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ravi.ntr2ntr

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About ravi.ntr2ntr

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  • Birthday 08/23/1988

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  1. This is not postmortem thread. Don't deviate with half of the knowledge. May be one or two places you may right but not overall. If you see Nellore TDP spent more than YCP in most of the segments. Can you please give me assurance about the TDP result in Nellore dist if you think money distribution is only the key thing ???
  2. Nellore TDP ... Heavy cross voting undi akada
  3. Mee scenario ki naa small explanation : Akp TDP Gavara VS YCP Kapu VS JSP Kapu Pendurthi TDP Bandaru Velama vs YCP Kapu vs JSP kapu Yelamanchili TDP Panchakarla (MP own segment , Konathala have significant voting here , Pragada and Bodedda) vs Kanababu Raju vs Sundarapu Kapu Narsipatnam TDP Ayyana velama (Bollem nd Rattayya ) vs Petla Uma Shankar Velama (JSP nomination got rejected) Payakaraopeta TDP local doctor + Chengala daughter join iyaru mona vs Golla baburao ( Ikada TDP 1984 nundi till date contest chesina 7 times lo 2009 lo just 550 votes tho vodipoindi ) ... Nakka Raju (JSP) He is from YCP Madugula TDP Ramunaidu Velama vs YCP Velama vs BSP (JSP alliance ) Chodavaram elago YCP edge seat anukuntuna as of now.. Evaru gelicina oka 1 to 5K Majority lope .... JSP impact chupe areas lo YCP ki dent undi based on caste equations like Anakapalli and Pendurthi ... Yelamanchili varaku both TDP and JSP kapu ina one more big community Gavara 80% TDP side untadi due to Konathala , Adari and Bodedda.
  4. Inka a lokam lo unav bro ... Yelamanchili war one side ipoi 2 weeks ipoindi
  5. Anakapalli - TDP - Expecting 15K Majority Yelamanchili - TDP - Expecting 10K Majority Narsipatnam - TDP - Expecting 5K Majority Payakaraopeta - TDP - Expecting 10K Majority Madugula - TDP - Majority will be less , May be 1 r 2K Pendurthi - TDP - Very less Majority expecting Chodavaram - As of now YCP edge - If they win they will get less than 5K Majority Parliament varaku sure shot TDP - Expecting min of 80 to 1L Majority
  6. Asalu Anakapalli aaa YCP ni teseyandi bro .... last time meda big majority tho vastadi e sari TDP pakka . Ongole Siddha ki edge and Nandyala asalu TDP ni petakapovadam oka blunder IMO
  7. Adi nijam it last time Vizag MP segment 2L majority ravali Haribabu ki . But compare with 7 MLA majorities thakuva vachindi Haribabu ki . Don't think they can influence the result.
  8. Vizag East - TDP Vizag North - TDP Vizag West - TDP Vizag South - TDP Edge ( 70:30) Bhimili - Neck to Neck (TDP nd YCP) Gajuwaka - Tight Triangle fight between 3 parties ( Not easy thing to predict how the age groups support with PK , As of now my estimation 40 JSP :35 TDP :25 YCP ) Anakapalli - TDP Yelamanchili - TDP Edge (Mostly we have fight with JSP here, few new joining good to TDP here, We will get clarity in upcoming days but as of now edge to TDP only ) Narsipatnam - TDP Edge ( Baga tight anukuna seat with recent joining's Yerapatrudu and Muthayal Papa good boost-up to Ayyana here) Payakaraopeta - TDP ki new person and YCP ki old candidate only. Sitting with ki anti vala change chesaru . Traditionally very strong seat to TDP . No clue abt the present situation. Chodavaram - Neck to Neck - YCP contestant last 2 times odipovadam sympathy workout avochu ani oka lekka , Sitting is good so mali gelustadu anedi oka lekka . chudali ika Madugula - TDP Edge (Last time Adari Tulasirao kavali ani odicharu antaru e seat ni , But this time vala son MP ga undadam and idi one of the MP segment avadam also Konathala & Sabbam favour baga use iye segment idi ) So manake edge anukutuna. Pendurthi - Neck to Neck (Bandaru meda anti undi but YCP candidate selection weak and Gandi babji with TDP can help to Bandaru anukuntuna , YCP candidate poll management dagara dorikestadu anukunta Bandaru dagara ) Paderu and Araku - YCP ki e two areas of lo rebels gattiga unaru . More over all few years lo TDP loki chala active ga koda join iyaru . JSP + BSP alliance influence kuda impact chupe areas e two kuda. Araku varaku Srawan ki ministry , Kishore chandradev effect with help to TDP. Paderu Balaraju (JSP) effect evari meda padtado chudali. YCP ki rebels effect unte it will help to TDP a lot. Else it will be neck to neck. So Overall dist chusukunte e seat TDP ki radu anedi okati kuda ledu. Very comfortable position lo undi. As per my guess 3/3 MP's kotestadi. MLA's least case 9 and best case 15. Ika rest is rest ..... Jai TDP
