are near normal. However the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) remains very low, indicating that while El Niño is easing, it is still capable of influencing Australian and global climate.

 

International climate models indicate that cooling in the tropical Pacific will continue, with a likely return to neutral levels by mid-2016. For winter and spring, climate models favour ENSO neutral slightly ahead of La Niña. However, accuracy of forecasts made at this time of year are lower than those at other times, and therefore some caution should be exercised.

 

Although the 2015–16 El Niño is weakening, it will continue to influence climate during the southern hemisphere autumn. In Australia, the breakdown of strong El Niño events has historically brought average to above average rainfall to many locations. However, northern Australia typically sees less rainfall than usual.

 

Australia's climate is also being influenced by record warm temperatures in the Indian Ocean. The warmth in the Indian Ocean may provide extra moisture for rain systems as they cross Australia during the southern autumn.

 

Courtesy : BOM

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Summer started in AP with full form

Imd stations

Anantapur - 42.5 degrees

Vijayawada - 42.4 degrees

Kadapa - 42.3 degrees

Kurnool -42.1 degrees

Tirupati - 41.6 degrees

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Hyd imd warns a prolonged and severe heatwave conditions to prevail in april may

 

Ramagundam Rentachintala Bhadrachalam Nizamabad to break previous records of 51 52 49 and 49 degrees respectively in coming days..

 

Imd hyd also ensures good rainfall in this swm when compared to last year

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Nandikotkur kurnool - 43.5 degrees

Jadcherla - 43.2 degrees

Tirupati imd- 42.7 degrees

Kurnool imd - 42.6 degrees

Anantapur imd - 42.5 degrees

Nandyal - 42.5 degrees

Kadapa - 42.5 degrees

Hyderabad airport - 42 degrees

Hyderabad imd - 41 degrees

Nizamabad imd - 41 degrees

Ramagundam imd - 40.5 degrees

Nellore imd - 40.2 degrees

Vijayawada - 40.2 degrees

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@mahesh1987 bayya yeppatidaka vuntadi ye heat hyd lo, inka how many weeks any forecast??

last 2 days nunchi 1-2 degrees taggay most place lo

 

Heat enni rojulu vuntundo no idea

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Latest update on summer cyclone

 

 

 

At this moment May 3rd week cyclone moving towards NAP-Orissa/WB landfall point... but expecting the drastic change towards NTN/SAP-CAP landfall point in later updates....

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