  9. 2 regional parties caste equations Always groups try to showcase their upper hand Basic ga intha mandi oke party kinda undadam kastam. So alternative chustaru ... Rual lo ity too much untadi.. antha one side ga wave chusina 1994 lo kuda no one predict that elections going to be on one side.
  10. Not any easy cakewalk to PK. chala tight fight avtadi . Town lo Tarak , MB fans support Palla ki untadi . Prabash fans ki kuda gatti base undi . Traditionally Mega fans always with INC later on PRP after YSRCP town lo . Ipudu vale split avtadi coming to fanism votes. Ika caste equations ity Yadava voting chala solid ga one side untadi Palla ku. Asalu town lo Vamsi Krisha yadav ki seat ivakapovadam vala mari one side untadi e community . Ika kapu one side ani anukoni. Ganta varagam undi elago . valu ela ledu ana split chestaru TDP side oka 10K votes dhaka. Coming to Palla : Educated , Janalaku available ga untadu . Last time ity last min lo join I seat kotesadu with 18K majority tho. YCP Candidate kuda strong. 2009 INC ki rebal ga vesi vala kana ekuva techukunadu (33K) .. So triangle fight ity pakka untill evarina last moment lo drop ipote tapa.
  11. Bharat enduku win avadu ante money spend cheyadu antuanru .. same logic applies to JD also ... Asalu main point enti ante Vizag MP seat ante beach road , MVP and Seethamadara kadu ... only educated and job holders votes ani fix ipovadaniki... Oka sari 7 assembly segments meda idea una valu evarun unte disco ki randi ... 7/7 Sittings and strong MLA segments .. Every segments covers of more than 80% daily workers , labour. If you clearly analysis last time results we won 7/7 MLA's in town MP segments ni base chesukoni 1.65L majority ravali Haribabu ki ... But vachindi only 90K ... Now tell me do you think really TDP + BJP +MODI + PK factor antha help inda .. Ity enduku intha meru chepe educated cross voting vesaru Vijaxxxxx ki ... Ekuva think cheyakandi .. PK geliste adi goppa .. adi real situation
  12. Don't disappoint with Pendurthy selection. As one of our DB person mentioned due to his son monthly commissions he got some negative feedback. But coming to elections don't think it will show much impact as opponent from YCP is very new to the elections more over he is too young. Coming to JSP Chintapapudi Venkataramayya he won in 2009 from Gajuwaka from PRP candidate. Most of the people felt he is strong due to won but coming to reality in 2009 TDP gave seat to CPI in alliance and from INC Tipala Nagireddy contested as Rebal who got 33K votes. So as per my analysis though Bandaru have some negative rural will help him. MP Adaru anand is additional advantage.
  13. Akp TDP seat mastaru ... Lock chesukondi ... Majority kosam matrame matladandi
  14. T results vala ila ipoyara ... Leka negative mind set tho unara ... Leka low profile maintain chedam anukuntunaraaa ... A seat adigite ade tough ipoindi antunarenti ikada ... TDP lo nundi poyinodu ventane YCP lo seat techukuntunadu ... Ikada manaku ekuva mandi unaru ... Akada evadu ledu (Strong Contestent) ... More over last 2 years lo CBN chesina works ki ayane oka front face repu elections ki ... Still not many long on negative assumption .... I don't know whats the wrong with these guys... Lets bring some positivity ... Mana ward r mana mandalam lo okadu pothe party podu ... Ala pote 1996 lone poyedi ... else 2009 lo shutter close chesevalam
  15. Financial ga baga weak ipoyadu .... oka 2 weeks back MP ki velamandi party .. ala prolong chesadu ... Adari ki confirm chesindi .. Ipudu vala bro Raghunadh (Worst to the core) ki MLA ivamantunadu ... lit tesukunaru anukunta ... MP ga ity impact chupe candidate avtadu ... But present MP candidate both financial, community and parliament overall manchi grip (vala father Adari tulasirao ki) undi .. so no need to worry ... Both Dadi and Konathal combo won't work practically in town
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